MA Democratic primary - UMass Amherst: Pressley +4% (October)

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/StateoftheStateCovidOctober2020ToplinesBLMCovid.pdf

Oct 14-21
640 registered Democratic/independnent voters
MoE: 4.5% for full sample of 713 registered voters

In the event of a special election after a hypothetical Warren appointment to the Cabinet.

Ayanna Pressley 23%
Joe Kennedy III 19%
Maura Healey 12%
Deval Patrick 12%
Stephen Lynch 4%
Seth Moulton 4%
Jim McGovern 3%
Richard Neal 3%
Would not vote in a Democratic primary election 21%

[Figueira]

LOL, who's voting for Richard Neal?

[MillennialModerate]

The “21%” hurts Kennedy cause those voters are likely Kennedy voters. I’d say Neal, Moulton, Lynch voters are Kennedy voters. Healey voters go to Pressley and I’m not sure about Patrick.

This to me screams of a lot of people having the loss to Markey on their mind. Almost like the loss tarnished his image?

The one difference in this race isi tho I Kennedy would have most important Democrats behind him. Warren for one would likely give him a full throttled endorsement. I wouldn’t even be surprised to see national figures endorse him.

My gut tells me Joe wins but if he can lose to an incompetent empty suit - then he can lose to Pressley.

[Figueira]

The only people on this list I can see running are Kennedy and Pressley. Maybe Healey, but I think the assumption is that she wants to be Governor. (I doubt she bothers running against Baker though.)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Warren isn't leaving the Senate until.2022, she would hurt D chances if you goes for Cabinet Secretary before 2022 and she isn't Bidens will of Treasury Secretary anyways

Most like Ambassador after 2022

[Bootes Void]

Warren not going to the cabinet. Infact I don't think any senator is except Coons from Delaware

[Figueira]

Warren not going to the cabinet. Infact I don't think any senator is except Coons from Delaware

Yeah, this is another good point. I don't get the hype around Warren being in the cabinet.