NJ-Emerson: Biden +18

[VAR]

Sep 4-7, 500 LV, MoE: 4.4%

Biden 58%
Trump 40%

Trump approval: 38/56 (-18)

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/new-jersey-2020-biden-and-booker-with-significant-leads-in-the-garden-state

[bilaps]

It was 14,5% in 2016

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Someone else 2%

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Emerson isn't the best pollster, but given the lack of polling from anyone else I'll take it.

[solidcoalition]

Decent for Joe Biden

[Hammy]

It's funny to think how much talk there was (that I bought into) after 2004 that New Jersey would be Republican in another couple of cycles.

Almost like the Minnesota talk we're seeing.

[psychprofessor]

This certainly is a reasonable result - but to have the sample in NJ be 75% white is not realistic.

[Suburbia]

It's funny to think how much talk there was (that I bought into) after 2004 that New Jersey would be Republican in another couple of cycles.

Almost like the Minnesota talk we're seeing.

NJ can flip R under the right circumstances----barely

I think Trump does better in Sussex, that's about it

[Progressive Pessimist]

Seems about right, even by Emerson standards. It's especially interesting that Trump loses by the margin between his approval and disapproval.

[Ferguson97]

It's funny to think how much talk there was (that I bought into) after 2004 that New Jersey would be Republican in another couple of cycles.

Almost like the Minnesota talk we're seeing.

NJ can flip R under the right circumstances----barely

I think Trump does better in Sussex, that's about it

There are not currently any circumstances where NJ will flip R in a federal election

[DaleCooper]

Pre-pandemic there were some mentally ill people on PredictIt claiming that Trump would win the popular vote in part because he would outperform in New Jersey.