KS-03 D internals: Davids up by double digits, overperforming Biden

[Gracile]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1301186552362663938

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

yeah, KS-03 is lost for Republicans. NE-02 doesn't come too far after this time either.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

yeah, KS-03 is lost for Republicans. NE-02 doesn't come too far after this time either.

Your signature is just the most delightful thing ever, Weatherboy. 

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

yeah, KS-03 is lost for Republicans. NE-02 doesn't come too far after this time either.

Your signature is just the most delightful thing ever, Weatherboy. 

I think it sums up the thoughts of a lot of posters here including me.

[Gracile]

We have seen little polling from the former Clinton/Republican 2016 districts that Democrats picked up in 2018. This internal poll combined with some of the internals from more Republican districts with the same profile (suburban districts mainly) implies that many of the Democratic incumbents in these districts could be winning by significant margins and remain outside the realm of competitiveness.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

We have seen little polling from the former Clinton/Republican 2016 districts that Democrats picked up in 2018. This internal poll combined with some of the internals from more Republican districts with the same profile (suburban districts mainly) implies that many of the Democratic incumbents in these districts could be winning by significant margins and remain outside the realm of competitiveness.

Yeah, the only ones in play are really CA-25 and FL-26 right? other competitive districts voted trump in 2016 (SC-01 and OK-05 most obviously)

[Roll Roons]

We have seen little polling from the former Clinton/Republican 2016 districts that Democrats picked up in 2018. This internal poll combined with some of the internals from more Republican districts with the same profile (suburban districts mainly) implies that many of the Democratic incumbents in these districts could be winning by significant margins and remain outside the realm of competitiveness.

Yeah, the only ones in play are really CA-25 and FL-26 right? other competitive districts voted trump in 2016 (SC-01 and OK-05 most obviously)

CA-21, CA-48 and NJ-07 are very much in play. CA-39, FL-27 and TX-07 are also varying degrees of competitive. Also Sabato moved WA-08 from Likely D to Lean today based on Schrier's weaker than expected performance in the primary. I think she'll be alright this year, but watch that seat in 2022 if Trump loses.