Gerrymandering if redistricting commissions ruled unconstitutional
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  Gerrymandering if redistricting commissions ruled unconstitutional
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Author Topic: Gerrymandering if redistricting commissions ruled unconstitutional  (Read 575 times)
Devils30
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« on: September 21, 2020, 09:36:14 PM »

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/09/21/nightmare-ahead-imagine-damage-6-3-conservative-supreme-court-could-do/

"A newly enhanced conservative court majority will continue to erode voting rights and rubber-stamp GOP voter suppression; before long they’ll probably declare nonpartisan redistricting commissions unconstitutional so Republicans can crank gerrymandering up even higher."

Does anyone realize the party this would hurt the most after 2020 would be the Republicans? Imagine if CA, NY, NJ, WA, VA, CO, MN, IL maps the Democrats could draw. They could easily make NJ a safe 10-2 instead of a competitive one and make NY 2, 11 deep blue leaning districts. That doesn't even get to what they could do in Cali..possibly something along the lines of 49-4.

The GOP would have FL, GA. NC they may control but the Supreme Court there will probably halt anything absurd this time. TX we'll see what happens in the state house. Chance Dems get the AZ legislature this year which would negate any court decision and then could do a mid decade redraw if they get the Governor in 2022.

PA, MI, WI are split and the PA Supreme Court could give the Dems a pretty friendly map.

Overall it seems like Dems would probably gain seats. They would lock in all their recent gains in NJ, VA and probably gain another 6-12 seats out of the rest.
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morgieb
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2020, 03:54:58 AM »

Ruling redistricting commissions illegal would be a hilarious move from the Republicans. Commissions are a big net positive for Republicans as things stand.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2020, 09:00:04 AM »
« Edited: September 22, 2020, 09:07:41 AM by Mr.Phips »

Didn’t Roberts say that the Supreme Court won’t decide redistricting cases and it’s up to the states to stop gerrymandering?  It would be a real about face for them to turnaround and strike down commissions when they came right out and said it was up to the states on this.

By voting for commissions, these states did exactly what Roberts said they should do.  What is it that he wants?
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Nyvin
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« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2020, 11:58:33 AM »

Democrats would BENEFIT hugely from shutting down redistricting commissions.   I hope they realize what a giant self own this would be at this point.  

Even the commissions that aren't in Dem states won't help democrats all that much,  I doubt much progress is made in Ohio or Arizona.
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