2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread

[OSR stands with Israel]

https://twitter.com/bishop_gains/status/1317496023078510592

Mods please delete this as it is entirely misleading and outright false. OSR mindlessly posted something that is blatantly false and has no basis in reality. The person who posted this tweet is a Trump cultist who has no credibility and no sources on any of this.

Ok I’ll delete it

[Lief 🗽]

There's a better chance of Biden winning Denton outright than Trump coming anywhere close to those numbers.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

https://twitter.com/bishop_gains/status/1317496023078510592

Is this more Target Smart crap?

Maybe, but also Biden kinda did triage the state basically

With the strong momentum around flipping the State House and the heavy-lifting by TX Dems, Beto, Hegar & now the Senate Majority PAC, Biden "triaging" the state probably doesn't make much of a difference

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/bishop_gains/status/1317496023078510592

Is this more Target Smart crap?

Maybe, but also Biden kinda did triage the state basically

With the strong momentum around flipping the State House and the heavy-lifting by TX Dems, Beto, Hegar & now the Senate Majority PAC, Biden "triaging" the state probably doesn't make much of a difference

Why is Biden triaging the state though?  It's clearly going to be much closer than it as in 2016 and Biden has much more money than Trump.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/tripgabriel/status/1317534537799376898

[forza nocta]

https://twitter.com/bishop_gains/status/1317496023078510592

Is this more Target Smart crap?

Maybe, but also Biden kinda did triage the state basically

With the strong momentum around flipping the State House and the heavy-lifting by TX Dems, Beto, Hegar & now the Senate Majority PAC, Biden "triaging" the state probably doesn't make much of a difference

Why is Biden triaging the state though?  It's clearly going to be much closer than it as in 2016 and Biden has much more money than Trump.

They literally sent Jill Biden there this week and the polling averages Biden’s campaign manager was putting out had Texas at like Trump +1.5. I doubt they’re triaging the state as they’ve been on and off with ads in the state all cycle.

[Holmes]

I don’t think Biden’s campaign is triaging Texas? Harris was literally about the spend three days in Texas until a staffer she was in contact with tested positive for COVID... not really something a campaign that’s triaging the state would do.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

How is Biden triaging Texas?

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/tripgabriel/status/1317534537799376898

First day and ONLY 3 hours.

I had to wait 4 hours in Fairfax County after weeks of early voting.  Very lame.

[Brittain33]

How is Biden triaging Texas?

The twitter account that monitors spending noted that Biden canceled some planned spending there a few days ago.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/HarrisVotes/status/1317521265687695360

[Non Swing Voter]

How is Biden triaging Texas?

The twitter account that monitors spending noted that Biden canceled some planned spending there a few days ago.

Yeah.  Biden campaign cut spending in Colorado, Virginia, Texas I believe.  First two was a good decision.  Don't get the Texas cut.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

https://twitter.com/HarrisVotes/status/1317521265687695360

All are at 0-24 minutes which is a good thing considering Abbott's dropbox limiting insanity.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Day 4 of early voting in Texas (In-person + VBM) (October 16)

HARRIS COUNTY (Houston)
2012:   252,752     12.6%
2016:   366,483     16.4%
2018:   304,889     13.0%
2020:   511,675     20.6%

DALLAS COUNTY (Dallas)
2012:   151,141     12.8%
2016:   232,807     18.1%
2018:   222,957     16.7%
2020:   275,607     19.7%

TARRANT COUNTY (Fort Worth)
2012:   147,251     15.1%
2016:   195,816     18.2%
2018:   178,814     15.9%
2020:   227,291     18.8%

BEXAR COUNTY (San Antonio)
2012:   138,203     15.1%
2016:   177,661     17.0%
2018:   153,135     13.9%
2020:   209,439     17.6%

TRAVIS COUNTY (Austin)
2012:     74,805     11.8%
2016:   157,571     21.7%
2018:   147,325     19.0%
2020:   186,280     21.8%

COLLIN COUNTY (Dallas suburbs)
2012:     72,485     15.8%
2016:   122,582     22.8%
2018:   119,114     20.5%
2020:   162,458     25.0%

DENTON COUNTY (Dallas suburbs)
2012:     56,044     14.5%
2016:     83,286     17.9%
2018:     82,914     16.7%
2020:   152,423     27.0%

EL PASO COUNTY (El Paso)
2012:    36,427      9.5%
2016:    66,657     15.6%
2018:    66,887     14.7%
2020:    87,695     18.0%

