AR-02 - Hendrix College/TalkBusiness: Hill +2%
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  AR-02 - Hendrix College/TalkBusiness: Hill +2%
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Author Topic: AR-02 - Hendrix College/TalkBusiness: Hill +2%  (Read 364 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: September 13, 2020, 10:10:10 AM »

https://talkbusiness.net/2020/09/poll-razor-close-race-in-cd2-between-french-hill-joyce-elliott/

September 4-9, 2020
698 likely voters
MoE: 4.3%

French Hill (R-inc.) 48%
Joyce Elliott (D) 46%
Don't know 7%

Hill won 52%-46% in 2018.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2020, 10:13:36 AM »

Isn't Hendrix College the pollster that released data showing Trump only 2 points up in Arkansas, earlier in the cycle..?
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2020, 10:19:56 AM »

LOL
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S019
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« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2020, 10:29:29 AM »

Isn't Hendrix College the pollster that released data showing Trump only 2 points up in Arkansas, earlier in the cycle..?

Yes, but honestly I think 46% is a reasonable guess for Elliott’s final percentage and Hill probably wins by 6 to 8. This poll is too Dem friendly, though. Still Lean/Likely R
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Pollster
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« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2020, 10:47:53 AM »

Crossposting: Noah Rudnick wrote this excellent analysis of this seat earlier this year, explaining why it is a prime pickup opportunity for Dems.
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