CBS/YouGov: AZ- Biden +3 | MN- Biden +9
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  CBS/YouGov: AZ- Biden +3 | MN- Biden +9
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: AZ- Biden +3 | MN- Biden +9  (Read 1966 times)
Gass3268
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« on: September 13, 2020, 09:39:04 AM »
« edited: September 13, 2020, 09:44:48 AM by Gass3268 »

Arizona (change from July 12)

Biden 47 (+1)
Trump 44 (-2)

Minnesota (first poll of the cycle for YouGov)

Biden 50
Trump 41

Source
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forza nocta
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« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2020, 09:42:58 AM »

Minnesota poll is almost exactly in line with the two NYT and SurveyUSA polls in the last week. Minny is looking pretty secure for Biden
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2020, 09:45:16 AM »

Yeah, I think it's safe to say that all the Minnesota panic was probably unfounded.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2020, 09:45:58 AM »
« Edited: September 13, 2020, 09:50:05 AM by Minnesota Mike »

Minnesota poll is almost exactly in line with the two NYT and SurveyUSA polls in the last week. Minny is looking pretty secure for Biden

The Herman Cain (RIP) special. Biden leads by 9-9-9.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2020, 09:50:09 AM »

September 9-11, 2020

AZ
1106 likely voters
MoE among likely voters: 3.9%
Changes with July 7-10 poll

Someone else/third party 3% (-1)
Not sure 6% (+2)

Would not vote N/A (previously at 0%)

MN
1087 likely voters
MoE among likely voters: 3.6%

Someone else/third party 2%
Not sure 6%
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #5 on: September 13, 2020, 09:59:26 AM »

Ding dong the meme is dead!
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LiberalDem19
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« Reply #6 on: September 13, 2020, 10:22:13 AM »

So there have been six high quality polls of MN, and theyíve been +13, +10, +8, +9, +9, +9.

But please letís focus on Trafalgar
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: September 13, 2020, 10:30:01 AM »

Why not poll NC
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8 on: September 13, 2020, 10:35:26 AM »

He's still on the ballot in MN which is gonna be decided by less than 3,000 votes and is probably the tipping point state. Write Ye off if you want to. He is smarter than all of you, better than all of you, and he has a plan for the future.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #9 on: September 13, 2020, 10:38:38 AM »

He's still on the ballot in MN which is gonna be decided by less than 3,000 votes and is probably the tipping point state. Write Ye off if you want to. He is smarter than all of you, better than all of you, and he has a plan for the future.

Biden is only +9 against Trump. Kanye West could be ahead of both of them.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #10 on: September 13, 2020, 10:40:18 AM »

He's still on the ballot in MN which is gonna be decided by less than 3,000 votes and is probably the tipping point state. Write Ye off if you want to. He is smarter than all of you, better than all of you, and he has a plan for the future.

Biden is only +9 against Trump. Kanye West could be ahead of both of them.

Bidenís already above 50%, but Kanye could have 100%! Who needs math when youíre Yeezus?
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Horus
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« Reply #11 on: September 13, 2020, 10:46:45 AM »

He's still on the ballot in MN which is gonna be decided by less than 3,000 votes and is probably the tipping point state. Write Ye off if you want to. He is smarter than all of you, better than all of you, and he has a plan for the future.

Biden is only +9 against Trump. Kanye West could be ahead of both of them.

Bidenís already above 50%, but Kanye could have 100%! Who needs math when youíre Yeezus?

You got the right answer the wrong way.
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ηєω Éяσηтιєя
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« Reply #12 on: September 13, 2020, 10:48:55 AM »

Minnesota is Likely D. To say otherwise is stupid.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #13 on: September 13, 2020, 11:30:38 AM »

New Poll: Arizona President by YouGov on 2020-09-11

Summary: D: 47%, R: 44%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #14 on: September 13, 2020, 11:31:27 AM »

New Poll: Minnesota President by YouGov on 2020-09-11

Summary: D: 50%, R: 41%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #15 on: September 13, 2020, 11:42:09 AM »

When was the last time Trump led a poll in AZ? Spring? I don't actually remember.

Yup, MN isn't happening for Trump either. He would have been competitive in a neutral environment, but not when Biden is ahead by high single digits nationally.
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redjohn
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« Reply #16 on: September 13, 2020, 01:05:52 PM »

MN is likely Biden. AZ is still lean Biden; there's been enough polling to suggest he has a lead there. Trump could still win there though, as his base will certainly turn out in big numbers. MN is probably gone for him.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: September 13, 2020, 01:46:41 PM »

When was the last time Trump led a poll in AZ? Spring? I don't actually remember.

Yup, MN isn't happening for Trump either. He would have been competitive in a neutral environment, but not when Biden is ahead by high single digits nationally.

Rassy and Trafalger had Trump up in a couple August polls.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #18 on: September 13, 2020, 01:48:49 PM »

When was the last time Trump led a poll in AZ? Spring? I don't actually remember.

3 weeks ago.

Morning Consult.

Trump+2.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #19 on: September 13, 2020, 02:59:56 PM »

When was the last time Trump led a poll in AZ? Spring? I don't actually remember.

Yup, MN isn't happening for Trump either. He would have been competitive in a neutral environment, but not when Biden is ahead by high single digits nationally.

A neutral environment is not even Dem/Rep. Barring something unexpected Democrats will have won the popular vote 7 of the last 8 Prez elections. In a neutral environment the nation and MN are lean Dem.
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« Reply #20 on: September 13, 2020, 04:15:54 PM »

Haha I love how once the covid stuff ends and I can date again I don't have to worry about running into women who don't share my politics:

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Ferguson97
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« Reply #21 on: September 13, 2020, 04:40:08 PM »

Haha I love how once the covid stuff ends and I can date again I don't have to worry about running into women who don't share my politics:



Biggest advantage of dating as a straight liberal guy: virtually no right-wing loonies in the dating pool
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #22 on: September 13, 2020, 06:16:04 PM »

There's that 9 point number again for Biden in Minnesota. Yeah, keep trying, Trump.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #23 on: September 13, 2020, 06:54:22 PM »

Yeah, I think it's safe to say that all the Minnesota panic was probably unfounded.

The only people pushing this were really pundits who... have been pretty damn wrong this entire cycle. Why people continue to believe them, and why they continue to think they know better is just unfathomable to me at this point
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