CO-GSG (D): Hickenlooper +10

[VAR]

Aug 28-Sep 1, 800 LV, MoE: 3.5%

Hickenlooper (D) 52%
Gardner (R-inc.) 42%

https://www.globalstrategygroup.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/CO-Mountaineer-Q3-Survey-Topline-F09.03.20.pdf

[Person Man]

Move along. Nothing to see here.

[DaWN]

Strong Incumbent Gardner must be getting very worried his Incumbent Bonus against Weak Candidate Hickenlooper hasn't set in yet

[Gracile]

"Tossup" - Cook Political Report

[Calthrina950]

Gardner continues to be DOA like he has been for the past two years. This race remains Likely/Safe D.

[Roll Roons]

"Tossup" - Cook Political Report

I understand that they tend to be more conservative on ratings, but I really don't understand why they still have this race as a Tossup when it has clearly not been one since the start of the cycle.

[VAR]

Gardner approval: 40/48 (-8, was 37/46)

Gardner fav: 38/50 (-12, was 34/46)
Hickenlooper fav: 44/48 (-4, was 44/39)

https://www.globalstrategygroup.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/CO-Mountaineer-Q3-Survey-Topline-F09.03.20.pdf

[Sir Mohamed]

Safe D, but Dems could have done better than Hickenlooper. He isn't a disastrous candidate, but not a great one either. This is a seat that was always going to flip barring a Martha Coakley or even Roy Moore tier candidate, so I wish we would have nominated a younger and more inspiring candidate. Doesn't have to be strong left, but just more energetic and likeable.

[Kuumo]

"Tossup" - Cook Political Report

I understand that they tend to be more conservative on ratings, but I really don't understand why they still have this race as a Tossup when it has clearly not been one since the start of the cycle.

Cook has always been prone to rating way too many Senate races as toss-ups. That said, insisting CO-SEN is a toss-up while AZ-SEN and MI-SEN are Lean D is definitely the weirdest thing about their Senate ratings this year. I’m surprised there aren’t more Atlas memes about Unbeatable Titan Cory Gardner.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

"Tossup" - Cook Political Report

I understand that they tend to be more conservative on ratings, but I really don't understand why they still have this race as a Tossup when it has clearly not been one since the start of the cycle.

LOL in 2018, we were at 25 House seats and the Gov map was not expanded until the last few week of the election where SD Gov, FL Gov, OH Gov, IA Gov all became tossups and 40 House races became into play instead of 25.

Cook has always been prone to rating way too many Senate races as toss-ups. That said, insisting CO-SEN is a toss-up while AZ-SEN and MI-SEN are Lean D is definitely the weirdest thing about their Senate ratings this year. I’m surprised there aren’t more Atlas memes about Unbeatable Titan Cory Gardner.