San Diego-SurveyUSA: Biden +24

[Tender Branson]

SD means San Diego City in this case.

60% Biden
36% Trump

About: SurveyUSA interviewed 600 adults from the city of San Diego 08/28/2020 through 08/31/2020. Of the adults, 534 are registered to vote in the state of California. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA judged 517 likely to return a ballot on or before the Election Day deadline. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (47% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (53% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, laptop, desktop computer or other electronic device. Early voting begins 10/05/2020, 5 weeks from today.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=39181317-5e1c-436b-906f-1784b0f80807

Does anyone know how the city voted in 2016 ?

[Hope For A New Era]

STOP POLLING TITANIUM PLACES

[VAR]

SD means San Diego City in this case.

60% Biden
36% Trump

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=39181317-5e1c-436b-906f-1784b0f80807

Does anyone know how the city voted in 2016 ?

Clinton 66-28

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

STOP POLLING TITANIUM PLACES

They were polling for the mayoral race and amendments etc.

Sad that we didn't get a South Dakota poll, though.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Boo.  You did that on purpose, Tender

[Hope For A New Era]

STOP POLLING TITANIUM PLACES

They were polling for the mayoral race and amendments etc.

Sad that we didn't get a South Dakota poll, though.

A good SD poll is a poll of those counties in northeastern South Dakota that voted Obama in 2012. That might actually tell us something.

[Gracile]

Someone should change the title to San Diego as it is greatly misleading.

[kph14]

I'd be very surprised if Trump gets 36% in the city of San Diego

[WD]

I thought this was South Dakota for a second lmao

[Tender Branson]

Boo.  You did that on purpose, Tender

Yes.

[Skill and Chance]

SD means San Diego City in this case.

60% Biden
36% Trump

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=39181317-5e1c-436b-906f-1784b0f80807

Does anyone know how the city voted in 2016 ?

Clinton 66-28

Confirmation of a pro-Trump Hispanic swing?

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

More clickbait from Tender Branson !

Right after the conclusion of tonight's ballgame. 

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

SD means San Diego City in this case.

60% Biden
36% Trump

About: SurveyUSA interviewed 600 adults from the city of San Diego 08/28/2020 through 08/31/2020. Of the adults, 534 are registered to vote in the state of California. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA judged 517 likely to return a ballot on or before the Election Day deadline. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (47% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (53% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, laptop, desktop computer or other electronic device. Early voting begins 10/05/2020, 5 weeks from today.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=39181317-5e1c-436b-906f-1784b0f80807

Does anyone know how the city voted in 2016 ?

I literally said “WHAAAAAAT?!” out loud.

[Person Man]

Maybe Biden underperforming here and still leading a lot nationally isn't that bad...

[Skill and Chance]

Maybe Biden underperforming here and still leading a lot nationally isn't that bad...

Well, it's a strike against using CA to reconcile the state polls with the national polls.  Would suggest one type of polling has to be right and the other wrong.

[Roronoa D. Law]

I mean when you look at a city like San Diego where exactly does Trump improve?

[Horus]

I mean when you look at a city like San Diego where exactly does Trump improve?

Middle class Latino voters? Either way if Trump improves in Cali that's fine, just means biden voters are more evenly spread than four years ago.

[wbrocks67]

Well California polling notoriously underpolls Democrats so it wouldn't be surprising if Biden underpolled here but made it up with the actual election votes

[Skye]

It would be great if mods could remove the clickbait title.

Anyways, this would be believable if this were a poll of San Diego county. But San Diego city voted for Clinton 65.9-28. There's no way Trump's improving that much this year in the city.

[YE]

Jeez you people are no fun (re: title).

[HAnnA MArin County]

For some context, San Diego City's presidential electoral history:

2016: D+ 37.40 (Clinton 65.07% - Trump 27.67% - Johnson 3.87% - Stein 1.93% - Write-ins 1.20%)
2012: D+ 24.76 (Obama 61.04% - Romney 36.28% - Johnson 1.30% - Stein 0.58% - Write-ins 0.41%)
2008: D+ 26.69 (Obama 62.23% - McCain 35.54% - Nader 0.73% - Write-ins 0.55% - Barr 0.50%)
2004: D+ 11.12 (Kerry 54.89% - Bush 43.77% - Badnarik 0.44% - Write-ins 0.31% - Cobb 0.26%)
2000: D+ 10.74 (Gore 52.90% - Bush 42.16% - Nader 3.90% - Browne 0.43% - Write-ins 0.36%)
1996: D+ 10.78 (Clinton 50.57% - Dole 39.79% - Perot 6.20% - Nader 2.01% - Browne 0.81%)
1992: D+ 11.68 (Clinton 43.53% - Bush 31.85% - Perot 23.89% - Marrou 0.49%)
1988: R+ 10.73 (Bush 54.67% - Dukakis 43.94% - Ron Paul 0.80% - Fulani 0.33% - Griffin 0.26%)
1984: R+ 20.51 (Reagan 59.61% - Mondale 39.10% - Bergland 0.61% - Richards 0.38%)
1980: R+ 23.64 (Reagan 54.96% - Carter 31.32% - Anderson 11.02% - Clark 1.53% - Commoner 0.73%)

[n1240]

STOP POLLING TITANIUM PLACES

It's not as if pollsters are randomly deciding to poll this places on a whim. Local media sponsored the poll and they asked questions about San Diego races, and happened to ask a question about the presidential race as well.

[Calthrina950]

For some context, San Diego City's presidential electoral history:

2016: D+ 37.40 (Clinton 65.07% - Trump 27.67% - Johnson 3.87% - Stein 1.93% - Write-ins 1.20%)
2012: D+ 24.76 (Obama 61.04% - Romney 36.28% - Johnson 1.30% - Stein 0.58% - Write-ins 0.41%)
2008: D+ 26.69 (Obama 62.23% - McCain 35.54% - Nader 0.73% - Write-ins 0.55% - Barr 0.50%)
2004: D+ 11.12 (Kerry 54.89% - Bush 43.77% - Badnarik 0.44% - Write-ins 0.31% - Cobb 0.26%)
2000: D+ 10.74 (Gore 52.90% - Bush 42.16% - Nader 3.90% - Browne 0.43% - Write-ins 0.36%)
1996: D+ 10.78 (Clinton 50.57% - Dole 39.79% - Perot 6.20% - Nader 2.01% - Browne 0.81%)
1992: D+ 11.68 (Clinton 43.53% - Bush 31.85% - Perot 23.89% - Marrou 0.49%)
1988: R+ 10.73 (Bush 54.67% - Dukakis 43.94% - Ron Paul 0.80% - Fulani 0.33% - Griffin 0.26%)
1984: R+ 20.51 (Reagan 59.61% - Mondale 39.10% - Bergland 0.61% - Richards 0.38%)
1980: R+ 23.64 (Reagan 54.96% - Carter 31.32% - Anderson 11.02% - Clark 1.53% - Commoner 0.73%)

Very interesting. Hillary Clinton clearly had the best Democratic performance ever in the City of San Diego, at least as far back as your calculations go. Trump got less than 30% of the vote there, John McCain and Mitt Romney both got in the mid-30s, and George W. Bush (the last Republican to win San Diego County), is also the last Republican to manage over 40% of the vote in San Diego City. San Diego's shift away from Republicans after 1988 (the last time it voted for that Party at the presidential level) seems to correlate with the end of the Cold War, the diminution of Southern California's defensive industries, and the acceleration of unfavorable demographic trends against that Party.