FORT BEND COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:    58,227     17.1%
2016:    80,321     19.9%
2018:    78,519     18.2%
2020:    92,097     19.1%

HIDALGO COUNTY (Rio Grande Valley)
2012:    43,236     14.2%
2016:    65,635     19.4%
2018:    54,427     15.1%
2020:    73,101     18.7%

WILLIAMSON COUNTY (Austin suburbs)
2012:     39,058     15.4%
2016:     72,714     24.2%
2018:     74,933     22.5%
2020:   104,281     27.7%

MONTGOMERY COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:    45,490     17.2%
2016:    58,615     18.8%
2018:    55,500     16.6%
2020:    63,334     17.1%

GALVESTON COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:    33,085     17.9%
2016:    44,950     21.6%
2018:    41,145     19.4%
2020:    66,554     29.1%

CAMERON COUNTY (Rio Grande Valley)
2012:    17,183      9.5%
2016:    27,678     14.0%
2018:    26,046     12.6%
2020:    40,214     18.4%

NUECES COUNTY (Corpus Christi)
2012:    22,403     11.7%
2016:    30,272     15.2%
2018:    31,625     15.4%
2020:    46,341     21.9%

[ExSky]

Republicans have to straight up lie to themselves to feel better. Can’t believe anyone thought that Denton County data was true. But I guess if you’re desperate enough to find any sort of good news you become sympathetic to outright lies

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Day 4 of early voting in Texas (In-person + VBM) (October 16

HARRIS COUNTY (Houston)
2012:   252,752     12.6%
2016:   366,483     16.4%
2018:   304,889     13.0%
2020:   511,675     20.6%

DALLAS COUNTY (Dallas)
2012:   151,141     12.8%
2016:   232,807     18.1%
2018:   222,957     16.7%
2020:   275,607     19.7%

TARRANT COUNTY (Fort Worth)
2012:   147,251     15.1%
2016:   195,816     18.2%
2018:   178,814     15.9%
2020:   227,291     18.8%

BEXAR COUNTY (San Antonio)
2012:   138,203     15.1%
2016:   177,661     17.0%
2018:   153,135     13.9%
2020:   209,439     17.6%

TRAVIS COUNTY (Austin)
2012:    74,805     11.8%
2016:   157,571     21.7%
2018:   147,325     19.0%
2020:   186,280     21.8%

COLLIN COUNTY (Dallas suburbs)
2012:     72,485     15.8%
2016:   122,582     22.8%
2018:   119,114     20.5%
2020:   162,458     25.0%

DENTON COUNTY (Dallas suburbs)
2012:     56,044     14.5%
2016:     83,286     17.9%
2018:     82,914     16.7%
2020:   152,423     27.0%

EL PASO COUNTY (El Paso)
2012:    36,427      9.5%
2016:    66,657     15.6%
2018:    66,887     14.7%
2020:    87,695     18.0%

FORT BEND COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:    58,227     17.1%
2016:    80,321     19.9%
2018:    78,519     18.2%
2020:    92,097     19.1%

HIDALGO COUNTY (Rio Grande Valley)
2012:    43,236     14.2%
2016:    65,635     19.4%
2018:    54,427     15.1%
2020:    73,101     18.7%

WILLIAMSON COUNTY (Austin suburbs)
2012:     39,058     15.4%
2016:     72,714     24.2%
2018:     74,933     22.5%
2020:   104,281     27.7%

MONTGOMERY COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:    45,490     17.2%
2016:    58,615     18.8%
2018:    55,500     16.6%
2020:    63,334     17.1%

GALVESTON COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:    33,085     17.9%
2016:    44,950     21.6%
2018:    41,145     19.4%
2020:    66,554     29.1%

CAMERON COUNTY (Rio Grande Valley)
2012:    17,183      9.5%
2016:    27,678     14.0%
2018:    26,046     12.6%
2020:    40,214     18.4%

NUECES COUNTY (Corpus Christi)
2012:    22,403     11.7%
2016:    30,272     15.2%
2018:    31,625     15.4%
2020:    46,341     21.9%

I'm finding these numbers difficult to parse. Why is Austin staying even with 2016 while the Dallas suburbs are exploding?

[Antonio the Sixth]

NC early in-person more favorable for GOP yesterday than two days ago, D+9 on ballots returned 10/16 vs D+20 on 10/15, white/black share at 67/23 compared to 59/31. Total vote is similar (322k vs 332k)

How does that compare to 2016?

