CNN: Wisconsin - Biden +10 | North Carolina - Biden +3
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  CNN: Wisconsin - Biden +10 | North Carolina - Biden +3		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: CNN: Wisconsin - Biden +10 | North Carolina - Biden +3  (Read 2468 times)
Gass3268
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« on: September 15, 2020, 11:11:05 AM »
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2020, 11:12:23 AM »
Another WI poll with Biden at several points above 50; it's looking good. Overall good numbers in NC too.
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republican1993
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« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2020, 11:13:05 AM »
:/
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Horus
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« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2020, 11:13:27 AM »
Good for Joe.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2020, 11:13:34 AM »
My guess is the vast majority of the undecideds in Wisconsin will break to Trump, but 52% for Biden is very reasonable.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: September 15, 2020, 11:14:21 AM »
Biden with the better response to Kenosha:
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2020, 11:14:43 AM »
NC results are odd.

I don't think Biden is further ahead than Cunningman.
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WD
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« Reply #7 on: September 15, 2020, 11:15:22 AM »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on August 29, 2020, 11:21:06 AM
OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!
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Holmes
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« Reply #8 on: September 15, 2020, 11:15:53 AM »

:)
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #9 on: September 15, 2020, 11:16:50 AM »
Who would have thought one year ago that Wisconsin would be a safer bet for the Democrat than Pennsylvania?

Especially when you compare Evers/Baldwin and 0 House gains to Wolf/Casey and 3 House gains.
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republican1993
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« Reply #10 on: September 15, 2020, 11:17:30 AM »
I need some it's tightennnninngggg polls to make republicans happy! the poll is very odd to me but whatever
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VAR
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« Reply #11 on: September 15, 2020, 11:18:17 AM »
Trump approval
NC: 46/51
WI: 43/55
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Bomster
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« Reply #12 on: September 15, 2020, 11:18:32 AM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on September 15, 2020, 11:16:50 AM
Who would have thought one year ago that Wisconsin would be a safer bet for the Democrat than Pennsylvania?

Especially when you compare Evers/Baldwin and 0 House gains to Wolf/Casey and 3 House gains.


I know it’s annoying at this point but Wisconsin looked pretty safe for Clinton in 2016...
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #13 on: September 15, 2020, 11:18:53 AM »
It's happening!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #14 on: September 15, 2020, 11:20:05 AM »
Interesting that Biden outperforms Cunningham, but both Tillis and Trump stuck at 46% here. At the end of the day, I feel like the results will pretty much be the same.
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Gracile
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« Reply #15 on: September 15, 2020, 11:20:35 AM »
I don't believe the margin in Wisconsin will end up being that high, though clearly these numbers are awful for Trump and are a sign that he's lost the election.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #16 on: September 15, 2020, 11:22:58 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on September 15, 2020, 11:13:34 AM
My guess is the vast majority of the undecideds in Wisconsin will break to Trump, but 52% for Biden is very reasonable.
Says who? Says what? Based on the evidence so far, most undecided voters, 2016 3rd party voters & 2016 non-voters lean towards Biden by a significant margin.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17 on: September 15, 2020, 11:24:40 AM »
Among RV, Biden is +5 in NC (49-44) and +11 in WI (52-41)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #18 on: September 15, 2020, 11:25:22 AM »
Quote from: ηєω ƒяσηтιєя on September 15, 2020, 11:22:58 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on September 15, 2020, 11:13:34 AM
My guess is the vast majority of the undecideds in Wisconsin will break to Trump, but 52% for Biden is very reasonable.
Says who? Says what? Based on the evidence so far, most undecided voters, 2016 3rd party voters & 2016 non-voters lean towards Biden by a significant margin.

Not to mention, take North Carolina, Trump is polling right at his approval (46%) while Biden is at 49%, but he still has some wiggle room since Trump's disapproval is 51%.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #19 on: September 15, 2020, 11:25:55 AM »
Wow. Wisconsin +10 for Biden isn't even much of an outlier anymore.
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Gracile
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« Reply #20 on: September 15, 2020, 11:26:11 AM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on September 15, 2020, 11:16:50 AM
Who would have thought one year ago that Wisconsin would be a safer bet for the Democrat than Pennsylvania?

Especially when you compare Evers/Baldwin and 0 House gains to Wolf/Casey and 3 House gains.

Again, this is hardly guaranteed. Chances are if Wisconsin is swinging 10 points to the Democrats, then Pennsylvania will likely have a similar trendline due to having a similar (if not more favorable due to being more urban/suburban) demographic profile.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #21 on: September 15, 2020, 11:27:10 AM »

NOT a Chance
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #22 on: September 15, 2020, 11:27:17 AM »
So let's talk about Trump only getting *3%* of the black vote in North Carolina
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #23 on: September 15, 2020, 11:27:23 AM »
Quote from: gracile on September 15, 2020, 11:26:11 AM
Quote from: libertpaulian on September 15, 2020, 11:16:50 AM
Who would have thought one year ago that Wisconsin would be a safer bet for the Democrat than Pennsylvania?

Especially when you compare Evers/Baldwin and 0 House gains to Wolf/Casey and 3 House gains.

Again, this is hardly guaranteed. Chances are if Wisconsin is swinging 10 points to the Democrats, then Pennsylvania will likely have a similar trendline due to having a similar (if not more favorable due to being more urban/suburban) demographic profile.

Well, to be fair though, PA has a rural white population that is much more in line with a place like West Virginia than Wisconsin. If forced to compare WI to a neighbor, it's a bit more like MN.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #24 on: September 15, 2020, 11:28:14 AM »

We are now a traditional Southwest states polling error away from Biden having an EC advantage. 
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