IN-Change Research: Holcomb +6

[VAR]

Sep 3-7, 1033 LV

Holcomb (R, inc.) 36% (-9)
Myers (D) 30% (+5)
Rainwater (L) 24% (+16)
Undecided 10% (-12)

http://snydereport.com/?p=2519

[Pollster]

The Indiana Libertarian Party is historically quite strong and credible, but this is ridiculous.

[Xing]

Press X to doubt.

[libertpaulian]

Myers in the 30s sounds about right.

[ON Progressive]

What the hell is this? Libertarian at 24% is just absurd.

[Landslide Lyndon]

wut

[Skye]

I know Change polls are bad but this is actually unbelievable lol.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Changes with April 10-13 poll.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Rainwater surge !

[Suburbia]

Still Safe R

Holcomb may win some Black votes for a Republican as well

Woody Myers is not a viable candidate.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

i will take it Dems win MT, IN, NC , while Rs win MO, NH, and VT

[n1240]

I've never actually heard of Rainwater before this poll.

[Canis]

Something interesting from the poll is that it says Rainwater is overwhelmingly winning republicans who disapprove of the mask mandate and Holcomb is winning 16% of dems it could just be change research being weird its likely imo that a lot of those republicans saying they will vote libertarian will end up breaking for holcomb by election day I don't see Rainwater breaking 20% though celling is probably around 10-13%

[Left Wing]

It's not going to happen, but it would actually be hilarious if Myers won from Indiana Republicans being mad about having to wear a mask at the grocery store.

[Canis]

It's not going to happen, but it would actually be hilarious if Myers won from Indiana Republicans being mad about having to wear a mask at the grocery store.

Yup lol according the poll 1/3 of Trump voters are voting for Rainwater and 16% of Biden voters are backing Holcomb it could just be Change research being garbage but thats strange

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

MoE: 3.1% (fuller release in the presidential board)

[GlobeSoc]

the county map from such a scenario would be hilarious. You'd probably see Rainwater carrying lots of rural counties, Myers being strong in the standard dem cities, and Holcomb being strong in the suburbs and some rural areas himself. Would be lean R, but sufficient consolidation of Biden voters behind Myers in this admittedly unlikely scenario would be enough to produce a dem win. I would have to guess that such a result would be the best core midwestern third party result in a very long time, as well as the best third party presidential year result since sanders and king were up in 2012, who both had distinct advantages that Rainwater doesn't have.

[Roronoa D. Law]

I don't blame the people of Indiana. Donald Rainwater is a bad as name.

[Hope For A New Era]

From the Evansville Courier & Press:

“As governor, I would propose that the Indiana General Assembly pass legislation to ensure that a governor never has the unilateral power to shut down our economy again. I will not mandate the shutdown of businesses, churches or schools,” he wrote. “I will not mandate the wearing of masks. I will not mandate vaccinations. I will end any such executive orders upon taking office. Hoosiers must be well-informed and be allowed to make their own choices as citizens, not subjects.”

That's why Rainwater is polling so high. He's pulling the "plandemic" types away from Holcomb.

[StateBoiler]

The Republican Party right-wing are not too happy with Holcomb. Originally there were tea leaves to run Curtis Hill against him in the 2020 primary. Hill then had his legal troubles which put an end to that. Holcomb and State Party Chairman Kyle Hupfer all wanted Hill to take a hike which Hill would not do. Eventually at their Convention they were able to get Todd Rokita to oust him for the Attorney General nomination narrowly, but all of this leads to that wing of the party are not happy with Holcomb, so Mr. Rainwater may see an increase in votes especially when protesting is cheap (i.e. election's not close). That said, Holcomb will still win easily because Myers is a complete non-entity in spite of being a former Health Commissioner in the middle of a large health crisis, Democrats are still not giving him any money, what little money he is getting is mostly from out-of-state per Brian Howey, and state Democrats are instead focusing everything to Weinzapfel for Attorney General.

Rainwater may go up in votes due to this protest vote as well as the governor's race being safe R, but 24%? No. Woody Myers is getting hardly any media attention, let alone Rainwater.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

In a Covid 19 election, MT, NC and IN will go Dem. I lived in Chicago, and IN is a reliable red state, but at the local level, it elects Dems and this can be an upset victory in a Biden slide. Obannon was a blue dog Dem and John Gregg came within 6 pts of upsetting Holcomb