AZ-Gravis: Kelly+5

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https://gravismarketing.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Arizona-September-11-2020.pdf

Biden 48
Trump 43

9/10-11 684 LV

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Trump's approval rating here is 53%. LOL.

Plus the 684 LVs are only 20% Hispanic and 70% white (non-Hispanic). Arizona was 30% Hispanic and 58% non-Hispanic white in the 2010 census! This should be a fairly Trump leaning group compared to the state as a whole...but he's still behind Amtrak Joe.

Seems fine to me considering Hispanic voters tend to be significantly lower proportion of the electorate compared to their total population proportion. NYTimes June poll here had 20% Hispanic electorate. 2016 exit polls were 15% Hispanic and 2018 were 18% Hispanic.