WI - Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports: Biden +8%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/wisconsin_biden_51_trump_43

September 1-2, 2020
1000 likely voters
MoE: 3%

Changes with the last Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen reports poll taken from August 5 to August 6, although that was an (R) poll of sorts as it was released by the American Greatness PAC.

Biden 51% (-4%)
Trump 43% (n/c)
Some other candidate 3% (+2% from Other with 1%)
Undecided 2% (+1%)

[Wiz in Wis]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

"The gang erases Pennsylvania, again":

https://twitter.com/TrackerDebate/status/1302973263879036929

[KaiserDave]

Finally, the RNC bump

[Mr. Illini]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

Is there really a path to victory for him if both of these are gone? Unlikely he wins PA or MI without WI.

[GeorgiaModerate]

"The gang erases Pennsylvania, again":

https://twitter.com/TrackerDebate/status/1302973263879036929

Makes me wonder if Rasmussen is just making up numbers.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

Is there really a path to victory for him if both of these are gone? Unlikely he wins PA or MI without WI.

I don't expect it to be too clear until mid-to-late September, but PA seems significantly more winnable for Trump than MI, MN or WI at the moment and there are arguably more important short-term political differences between it and the other three than there are between any two of those three states.

[Ferguson97]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

Is there really a path to victory for him if both of these are gone? Unlikely he wins PA or MI without WI.

Trump might think he can flip Minnesota... but if he's lost Wisconsin then I doubt it.

Best case scenario is a 269-269 tie if he's really triaging WI/MI/AZ.

[Alben Barkley]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

He won’t because his whole strategy at this point is based on assuming white people in Wisconsin and Minnesota are all racist and thus will vote for him, the “law and order” candidate, because of the riots in those states, even if they won’t admit it to pollsters.

There are obviously several flaws in these assumptions, but seems to me that’s what they’re doing.

[neostassenite31]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

He won’t because his whole strategy at this point is based on assuming white people in Wisconsin and Minnesota are all racist and thus will vote for him, the “law and order” candidate, because of the riots in those states, even if they won’t admit it to pollsters.

There are obviously several flaws in these assumptions, but seems to me that’s what they’re doing.

He doesn't seem to have a whole lot of options otherwise and he has less than 60 days left

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

He won’t because his whole strategy at this point is based on assuming white people in Wisconsin and Minnesota are all racist and thus will vote for him, the “law and order” candidate, because of the riots in those states, even if they won’t admit it to pollsters.

There are obviously several flaws in these assumptions, but seems to me that’s what they’re doing.

He doesn't seem to have a whole lot of options otherwise and he has less than 60 days left

The incumbent has several significant advantages in attempting to change the state of a race if only they're prepared to consider changing their governance.

[n1240]

Rasmussen is terrible regardless of what results they show and I really do question whether they're actually polling or just using a random number generator to spout out results at this point. Asking about governor Tom Wolf twice now in Wisconsin is highly suspect, along with Trump doing abnormally well among minority voters consistently in their polling and this poll making no sense relative to their national polling, where they currently show Trump with 51% approval.

[Kuumo]

"The gang erases Pennsylvania, again":

https://twitter.com/TrackerDebate/status/1302973263879036929

Makes me wonder if Rasmussen is just making up numbers.

Looks like they made up the great state of Wisconsylvania.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

Is there really a path to victory for him if both of these are gone? Unlikely he wins PA or MI without WI.

The polling evidence all along has indicated that there's a significant chance Trump wins PA without WI, despite the conventional wisdom early on.

[Canis]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

Is there really a path to victory for him if both of these are gone? Unlikely he wins PA or MI without WI.

The polling evidence all along has indicated that there's a significant chance Trump wins PA without WI, despite the conventional wisdom early on.

Yeah it seems Trumps investments into PA have been working as it has gone from the second most republican state to the most republican state
If I was in Trumps campaign id put in all my efforts on holding WI PA NC and FL and I would also be spending in IA OH TX and GA and not taking those states for granted the only Clinton states I would have any investment in would be MN and ME (mainly for ME-2) but biden shouldn't take ME for granted it has the right demographics to swing toward Trump in my opinion theirs a good chance it votes to the right of MN. MI and AZ are essentially gone for Trump and its looking like WI could get to that category soon if Trump doesn't make a major play for the state

[ProudModerate2]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.
If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

He won’t because his whole strategy at this point is based on assuming white people in Wisconsin and Minnesota are all racist and thus will vote for him, the “law and order” candidate, because of the riots in those states, even if they won’t admit it to pollsters.
There are obviously several flaws in these assumptions, but seems to me that’s what they’re doing.

I think you hit the nail on the head.
That is exactly the trump campaign's thinking for WI and MN.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The reason why WI flipped during Walker's tenure, wasn't because of racism, it was because of the Doyle scandals and Walker reformed schools to a Charter system, I lived in IL, I know; consequently, since schools, especially, Colleges, are going online, there is no need for Charter schools any longer.  Advantage, back to Evers and the Unions and the Dems

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Sweet. Wisconsin looks all but locked up. Will the Biden team shift some resources to Georgia or Texas now?


*Awaits Biden announcement about increasing spending in Minnesota & Virginia*

[DaleCooper]

I just don't trust Rasmussen, regardless of whether I like or dislike the numbers.

[BaldEagle1991]

Sweet. Wisconsin looks all but locked up. Will the Biden team shift some resources to Georgia or Texas now?


*Awaits Biden announcement about increasing spending in Minnesota & Virginia*

Trump's gonna start getting pissed when he loses Minnesota and Virginia thinking he could get those.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

Trump has already triaged the Rust Belt Rack and the 278 friewall.

[Arkansas Yankee]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

Trump has already triaged the Rust Belt Rack and the 278 friewall.

When this is all over you can stay a Democrat and try to straighten them out.   Do you our anyone in your family receive an income from  any Chinese entity? We do not need you back.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

He is basically conceding the election at that point, especially if keeps Michigan and Pennsylvania triaged too. The Keystone state, contrary to expectations, has clearly shown by now that it is still the most tried-and-true battleground of the three Kerry-Obama-Trump states, and yet Biden still maintains a fairly consistent mid to high single digit lead there too.

[forza nocta]

Apparently they only have Biden at 69% with black voters even though they have him up 8

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Apparently they only have Biden at 69% with black voters even though they have him up 8

Nice