1968: LBJ vs George Romney

[ChrisMcDanielWasRobbed]

Let's say LBJ stays in and wins at the convention while the GOP goes with George Romney.

I think this would have been an ideal situation for George Wallace to do much better and the election would have been deadlocked.

[ChrisMcDanielWasRobbed]

Wallace would have done much better in the south. He almost certainly would have won Tennessee, South Carolina, and North Carolina.

[President Johnson]

I think the possibility for a Johnson re-election is generally underrated for all 1968 discussions, although I may be biased here. He was a mater politician and had incumbency advantage. Wallace does better with a moderate Republican, picking up Southern states. Not sur about Florida in this scenario, I think any of the three could win with with less than 40% of the vote.

✓ President Lyndon B. Johnson (D-TX)/Vice President Hubert H. Humphrey (D-MN): 273 EV. (45.09%)
Governor George W. Romney (R-MI)/Governor James Rhodes (R-OH): 199 EV. (38.27%)
Former Governor George C. Wallace (A-AL)/General Curtis E. LeMay (A-CA): 66 EV. (15.48%)

[dw93]

I think, baring Johnson actually achieving a Peace agreement or staying out of 'Nam all together, this is the map:

Governor George Romney (R-MI) / Sen. Mark Hatfield (R-OR): 328 EV
President Lyndon Johnson (D-TX) / Vice President Hubert Humphrey (D-MN): 124 EV
Governor George Wallace (AI-AL) / Curtis LeMay (AI-California): 86 EV