Did Trump permanently change Mormon voting patterns?
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  Did Trump permanently change Mormon voting patterns?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Read the post before voting!  What will the Mormon vote look like post-Trump?
#1
Mormons will bounce back to their old GOP voting patterns
#2
Disaffected Mormons will continue backing third party candidates
#3
Disaffected Mormons will begin backing Democrats
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Author Topic: Did Trump permanently change Mormon voting patterns?  (Read 3592 times)
Calthrina950
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« Reply #25 on: January 14, 2021, 08:49:05 AM »
I think it's fair to say that Trump has permanently changed Mormon voting patterns. Biden garnered the best result in Utah for a Democrat since 1964. Even more popular Republican officeholders, such as Romney in 2018 and Spencer Cox in 2020, failed to obtain >65% of the statewide vote, which had been routinely hit by Republicans in years past. Utah is a state that I can see trending more Democratic as the decade progresses, and as it continues its growth.
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Chips
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #26 on: January 14, 2021, 10:02:43 AM »
Remains to be seen.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #27 on: January 14, 2021, 11:54:28 AM »
Yes, but not enough to turn Utah purple. A good year for the Democrats will be holding the Republicans under 60% statewide, which they will regularly do, but not always.
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Idaho Conservative
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« Reply #28 on: January 15, 2021, 12:04:41 AM »
UT will go blue from transplants unless they take move left on economics
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #29 on: January 15, 2021, 12:27:22 AM »
Yes.
Blutah is coming.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #30 on: January 15, 2021, 09:06:01 AM »

Utah is already Blutah.
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𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆
Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #31 on: January 15, 2021, 09:50:15 AM »

You must be fun at (Atlas) parties.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #32 on: January 15, 2021, 11:12:50 AM »
Nicki Haley would approach Romney margins in Utah versus Biden in 2024 tbh.
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #33 on: January 15, 2021, 01:06:55 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on January 15, 2021, 11:12:50 AM
Nicki Haley would approach Romney margins in Utah versus Biden in 2024 tbh.
LOL
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #34 on: January 15, 2021, 01:14:21 PM »

Not even Romney himself, as I noted above, could match his 2012 performance when he won his Senate seat. >70% of the vote in Utah is simply not obtainable for Republicans anymore.
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #35 on: January 15, 2021, 02:03:03 PM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on January 15, 2021, 01:14:21 PM

Not even Romney himself, as I noted above, could match his 2012 performance when he won his Senate seat. >70% of the vote in Utah is simply not obtainable for Republicans anymore.
What?
An extremely suburban/urban and educated state with a sizeable religious minority may not be solid Republican indefinitely?
How could this be possible?

Seriously Republicans who insist Utah will revert to 2012 margins are as delusional as the Democrats who claim the RGV was a one time thing.

Trends aren’t set in stone, but these seem more like corrections than anything.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #36 on: January 15, 2021, 02:04:48 PM »
Quote from: Remember the Capitol on January 15, 2021, 02:03:03 PM
Quote from: Calthrina950 on January 15, 2021, 01:14:21 PM

Not even Romney himself, as I noted above, could match his 2012 performance when he won his Senate seat. >70% of the vote in Utah is simply not obtainable for Republicans anymore.
What?
An extremely suburban/urban and educated state with a sizeable religious minority may not be solid Republican indefinitely?
How could this be possible?

Seriously Republicans who insist Utah will revert to 2012 margins are as delusional as the Democrats who claim the RGV was a one time thing.
You should see the Miami dade thread LOL. Everyone insists it will swing left
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #37 on: January 15, 2021, 02:07:28 PM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on January 15, 2021, 02:04:48 PM
Quote from: Remember the Capitol on January 15, 2021, 02:03:03 PM
Quote from: Calthrina950 on January 15, 2021, 01:14:21 PM

Not even Romney himself, as I noted above, could match his 2012 performance when he won his Senate seat. >70% of the vote in Utah is simply not obtainable for Republicans anymore.
What?
An extremely suburban/urban and educated state with a sizeable religious minority may not be solid Republican indefinitely?
How could this be possible?

Seriously Republicans who insist Utah will revert to 2012 margins are as delusional as the Democrats who claim the RGV was a one time thing.
You should see the Miami dade thread LOL. Everyone insists it will swing left
Eh Miami Dade swinging left is more likely than say...Zapata county going back to 2012 margins, but I think it’s more likely the county doesn’t change that much in 2024. There are a lot of conflicting demographics down there so patterns may be more two steps forward/one step back than in more homogenous places. But yeah, people insisting a 2016 level performance in Miami in 2024 need help.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #38 on: January 17, 2021, 07:33:27 AM »
What Calthrina said, but with the caveat that Utah is also secularizing and diversifying, so a portion of the Democratic trend in the state should be chalked up to that.
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