NM-Research and Co: Biden +15 (user search)
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  NM-Research and Co: Biden +15 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NM-Research and Co: Biden +15  (Read 1878 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: September 06, 2020, 01:13:38 AM »

Confirmation of what we already knew, that New Mexico is Safe D. Like I said elsewhere, I think Biden will ultimately win by a margin comparable to those of Barack Obama in 2008 and Michelle Lujan-Grisham in 2018. Why the Trump campaign ever thought that they had a chance here is perplexing to me.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2020, 06:42:18 PM »

Wow! That's actually a pretty big margin. Obviously New Mexico is safe D and was always going to swing back to how it voted in both of Obama's elections, but I was under the impression that Democrats had a ceiling of 12% or so here as states like Colorado and Virginia would surpass it as far as them voting Democratic by more. I guess not! Good news for bellwether Valencia County, hopefully.

Michelle Lujan-Grisham lost Valencia County in 2018 while winning statewide by 14%, though I think it's possible that Steve Pearce had something of a "native son" boost there, considering that most of Valencia County is located within his old congressional district (NM-02). Most other statewide Democrats, including Martin Heinrich and Hector Balderas, carried the county.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2020, 08:52:02 AM »

Excellent news for XTS as this poll implies Trump is up by no more than 4 points in NM-02.

You are correct!
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