2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread

[Rep Jessica]

Last updated: 09/12/2020 09:39 AM Eastern Time

Voters have cast a total of 19,331 ballots in the reporting states of IL, NC, and SC. Military and overseas civilians have primarily cast these ballots.

[Rep Jessica]

Voters have cast a total of 22,774 ballots in the reporting states of FL, IL, NC, and SC.
Returned
NC 22,709
IL 31
SC 10
FL 24

[Rep Jessica]

Michael McDonald
@ElectProject
·
4h
#earlyvote update 9/17

81,012 voters have cast ballots in the 2020 general election https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202

[Rep Jessica]

Here is north Carolina on the 19th of September 2016. North Carolina today had over 116,494.

[Rep Jessica]

Early voting numbers for day 1(09/19) :
Virginia : 34684
https://twitter.com/Elections2020Us/status/1307660200527175680

[Rep Jessica]

My God! Here is the first bunch of returned absentee ballots from Madison, WI over the weekend.

https://twitter.com/MadisonWIClerk/status/1308071891039662083?s=20

This is good news right? That means that they got them back relatively fast?

It means the ballots got put in the mail last Tuesday, got to the voter, the voter completed it, mailed it back, and it got back to the clerk's office today.

Yeah, there was analysis going around that the USPS VBM issues would mostly affect rural more than suburban or urban voters, since the latter already live close to processing centers and clerks, so the delay would be minimal.

SInce most democrats live in the city and suburban areas you'd think this would favor democrats and be bad for republicans.

[Rep Jessica]

988 votes by Mail + 36,740 in person in Virginia
1,180 votes in Michigan
3,397 votes in Wisconsin
350 in south Carolina

[Rep Jessica]

Michael McDonald
@ElectProject
·
32m
#earlyvote update 9/23

At least 368,454 people have voted in the 2020 general election https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

[Rep Jessica]

Michael McDonald
@ElectProject
·
9m
#earlyvote update midday 9/28

More than 1 million people have voted in the 2020 general election!
🥳
 https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202

[Rep Jessica]

Florida 51,353 ballots returned     https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/edit#gid=1837208868

Voters have cast a total of 1,144,059 ballots in the reporting states. (Before the data above from Florida so add another 18k to the total) https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

[Rep Jessica]

Virginia:360,050
Wisconsin:308,555
North Carolina:275,144
Minnesota:75,511
Georgia:40,285
South Dakota:36,060
New Jersey:34,107
Florida: 33,423
Michigan:28,003
Illinois:26,423
South Carolina:2,692
Montana:708
Iowa:587
Ohio:153
https://twitter.com/Elections2020Us

[Rep Jessica]

Umichvoter
@umichvoter99
·
51s
Statewide ballots at 70,000 in Florida already
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/edit#gid=1837208868

[Rep Jessica]

Michael McDonald
@ElectProject
·
3h
#earlyvote morning update 10/1

At least 2 million people have voted in the 2020 general election
Partying face


Because morning reports are for yesterday's activity, this means at least 2 million people voted in September https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202

[Rep Jessica]

MD and PA #earlyvote daily reports posted. Now at least 2.1 million voted in the 2020 general election https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202

[Rep Jessica]

251,103 people have voted in Florida

Democratic 135,509 (54.0%)
Republican 70,103 (27.9%)
Others 45,491 (18.1%)

Google Doc: https://tinyurl.com/y2wulups

[Rep Jessica]

335,793 people have voted in Florida (with ~99k ballots today)

DEM: 181,106 (53.9%)
REP: 91,640 (27.3%)
NPA+Minor Parties: 63,047 (18.8%)

Google Doc:  https://tinyurl.com/y2wulups

[Rep Jessica]

 FLORIDA

407,313 ballots CAST (ALL Vote-By-Mail)

Democratic 216,915 (53.3%)
Republican 113,864 (28.0%)
Others 76,534 (18.7%)

[Rep Jessica]

[Rep Jessica]

Michael McDonald
@ElectProject
South Dakota #earlyvote update in. At least 2.9 million people have voted in the 2020 general election https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202

22.8% of 2016 total turn out! https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

[Rep Jessica]

Andrew Bond
@AndrewBond3
·
14m
Amazing how many ballots have come in so far today in FL. 538K (3.7% turnout) in this morning was 462K.  So 76K in so far today. I could see FL hitting 1M returned by Wednesday. Still under 1% in Brevard, Clay, Hernando, Miami, Orange, Pinellas, Polk, Santa Rosa, Seminole.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/edit#gid=1837208868

[Rep Jessica]

#earlyvote morning update 10/4

At least 3,298,165 people have voted in the 2020 general election https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202

[Rep Jessica]

Florida Turnout Update (all VBM)

DEM: 562,554
GOP: 309,776
OTHERS: 206,847

TOTAL: 1,079,177

Dems have a 252,778 registration advantage

[Rep Jessica]

Michael McDonald
@ElectProject
·
4m
#earlyvote cast as a percentage of *total* 2016 vote is truly amazing

SD: 22.8%
VA 20.7%
WI: 20.6%
WY: 14.9%
VT: 14% (report from yesterday)
MI: 13.1% (report from yesterday)
ND: 12.1%
NJ: 12.3%
FL: 12.3%
MN: 11.3% (report from last Fri.)

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202

[Rep Jessica]

I am going to guess that If the democrats have at least a 20% lead in early-in person/mail votes in Florida once it totals over 5 million, they'll likely be able to win the state. It would be unimaginable to think that republicans can catch up with the other half of the vote on election day. There's over 5.5 million votes out too so it is possible we will get there.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/edit#gid=1837208868

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/FL.html

[Rep Jessica]

Jon Ralston
@RalstonReports
·
17m
The early voting blog is updated!

Dems have gained 3,000 on their voter registration lead over the GOP in Clark County since mid-September. They are gaining hundreds every day now.

Also, a look at key Assembly races.