How would the world vote in the 2020 US Presidential Election?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 06:55:20 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  How would the world vote in the 2020 US Presidential Election?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: How would the world vote in the 2020 US Presidential Election?  (Read 1187 times)
Spark
Spark498
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: 0.00


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 07, 2020, 06:12:50 PM »

My bet is that China and Iran vote D. LOL
Logged
Cabbage
DatGOTTho
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,291
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: 0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 07, 2020, 07:40:19 PM »

And Russia's Solid R.
Logged
Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,245
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2020, 10:52:21 PM »

United States: A relatively close 49-46 vote for Biden.
Canada: A more re-assuring 66-31 victory for Biden.
Mexico: Biden wins a whopping 71-25 victory.
Venezuela: Biden wins here by a somewhat close 52-45 margin.
Brazil: The first country here to vote for Trump but narrowly. 49-47.
Argentina: Biden 58-39.
United Kingdom: A somewhat unexpectedly narrow margin for Biden 56-41%.
France: 65-32% margin for Biden.
Germany: This gives Biden one of his highest vote counts. 74-22% Biden here.
Poland: Trump actually wins here with a 51-46% margin.
Italy: Biden wins by a 55-41% margin.
Russia: Trump wins here by a 53-43% margin.
Sweden: Biden wins 70-27% here.
China: Biden wins 52-45% thanks to tariffs.
India: Biden wins here despite the friendly relations of Trump and the Prime Minister, Albeit narrowly. 50-46%.
Israel: This is Trump's best country. 83-14 Trump.
Palestinian Territories: Consequently, This is Trump's worst country. 91-5 Biden.
Iran: Biden as expected captures an easy 72-24% victory here.
Iraq: Biden wins here 65-32%.
Pakistan: The memories of the Obama presidency allow Trump to squeak by 49-47 here.
South Korea: This is the biggest upset by anyone. Trump wins here 48.4-47.8% thanks to his attempts of re-building relations with the North.
Japan: Biden wins by a somewhat unexpected narrow margin of 51-46.
Phillippines: Duterte is able to get good turnout for Trump, Leading to a 54-42 win for Trump.
Australia: Biden wins here 57-40%.
New Zealand: Even better for Biden, 62-36.
Egypt: Biden 63-34.
Kenya: Biden wins 56-40%.
DR Congo: Biden wins here 52-46%.
South Africa: Biden 55-42%.

OVERALL POPULAR VOTE: Biden 53%, Trump 43%.
Logged
😥
andjey
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,510
Ukraine
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 08, 2020, 07:46:12 AM »

Ukraine: Biden 59%, Trump 39%
Russia: Trump 65%, Biden 34%

Logged
bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,602
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2020, 02:31:09 PM »

Trump wins Russia, Poland, Hungary, and various other countries in the region. Eastern Europe is a good region for Trump. Ukraine is hard to say, as they would care about the Hunter Biden scandal, but obviously they oppose Russia.

A third party comes out of nowhere to win most Middle Eastern countries, a Muslim theocrat. Said candidate does OK in Indonesia, but Biden probably eckes it out there. Iran goes for their own candidate. Trump wins Lebanon and narrowly Israel (he did move the embassy)

Trump greatly overpreforms in so-called "minority majority" nations, as they're not the minority in their nation. I have no idea how well he does in Africa, many socially conservative but still very third world nations some (Angola) being socialist. In Latin America Trump wins Colombia handily but no idea how well he does elsewhere. Without COVID he'd probably win Brazil. India is quite competitive, Pakistan goes for the theocrat.

Overall, the election would be somewhat competitive. Western Europe and Canada would obviously be Safe Biden. Populist authoritarians win in third world countries all the time, and Africans in Africa don't seem to care much about African Americans and their struggles. Kamala Harris may hurt Biden in ultraconservative countries who don't want a woman on the ticket, but many of these are voting for the Muslim third party candidate anyway and it helps him in regards to nonwhite representation. Biden wins in the end.
Logged
AtorBoltox
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,976


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 15, 2020, 06:42:28 AM »

Trump wins Russia, Poland, Hungary, and various other countries in the region. Eastern Europe is a good region for Trump. Ukraine is hard to say, as they would care about the Hunter Biden scandal, but obviously they oppose Russia.

