NV-Equis Research: Biden +36 among Latinos

[Tender Branson]

62% Biden
26% Trump
  6% 3rd party

Equis Research August 20 – September 2, 2020
Nevada Statewide Multi-Modal Survey 600 Hispanic Registered Voters

Link

That's similar to the Siena crosstabs for NV, which had 58-24-6 - but among "non-Whites".

[Adam Griffin]

On one hand, never heard of this pollster and so it could be complete garbage.

On the other, Trump at 26% among Latinos in a state without pesky Cubans and Venezuelans that also has a disproportionately large non-English-speaking population? Not good!

[Person Man]

Clinton went 60-29 with them in NV last time.

[DaleCooper]

Clinton went 60-29 with them in NV last time.

He recently held a Latinos for Trump rally (populated exclusively by white boaters) in Nevada this weekend. That'll swing hispanics towards Trump.

[Tender Branson]

On one hand, never heard of this pollster and so it could be complete garbage.

On the other, Trump at 26% among Latinos in a state without pesky Cubans and Venezuelans that also has a disproportionately large non-English-speaking population? Not good!

Equis/GBAO are (D) companies, with the Equis CEO being Obama's former Latino deputy campaign director:

https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/blog/author/stephanie-valencia

The results look plausible though.

[VAR]

Trump approval: 32/64 (-32)

[BobbieMac]

Clinton went 60-29 with them in NV last time.

He recently held a Latinos for Trump rally (populated exclusively by white boaters) in Nevada this weekend. That'll swing hispanics towards Trump.

He better hope they all vote absentee before inevitably catching Covid19 from the rally.

[wbrocks67]

Ralston is tweeting about them, so if he thinks their legit, they're legit.

Biden doing 5% better than HRC sounds about right. This was also taken directly over the DNC and RNC. Long polling period but interesting that the "Biden is collapsing with Latinos!!" take is just about as flimsy as the "Minnesota and Wisconsin are going red bc of the riots!" take.

[Person Man]

Where would you say this race is heading in Nevada based on these numbers?

[wbrocks67]

Where would you say this race is heading in Nevada based on these numbers?

If Biden is doing a smidge better than HRC among Hispanics, but likely considerably better among Whites, I'd assume probably like Biden +6/7?

[Gracile]

This result is roughly in line with the Latino vote in the 2018 midterms (Rosen +37, which was an improvement from Clinton). Given the usual caveats with Nevada polling's tendency to underestimate Democratic strength among Latinos, this poll isn't bad for Biden.

[Sir Mohamed]

I don't buy Biden is really struggling with most Latinos. Most of them in NV are of Mexican heritage, which are pretty strong D-leaning.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

I don't buy Biden is really struggling with most Latinos. Most of them in NV are of Mexican heritage, which are pretty strong D-leaning.

Biden wouldn't be doing so well in AZ, NM, NV, CO, TX, etc if he was struggling with Mexican-American voters. They make up the overwhelming majority of Latinos in those states.

[Ferguson97]

This checks out.

Most of Biden's "problems" with Hispanics are probably just with Cubans.

[ChrisMcDanielWasRobbed]

Latinos will go heavily for TRUMP.

Source: Red Eagle

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Latinos will go heavily for TRUMP.

Source: Red Eagle

I prefer Blue Duck, personally. 

[Dr. Arch]

Latinos will go heavily for TRUMP.

Source: Red Eagle

I prefer Blue Duck, personally. 

Hill Goose

[Badger]

Winning a crucial demographic by more than two-to-one margin is hardly bad news for Biden.

 Aren't Nevada polls notoriously prone to understating the Democrat vote because of regularly under pulling Latinos? I have no idea if that could also play into a pole specifically targeted at this demographic and weather Democrat friendly Hispanics might be somewhat under pulled. Just a theory.

Regardless, as previously noted, improving someone on the Hispanic vote from Hillary- - I seriously doubt 6% of Nevada Hispanics will vote 3rd party, when that's barely about the amount the entire State produced last time around - - plus almost surely doing better than whites means Nevada will remain in the Democratic column this time around, just not by a landslide margin.

[Person Man]

Latinos will go heavily for TRUMP.

Source: Red Eagle

I prefer Blue Duck, personally. 

Hill Goose

Red Beagle

[Progressive Pessimist]

Fake poll! Trump is winning 100% of Latinos (not Latinx!) everywhere! Of course the libtards would trust a pollster named after a play where a guy falls in love with a horse!