Biden in Virginia
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Poll
Question: Does Biden best Northam's 53.9% from 2017?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 107

Author Topic: Biden in Virginia  (Read 2231 times)
Del Tachi
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« on: September 16, 2020, 10:23:56 AM »
I think it'll be close, but lean no

Biden - 53.3%
Trump - 45.4%
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2020, 10:35:58 AM »
Yeah, more NOVA, less KlanVa
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Woody
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« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2020, 10:37:10 AM »
Realistically, this is probably Trump's ceiling in Virginia:

But it probably won't happen.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2020, 10:37:28 AM »
Biden: 54.7%

Trump: 43.9%
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #4 on: September 16, 2020, 10:54:12 AM »
Yup, he'll end up with 54% or above. Biden is a good fit for the state, but it wouldn't have been anything but Safe D regardless of the nominee. Even with Sanders VA wouldn't have been a close call.
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here2view
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« Reply #5 on: September 16, 2020, 10:56:48 AM »
Biden 54.5% Trump 44%
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Skye
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« Reply #6 on: September 16, 2020, 10:57:40 AM »
It's quite likely.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #7 on: September 16, 2020, 11:15:33 AM »
He probably does.  Turnout wasn't particularly low downstate and it was still a blowout in 2017.  NoVa is going to turn out in unheard of numbers, trust me.  Just look at the primary and the kinds of insane numbers Biden racked up.  You see Biden signs everywhere even in the really wealthy parts of McLean, Vienna and Great Falls, which are really the only heavily populated parts of NoVa that Republicans can win or at least break even in.  Rural areas won't offset that.  Most likely Biden +10/11, with the possibility of getting up to Biden 15.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2020, 05:20:28 PM »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on September 16, 2020, 10:37:10 AM
Realistically, this is probably Trump's ceiling in Virginia:

But it probably won't happen.

This, but fairfax still over 60 for biden.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #9 on: September 16, 2020, 06:27:39 PM »
No, but close. Biden 53% Trump 45%
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #10 on: September 16, 2020, 06:31:07 PM »
Probably yes.  I'll be surprised if his margin doesn't reach double digits.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #11 on: September 16, 2020, 06:50:04 PM »
Will be 56% Biden to 43% Trump based on national climate.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #12 on: September 16, 2020, 06:51:18 PM »
My guess is 55-43 Biden win at this point
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #13 on: September 16, 2020, 06:51:52 PM »
Ironically, Biden won't do as well as Harris would have done had she been the nominee.

Biden/Harris 55%
Trump/Pence 44.4%
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #14 on: September 16, 2020, 06:53:06 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on September 16, 2020, 06:31:07 PM
Probably yes.  I'll be surprised if his margin doesn't reach double digits.
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Chips
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« Reply #15 on: September 16, 2020, 07:39:06 PM »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on September 16, 2020, 10:37:10 AM
Realistically, this is probably Trump's ceiling in Virginia:

But it probably won't happen.
That map probably represents a 1-2 point win for Trump. I agree it won't happen.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #16 on: September 17, 2020, 02:04:51 AM »
I am guessing Biden wins Virginia by 10 points.  In fact its quite possible the state might be called on exit polls alone, which is something we have yet to see, but it is trending leftward.  In 2000 it was right of country, but 2010 close to a bellwether, now it sits left of country.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #17 on: September 17, 2020, 02:07:16 AM »
« Edited: September 17, 2020, 02:11:28 AM by It’s Just Not There Yet »
Trump's definitely not going to keep it within single digits. My prediction is Biden +13, but won’t be surprised if it’s higher than that.


This, but unironically.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #18 on: September 17, 2020, 03:30:20 AM »
Quote from: mileslunn on September 17, 2020, 02:04:51 AM
I am guessing Biden wins Virginia by 10 points.  In fact its quite possible the state might be called on exit polls alone, which is something we have yet to see, but it is trending leftward.  In 2000 it was right of country, but 2010 close to a bellwether, now it sits left of country.

Biden is more likely to win VA by over 12 points, then Trump winning.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #19 on: September 17, 2020, 07:49:09 AM »
Quote from: It’s Just Not There Yet on September 17, 2020, 02:07:16 AM
Trump's definitely not going to keep it within single digits. My prediction is Biden +13, but won’t be surprised if it’s higher than that.


This, but unironically.


Oh YH isn't being ironic,he's just dooming.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #20 on: September 17, 2020, 04:36:43 PM »
https://www.princewilliamtimes.com/news/poll-biden-has-14-point-lead-over-trump-in-virginia-support-for-mail-in-voting/article_74cab7e0-f929-11ea-81a2-67cf5fb3e44d.html

New poll has Biden up 14 and he is winning all three major population centers.  If this is true then it suggests that Trump is probably going to have a lot of trouble in Pennsylvania and Michigan.  The clear lead in NoVa and perhaps Richmond was expected but not necessarily tidewater.  The thought was that Northam won there because of his ties to the area but it seems like even small metro suburbs are shifting. 
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Suburbia
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« Reply #21 on: September 20, 2020, 05:04:55 PM »
Is it true that Virginia is the new Maryland?

Why?

Is Virginia more conservative than Maryland, or the other way around?
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Frodo
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« Reply #22 on: September 20, 2020, 05:11:41 PM »
« Edited: September 20, 2020, 05:28:17 PM by Virginia Yellow Dog »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on September 17, 2020, 04:36:43 PM
https://www.princewilliamtimes.com/news/poll-biden-has-14-point-lead-over-trump-in-virginia-support-for-mail-in-voting/article_74cab7e0-f929-11ea-81a2-67cf5fb3e44d.html

New poll has Biden up 14 and he is winning all three major population centers.  If this is true then it suggests that Trump is probably going to have a lot of trouble in Pennsylvania and Michigan.  The clear lead in NoVa and perhaps Richmond was expected but not necessarily tidewater.  The thought was that Northam won there because of his ties to the area but it seems like even small metro suburbs are shifting.  

Biden winning the Tidewater (at least in this poll) is a very interesting development.  
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #23 on: September 20, 2020, 05:17:09 PM »
It’s not a question of whether he’ll beat Northam it’s a question of whether or not he’ll come close to Kaine
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #24 on: September 20, 2020, 06:44:52 PM »
Quote from: KaiserDave on September 20, 2020, 05:17:09 PM
It’s not a question of whether he’ll beat Northam it’s a question of whether or not he’ll come close to Kaine

Trump is a racist white nationalist Neo Confederate, like KKKorey Stewart.
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