2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread

[Stuart98]

This is bad for Biden.
High turnout in these even slightly red counties does not help.

Okay doomer.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

This is bad for Biden.
High turnout in these even slightly red counties does not help.

So it's come to this. Folks are now saying a high turnout election favors TRUMP rather than the Democrat.

What's next? Trump somehow getting COVID and folks saying that it's bad for Biden?

[Holmes]

Voted this afternoon early in person, took about 40 minutes to get in.

This is Wayne County, NC. They had curbside voting, looked to be doing three at a time and there was a steady 15 or 20 people in line, the whole time I was there.

Never seen it this busy for early in person voting.

Is Wayne a reddish county?

it's quite Republican. It even went for Dole in 2008 in her losing re-election bid.

Looks pretty inelastic too. Went R by 10-12 points the past three elections.

[Non Swing Voter]

pretty slow day for reporting it seems. 

[Non Swing Voter]

of course after I write that:

https://twitter.com/HarrisVotes/status/1317636058809569281

[walleye26]

of course after I write that:

https://twitter.com/HarrisVotes/status/1317636058809569281

This is 44.6% of 2016 total votes, for reference.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Early voted today in Tarrant County. Not much of a line at our voting site, but there were like 30 machines in the building so I'm sure that helped. The weird thing was that there were no covid precautions really, I had to sign the electronic screen with my finger and had to vote on the digital screen with my finger as well, no sanitization or anything.

[Non Swing Voter]

I wonder how much of the Texas increase is attributed to the fact that lots of professionals from the two coasts are moving in, increasing the population almost exclusively with high propensity voters.

Is there any evidence that hispanics and/or other low propensity voters are also turning out? 

If both groups are in large numbers maybe it's the perfect storm to screw Trump and the GOP.

[Gass3268]

I wonder how much of the Texas increase is attributed to the fact that lots of professionals from the two coasts are moving in, increasing the population almost exclusively with high propensity voters.

Is there any evidence that hispanics and/or other low propensity voters are also turning out? 

If both groups are in large numbers maybe it's the perfect storm to screw Trump and the GOP.

Exit polling suggested Beto won native born Texans.

Turnout in the RGV looks good.

[NOVA Green]

If anyone is interested, I can post the 2016 EV vs ED numbers by County for over 50% of the Counties in TX, and even break those numbers down further by GE-PRES numbers.

Don't want to waste my time on that if there is no interest.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

If anyone is interested, I can post the 2016 EV vs ED numbers by County for over 50% of the Counties in TX, and even break those numbers down further by GE-PRES numbers.

Don't want to waste my time on that if there is no interest.

Can you do Collin County plz.

[republican1993]

If anyone is interested, I can post the 2016 EV vs ED numbers by County for over 50% of the Counties in TX, and even break those numbers down further by GE-PRES numbers.

Don't want to waste my time on that if there is no interest.

yes pls!

[Non Swing Voter]

Another note on Texas...

In like a week, Texas has jumped to the 2nd highest percent of the 2016 vote at 38.3%.  Only trailing Vermont.  Obviously Texas is a rapidly growing state but still it seems clear that GOP efforts to suppress the vote have failed spectacularly.  

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

[Bootes Void]

Another note on Texas...

In like a week, Texas has jumped to the 2nd highest percent of the 2016 vote at 38.3%.  Only trailing Vermont.  Obviously Texas is a rapidly growing state but still it seems clear that GOP efforts to suppress the vote have failed spectacularly.  

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

Reminds of me of what happend in Wisconsin earlier this year

[ProgressiveModerate]

Another note on Texas...

In like a week, Texas has jumped to the 2nd highest percent of the 2016 vote at 38.3%.  Only trailing Vermont.  Obviously Texas is a rapidly growing state but still it seems clear that GOP efforts to suppress the vote have failed spectacularly.  

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

Texas typically has lower turnout in Presidential cycles; some of the worst, so it's good to see that this cycle, that is likely to change as TX is more competative and has gotten more national attention.

[Gass3268]

Another note on Texas...

In like a week, Texas has jumped to the 2nd highest percent of the 2016 vote at 38.3%.  Only trailing Vermont.  Obviously Texas is a rapidly growing state but still it seems clear that GOP efforts to suppress the vote have failed spectacularly.  

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

Texas typically has lower turnout in Presidential cycles; some of the worst, so it's good to see that this cycle, that is likely to change as TX is more competative and has gotten more national attention.

It's not an over exaggeration that a mix of Beto and Trump have accelerated the trajectory of Texas.

[republican1993]

Georgia's AA vote is at 30% for AA voters - slowly going down each day with the early voting (in line with 2016 with the exit polls) i wonder if it will crack below 30%

[Rep Jessica]

FLORIDA



2,497,358 votes cast

Democratic 1,222,160 (48.9%)
Republican 754,597 (30.2%)
Others 520,601 (20.9%)

Dem lead increases to 467,563

Since it was the weekend, only ~95k ballots were processed today

[soundchaser]

Those Florida numbers are still gobsmacking. Even when Obama won in 2012 Democrats only had a 3% lead at the end of early voting. I’m not saying it’s in the bag for Biden (obviously this election’s voting patterns are going to be different), but it does seem like a lot to overcome on Election Day.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Those Florida numbers are still gobsmacking. Even when Obama won in 2012 Democrats only had a 3% lead at the end of early voting. I’m not saying it’s in the bag for Biden (obviously this election’s voting patterns are going to be different), but it does seem like a lot to overcome on Election Day.

Early voting starts Monday and I expect Republicans to start narrowing the gap once people start voting in person, this is what happened in the aug primary, Dems had a lead with mail in votes and the GOP led with early voting and e-day voting, but overall Dems won the total vote because of their advantage with mail ins, I wonder if that pattern will hold now

[Hammy]

My vote is officially cast--the SoS state received my absentee ballot yesterday and today was listed as accepted.

[Rep Jessica]

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-3

Great day for Trump and the Republican party in Nevada. The in person for the most part was much better then 2016 for Trump. Maybe there's a chance!!!

[soundchaser]

As Ralston says in that post (if you actually read it), he expected the GOP to do better in Clark, possibly even winning the day. They didn’t. He also says that the mail-in ballots continue to look good for Democrats, canceling out the GOP in the rurals.

[Dr. Arch]

As Ralston says in that post (if you actually read it), he expected the GOP to do better in Clark, possibly even winning the day. They didn’t. He also says that the mail-in ballots continue to look good for Democrats, canceling out the GOP in the rurals.

You can bet that they didn't read it.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-3

Great day for Trump and the Republican party in Nevada. The in person for the most part was much better then 2016 for Trump. Maybe there's a chance!!!

Ok karen