A third party comes out of nowhere to win most Middle Eastern countries, a Muslim theocrat. Said candidate does OK in Indonesia, but Biden probably eckes it out there. Iran goes for their own candidate. Trump wins Lebanon and narrowly Israel (he did move the embassy)

Trump greatly overpreforms in so-called "minority majority" nations, as they're not the minority in their nation. I have no idea how well he does in Africa, many socially conservative but still very third world nations some (Angola) being socialist. In Latin America Trump wins Colombia handily but no idea how well he does elsewhere. Without COVID he'd probably win Brazil. India is quite competitive, Pakistan goes for the theocrat.

Overall, the election would be somewhat competitive. Western Europe and Canada would obviously be Safe Biden. Populist authoritarians win in third world countries all the time, and Africans in Africa don't seem to care much about African Americans and their struggles. Kamala Harris may hurt Biden in ultraconservative countries who don't want a woman on the ticket, but many of these are voting for the Muslim third party candidate anyway and it helps him in regards to nonwhite representation. Biden wins in the end.

lol
Logged
Captain Chaos
GZ67
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 735
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2020, 09:25:39 AM »

Trump wins Russia, Poland, Hungary, and various other countries in the region. Eastern Europe is a good region for Trump. Ukraine is hard to say, as they would care about the Hunter Biden scandal, but obviously they oppose Russia.

A third party comes out of nowhere to win most Middle Eastern countries, a Muslim theocrat. Said candidate does OK in Indonesia, but Biden probably eckes it out there. Iran goes for their own candidate. Trump wins Lebanon and narrowly Israel (he did move the embassy)



If Biden is winning in Muslim countries, he is winning Lebanon. At best, Trump probably wins the Christian vote.
Logged
President Biden Democrat
mrappaport1220
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 569
United States


P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 15, 2020, 10:15:14 AM »

Biden overall would win and it wouldn't be close. I'd assume that Trump will win in Russia and some other majority christian countries, that are more conservative. Most of Europe, China, and most of the middle east, and Africa would vote for Biden.
Logged
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2020, 10:13:28 AM »
« Edited: September 16, 2020, 10:17:26 AM by MATTROSE94 »

Trump wins Russia, Poland, Hungary, and various other countries in the region. Eastern Europe is a good region for Trump. Ukraine is hard to say, as they would care about the Hunter Biden scandal, but obviously they oppose Russia.

A third party comes out of nowhere to win most Middle Eastern countries, a Muslim theocrat. Said candidate does OK in Indonesia, but Biden probably eckes it out there. Iran goes for their own candidate. Trump wins Lebanon and narrowly Israel (he did move the embassy)



If Biden is winning in Muslim countries, he is winning Lebanon. At best, Trump probably wins the Christian vote.
I think that Lebanon would be a 50-50 split in this election, as even though Joe Biden would easily win the votes of Lebanese Shi'a Muslims and the Druze, Donald Trump would do extremely well among Lebanese Christians and Lebanese Sunni Muslims. Still, Joe Biden would easily win the Middle East. The only other Middle Eastern countries that would vote for Donald Trump would be Israel, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, UAE, Kuwait, Morocco, Egypt, Armenia, Greece, and Cyprus (I considered Armenia, Greece, and Cyprus to be part of the Middle East). Donald Trump would also do very well among Iranian Christians, Iraqi Christians, Baha'is, Zoroastrians, and followers of the more minor religions in the Middle East.
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,800
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2020, 07:42:46 PM »

Our allies vote for Biden, our enemies/adversaries vote for Trump.
Logged
Samof94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,312
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2020, 12:38:33 PM »

What would be a swing country?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.04 seconds with 11 queries.