WI - Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports: Biden +8%

[redjohn]

Apparently they only have Biden at 69% with black voters even though they have him up 8

With HRC's D+86 result with Black voters in 2016, Biden is obviously favored in WI. Turnout should be sharply up compared to last cycle.

[Orwell]

Getting some herding in WI right now, with Biden consistently at 50+ and about 6-8 point lead.

If Trump is really "triaging" Arizona, I wonder how long before he triages Wisconsin.

Trump has already triaged the Rust Belt Rack and the 278 friewall.

When this is all over you can stay a Democrat and try to straighten them out.   Do you our anyone in your family receive an income from  any Chinese entity? We do not need you back.

Don't worry you'll join us, you'll be sent to reeducation after President AOC's victory in 2024

[Brittain33]

Remember that Trump got 290,000 more votes than Romney in 2016 in Pennsylvania, 160,000 more in Michigan, and 2,000 fewer in Wisconsin.

In other words, Trump had unique strength in Pennsylvania where Clinton was reasonably strong (and had an active campaign), while he benefited from Clinton's unique weakness (and voter suppression) in Wisconsin. Trump won Pennsylvania, Clinton lost Wisconsin.

So if Trump's losing Republicans and we're seeing a surge in Dem turnout in Wisconsin, that should lead to a bigger gap than in Pennsylvania, where Dem turnout was already high in 2016, it just got blown out of the water by Trump's popularity.

Alternatively, or perhaps in addition, we should consider a voter suppression penalty for Biden in Wisconsin that will deflate his poll numbers.

[Tender Branson]

Good news, coming from (R)asmussen.