Monmouth: Biden +7/+9
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Author Topic: Monmouth: Biden +7/+9  (Read 1504 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: September 10, 2020, 10:01:36 AM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2020, 10:02:25 AM »
Last month it was RV 51-41, so RV essentially unchanged since then.

Surprised LV helped Trump though, that doesn't appear to be the case in most other polls recently.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: September 10, 2020, 10:07:05 AM »
Harris continues to have the best favorability ratings:

Favorabilities:

Kamala Harris: 43/37 (+6)
Joe Biden: 47/44 (+3)
Mike Pence: 38/42 (-4)
Donald Trump: 40/53 (-13)
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Skye
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« Reply #3 on: September 10, 2020, 10:08:00 AM »
You know you can edit your posts to include the rest of the info instead of posting multiple times in a row, right?
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Horus
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« Reply #4 on: September 10, 2020, 10:09:19 AM »
Trump still can't get above 44%
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #5 on: September 10, 2020, 10:13:59 AM »
#Dominating
#Bidenover50
#RNCBump #BoatCrashBump
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republican1993
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« Reply #6 on: September 10, 2020, 10:14:50 AM »
this race is going sideways nothing is happening, i'm excited for the debates maybe see a big move in either direction.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #7 on: September 10, 2020, 10:23:20 AM »
WOW. Harris has a 50/29 favorability with Women.
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VAR
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« Reply #8 on: September 10, 2020, 10:24:32 AM »
« Edited: September 10, 2020, 10:30:23 AM by VARepublican »
GCB: D 49-45 (LV), D 49-43 (RV)

Was D 50-42 in June.
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ExSky
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« Reply #9 on: September 10, 2020, 10:28:15 AM »
Harris was a great pick for Veep. Never take what the internet says seriously 😂
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #10 on: September 10, 2020, 10:33:49 AM »
Quote from: ExSky on September 10, 2020, 10:28:15 AM
Harris was a great pick for Veep. Never take what the internet says seriously 😂
This!!!
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Da2017
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« Reply #11 on: September 10, 2020, 10:58:23 AM »
Quote from: ExSky on September 10, 2020, 10:28:15 AM
Harris was a great pick for Veep. Never take what the internet says seriously 😂

The Biden campaign has smarter instincts than online punditry.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #12 on: September 10, 2020, 11:07:27 AM »
September 3-8
758 registered voters/758 likely voters weighted for their LV model
MoE: 3.6%

Among LVs (first national LV poll for Monomouth):

Biden 51%
Trump 44%
Hawkins 1%
Jorgensen 1%
Undecided 2%

Changes with August 6-10 poll among RVs:

Biden 51% (n/c)
Trump 42% (+1)
Hawkins 2% (+1)
Jorgensen 2% (n/c)
Other candidate 1% (n/c)
No one <1% (-1 from 1%, assuming this rounds downwards to zero)
Undecided 3% (-1)
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Rand
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« Reply #13 on: September 10, 2020, 11:30:00 AM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on September 10, 2020, 10:13:59 AM
#Dominating
#Bidenover50
#RNCBump #BoatCrashBump

#DeadSoldiersArePu**iesBump
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: September 10, 2020, 11:40:17 AM »
#Hawkinsurge
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President Johnson
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« Reply #15 on: September 10, 2020, 03:24:04 PM »
Reminder: The last poll that didn't have Joe Biden leading is from April, showing a tie (per RCP).
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #16 on: September 10, 2020, 06:17:57 PM »
I actually expect 51-44 to be the possible popular vote result on election day if Trump loses.

That generic ballot number is a bit concerning though.
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Annatar
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« Reply #17 on: September 11, 2020, 03:45:58 AM »
This is the first time in 2 months Trump has gotten a poll from a pollster that is similar to the pollster's final poll, Monmouth's final 2016 poll done Nov 3-6 had Clinton up 50-44, this poll has Biden up 51-44.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #18 on: September 11, 2020, 04:16:10 AM »
Quote from: Annatar on September 11, 2020, 03:45:58 AM
This is the first time in 2 months Trump has gotten a poll from a pollster that is similar to the pollster's final poll, Monmouth's final 2016 poll done Nov 3-6 had Clinton up 50-44, this poll has Biden up 51-44.

Say poll ONE more time, Annatar.  I dare you Tongue

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #19 on: September 11, 2020, 05:04:30 AM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on September 10, 2020, 06:17:57 PM
I actually expect 51-44 to be the possible popular vote result on election day if Trump loses.

That generic ballot number is a bit concerning though.

+6 is pretty in line with the 6-8 average we've been seeing
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tagimaucia
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« Reply #20 on: September 11, 2020, 07:13:43 AM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on September 10, 2020, 06:17:57 PM
I actually expect 51-44 to be the possible popular vote result on election day if Trump loses.

That generic ballot number is a bit concerning though.

No way in hell will there be 7% third-party voting on election day.  I think it will be between 1% and 2%.
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RFKFan68
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« Reply #21 on: September 12, 2020, 09:00:38 AM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on September 10, 2020, 06:17:57 PM
I actually expect 51-44 to be the possible popular vote result on election day if Trump loses.

That generic ballot number is a bit concerning though.
More like 54-46 or 54-45.... third parties are going to be like 1 or 2 percent of the vote.
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