NM-1/2/3 (Research & Polling Inc.): Fernandez +15, Torres Small +2, Haaland +27
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  NM-1/2/3 (Research & Polling Inc.): Fernandez +15, Torres Small +2, Haaland +27
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Author Topic: NM-1/2/3 (Research & Polling Inc.): Fernandez +15, Torres Small +2, Haaland +27  (Read 378 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: September 07, 2020, 05:04:19 AM »
« edited: September 07, 2020, 05:09:16 AM by VARepublican »

NM-02 (404 LV, MoE: 4.8%)

Torres Small (D, inc.) 47%
Herrell (R) 45%

Trump leads by 4% in this district.

NM-01 (418 LV, MoE: 4.9%)

Haaland (D, inc.) 58%
Garcia Holmes (R) 31%

NM-03  (301 LV, MoE: 5.6%)

Fernandez (D) 50%
Johnson (R) 35%

https://www.abqjournal.com/1493963/journal-poll-lujan-leads-ronchetti-in-us-senate-race.html
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: September 07, 2020, 05:10:17 AM »
« Edited: September 07, 2020, 05:27:50 AM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

https://www.abqjournal.com/1493962/journal-poll-nms-2nd-congressional-district-too-close-to-call.html

August 26-September 2

NM-01
Undecided/don't know 11%

NM-02
Undecided/don't know 9%

NM-03
Undecided/don't know 15%
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2020, 06:17:37 AM »
« Edited: September 07, 2020, 07:07:26 AM by AncestralDemocrat. »

So.. NM-2 remains a tossup/tilt D.

How do the undecideds lean ?
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #3 on: September 07, 2020, 08:25:28 AM »

This poll apparently shows Trump leading by 4% in NM-02. I believe he won it by around 10% or so last time around. Obviously, the other two districts and New Mexico as a whole are solidly for Biden, but the Trump lead in NM-02 helps to highlight how competitive the congressional race there will be. Torres-Small remains one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the House, but she won't have to run that far ahead of Biden to pull off another win. For now, I'll consider NM-02 to still be a Tossup.
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S019
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« Reply #4 on: September 07, 2020, 11:47:36 AM »

If Small is up two in a sample that has Lujan only up 9 statewide, I'm willing to say that she's in a Lean D race.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #5 on: September 07, 2020, 12:30:07 PM »

One of the few true tossups in the House of D-held seats.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: September 07, 2020, 03:35:58 PM »

Rs can't even lead in one of their own districts, NM sweep
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