CBS/YouGov: AZ- Biden +3 | MN- Biden +9
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 11:52:01 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  CBS/YouGov: AZ- Biden +3 | MN- Biden +9		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: AZ- Biden +3 | MN- Biden +9  (Read 2190 times)
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,520
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 13, 2020, 09:39:04 AM »
« edited: September 13, 2020, 09:44:48 AM by Gass3268 »
Arizona (change from July 12)

Biden 47 (+1)
Trump 44 (-2)

Minnesota (first poll of the cycle for YouGov)

Biden 50
Trump 41

Source
Logged
forza nocta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 614


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2020, 09:42:58 AM »
Minnesota poll is almost exactly in line with the two NYT and SurveyUSA polls in the last week. Minny is looking pretty secure for Biden
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,035
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2020, 09:45:16 AM »
Yeah, I think it's safe to say that all the Minnesota panic was probably unfounded.
Logged
Minnesota Mike
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,060


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2020, 09:45:58 AM »
« Edited: September 13, 2020, 09:50:05 AM by Minnesota Mike »
Quote from: forza nocta on September 13, 2020, 09:42:58 AM
Minnesota poll is almost exactly in line with the two NYT and SurveyUSA polls in the last week. Minny is looking pretty secure for Biden

The Herman Cain (RIP) special. Biden leads by 9-9-9.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2020, 09:50:09 AM »
September 9-11, 2020

AZ
1106 likely voters
MoE among likely voters: 3.9%
Changes with July 7-10 poll

Someone else/third party 3% (-1)
Not sure 6% (+2)

Would not vote N/A (previously at 0%)

MN
1087 likely voters
MoE among likely voters: 3.6%

Someone else/third party 2%
Not sure 6%
Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,619
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 13, 2020, 09:59:26 AM »
Ding dong the meme is dead!
Logged
LiberalDem19
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 486


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 13, 2020, 10:22:13 AM »
So there have been six high quality polls of MN, and they’ve been +13, +10, +8, +9, +9, +9.

But please let’s focus on Trafalgar
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,511
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 13, 2020, 10:30:01 AM »
Why not poll NC
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,301
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 13, 2020, 10:35:26 AM »
Quote from: Horus on September 07, 2020, 08:17:24 PM
He's still on the ballot in MN which is gonna be decided by less than 3,000 votes and is probably the tipping point state. Write Ye off if you want to. He is smarter than all of you, better than all of you, and he has a plan for the future.
Logged
DaleCooper
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,994


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 13, 2020, 10:38:38 AM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on September 13, 2020, 10:35:26 AM
Quote from: Horus on September 07, 2020, 08:17:24 PM
He's still on the ballot in MN which is gonna be decided by less than 3,000 votes and is probably the tipping point state. Write Ye off if you want to. He is smarter than all of you, better than all of you, and he has a plan for the future.

Biden is only +9 against Trump. Kanye West could be ahead of both of them.
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,301
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 13, 2020, 10:40:18 AM »
Quote from: DaleCooper on September 13, 2020, 10:38:38 AM
Quote from: Alben Barkley on September 13, 2020, 10:35:26 AM
Quote from: Horus on September 07, 2020, 08:17:24 PM
He's still on the ballot in MN which is gonna be decided by less than 3,000 votes and is probably the tipping point state. Write Ye off if you want to. He is smarter than all of you, better than all of you, and he has a plan for the future.

Biden is only +9 against Trump. Kanye West could be ahead of both of them.

Biden’s already above 50%, but Kanye could have 100%! Who needs math when you’re Yeezus?
Logged
Horus
Sheliak5
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,721
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 13, 2020, 10:46:45 AM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on September 13, 2020, 10:40:18 AM
Quote from: DaleCooper on September 13, 2020, 10:38:38 AM
Quote from: Alben Barkley on September 13, 2020, 10:35:26 AM
Quote from: Horus on September 07, 2020, 08:17:24 PM
He's still on the ballot in MN which is gonna be decided by less than 3,000 votes and is probably the tipping point state. Write Ye off if you want to. He is smarter than all of you, better than all of you, and he has a plan for the future.

Biden is only +9 against Trump. Kanye West could be ahead of both of them.

Biden’s already above 50%, but Kanye could have 100%! Who needs math when you’re Yeezus?

You got the right answer the wrong way.
Logged
ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
New Frontier
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,250
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 13, 2020, 10:48:55 AM »
Minnesota is Likely D. To say otherwise is stupid.
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,629
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 13, 2020, 11:30:38 AM »
New Poll: Arizona President by YouGov on 2020-09-11

Summary: D: 47%, R: 44%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,629
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 13, 2020, 11:31:27 AM »
New Poll: Minnesota President by YouGov on 2020-09-11

Summary: D: 50%, R: 41%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,645
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 13, 2020, 11:42:09 AM »
When was the last time Trump led a poll in AZ? Spring? I don't actually remember.

Yup, MN isn't happening for Trump either. He would have been competitive in a neutral environment, but not when Biden is ahead by high single digits nationally.
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,685


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 13, 2020, 01:05:52 PM »
MN is likely Biden. AZ is still lean Biden; there's been enough polling to suggest he has a lead there. Trump could still win there though, as his base will certainly turn out in big numbers. MN is probably gone for him.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,520
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 13, 2020, 01:46:41 PM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on September 13, 2020, 11:42:09 AM
When was the last time Trump led a poll in AZ? Spring? I don't actually remember.

Yup, MN isn't happening for Trump either. He would have been competitive in a neutral environment, but not when Biden is ahead by high single digits nationally.

Rassy and Trafalger had Trump up in a couple August polls.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 13, 2020, 01:48:49 PM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on September 13, 2020, 11:42:09 AM
When was the last time Trump led a poll in AZ? Spring? I don't actually remember.

3 weeks ago.

Morning Consult.

Trump+2.
Logged
Minnesota Mike
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,060


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 13, 2020, 02:59:56 PM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on September 13, 2020, 11:42:09 AM
When was the last time Trump led a poll in AZ? Spring? I don't actually remember.

Yup, MN isn't happening for Trump either. He would have been competitive in a neutral environment, but not when Biden is ahead by high single digits nationally.

A neutral environment is not even Dem/Rep. Barring something unexpected Democrats will have won the popular vote 7 of the last 8 Prez elections. In a neutral environment the nation and MN are lean Dem.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,951
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 13, 2020, 04:15:54 PM »
Haha I love how once the covid stuff ends and I can date again I don't have to worry about running into women who don't share my politics:
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,059
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 13, 2020, 04:40:08 PM »
Quote from: Mine eyes have seen the glory of the crushing of the Trump on September 13, 2020, 04:15:54 PM
Haha I love how once the covid stuff ends and I can date again I don't have to worry about running into women who don't share my politics:



Biggest advantage of dating as a straight liberal guy: virtually no right-wing loonies in the dating pool
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,989
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 13, 2020, 06:16:04 PM »
There's that 9 point number again for Biden in Minnesota. Yeah, keep trying, Trump.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,085


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 13, 2020, 06:54:22 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on September 13, 2020, 09:45:16 AM
Yeah, I think it's safe to say that all the Minnesota panic was probably unfounded.

The only people pushing this were really pundits who... have been pretty damn wrong this entire cycle. Why people continue to believe them, and why they continue to think they know better is just unfathomable to me at this point
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.089 seconds with 12 queries.