UT - Lighthouse Research/Salt Lake Tribune: GOV: Cox +36%, AG: Reyes +21%
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December 02, 2021, 08:23:21 PM

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  UT - Lighthouse Research/Salt Lake Tribune: GOV: Cox +36%, AG: Reyes +21%
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Author Topic: UT - Lighthouse Research/Salt Lake Tribune: GOV: Cox +36%, AG: Reyes +21%  (Read 223 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
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« on: September 16, 2020, 11:28:57 AM »
« edited: September 16, 2020, 12:03:42 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2020/09/16/utah-debate-commission

August 31 - September 12
2000 registered voters

Cox 55%
Peterson 20%

Herbert won 66.7%-28.7% in 2016.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2020, 11:56:24 AM »
« Edited: September 16, 2020, 12:03:33 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

It appears the MoE of 4.38% is for the statewide sample (if I am interpreting the Tweet correctly).
Margins are pre-rounding, hence the discrepancy between the UTGOV margin and the UTGOV topline.

MoE: 4.38%


Gubernatorial:
Cottam (L) 5%
Duerden (Independent American Party) 3%
Other 3%
Undecided 15%

The Independent American Party should not be confused with the Judean People's Front (far right) American Independent Party.

Attorney general :
Reyes (R) 46%
Skordas (D) 25%
Bautista (L) (no, not that one) 5%
Other 0% (no voters)
Undecided 23%

Reyes won his 2016 race 65.4%-25.1%.

Weirdly, the statewide sample is listed in the Tweet as 500 but on 538 as 2000. I assume there's a mistake in the Tweet as the districts have 500 each so presumably sample sizes have been scaled down by a factor of four.
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Stuart98
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« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2020, 01:37:38 PM »

Yeah this was never going to happen. Cox has been botching the covid response but it never got bad enough for Rs to care, and those L voters are probably people who think even the botched response went too far. Meanwhile most voters' idea of the man is still based on that viral video of him speaking after the Pulse massacre and they're unaware of how far right he veered to win the primary this year. Unfortunate, but not surprising.
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How can “Sleepy Joe” be so woke? 🤔
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2020, 02:24:30 PM »

So they polled the governor’s race, AG, and the Congress districts, but not president? UGH
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