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Day 4 of early voting in Texas (In-person + VBM) (October 16

HARRIS COUNTY (Houston)
2012:   252,752     12.6%
2016:   366,483     16.4%
2018:   304,889     13.0%
2020:   511,675     20.6%

DALLAS COUNTY (Dallas)
2012:   151,141     12.8%
2016:   232,807     18.1%
2018:   222,957     16.7%
2020:   275,607     19.7%

TARRANT COUNTY (Fort Worth)
2012:   147,251     15.1%
2016:   195,816     18.2%
2018:   178,814     15.9%
2020:   227,291     18.8%

BEXAR COUNTY (San Antonio)
2012:   138,203     15.1%
2016:   177,661     17.0%
2018:   153,135     13.9%
2020:   209,439     17.6%

TRAVIS COUNTY (Austin)
2012:    74,805     11.8%
2016:   157,571     21.7%
2018:   147,325     19.0%
2020:   186,280     21.8%

COLLIN COUNTY (Dallas suburbs)
2012:     72,485     15.8%
2016:   122,582     22.8%
2018:   119,114     20.5%
2020:   162,458     25.0%

DENTON COUNTY (Dallas suburbs)
2012:     56,044     14.5%
2016:     83,286     17.9%
2018:     82,914     16.7%
2020:   152,423     27.0%

EL PASO COUNTY (El Paso)
2012:    36,427      9.5%
2016:    66,657     15.6%
2018:    66,887     14.7%
2020:    87,695     18.0%

FORT BEND COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:    58,227     17.1%
2016:    80,321     19.9%
2018:    78,519     18.2%
2020:    92,097     19.1%

HIDALGO COUNTY (Rio Grande Valley)
2012:    43,236     14.2%
2016:    65,635     19.4%
2018:    54,427     15.1%
2020:    73,101     18.7%

WILLIAMSON COUNTY (Austin suburbs)
2012:     39,058     15.4%
2016:     72,714     24.2%
2018:     74,933     22.5%
2020:   104,281     27.7%

MONTGOMERY COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:    45,490     17.2%
2016:    58,615     18.8%
2018:    55,500     16.6%
2020:    63,334     17.1%

GALVESTON COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:    33,085     17.9%
2016:    44,950     21.6%
2018:    41,145     19.4%
2020:    66,554     29.1%

CAMERON COUNTY (Rio Grande Valley)
2012:    17,183      9.5%
2016:    27,678     14.0%
2018:    26,046     12.6%
2020:    40,214     18.4%

NUECES COUNTY (Corpus Christi)
2012:    22,403     11.7%
2016:    30,272     15.2%
2018:    31,625     15.4%
2020:    46,341     21.9%

I'm finding these numbers difficult to parse. Why is Austin staying even with 2016 while the Dallas suburbs are exploding?

I have no explanation for Collin and Denton, but I can pretty much guarantee you that the new voters there aren’t friendly to Trump/Cornyn. Travis is a perpetually high turnout County no matter what, so that’s to be expected.

[Holmes]

Yeah, Travis always has high turnout. In 2016, the county had a turnout of 90%. The fact that they’re keeping up with 2016 early voting is a good sign that they’ll hit they number again.

[republican1993]

the only turnout numbers that are crazy good are harris + denton everything else is on par with past years not sure why people are so "excited" lol let's wait & see

[Holmes]

the only turnout numbers that are crazy good are harris + denton everything else is on par with past years not sure why people are so "excited" lol let's wait & see

https://twitter.com/JTStinkworx/status/1317328517697314817?s=19

[Minnesota Mike]

Yeah, Travis always has high turnout. In 2016, the county had a turnout of 90%. The fact that they’re keeping up with 2016 early voting is a good sign that they’ll hit they number again.

In 2016 Travis had a turnout of 63.8%

https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/historical/travis.shtml

[Holmes]

Yeah, Travis always has high turnout. In 2016, the county had a turnout of 90%. The fact that they’re keeping up with 2016 early voting is a good sign that they’ll hit they number again.

In 2016 Travis had a turnout of 63.8%

https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/historical/travis.shtml

You’re right, the 90% is the amount of people registered to vote. Big difference!

https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2016/oct/14/bruce-elfant/bruce-elfant-says-90-plus-percent-eligible-travis-/

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Yeah, Travis always has high turnout. In 2016, the county had a turnout of 90%. The fact that they’re keeping up with 2016 early voting is a good sign that they’ll hit they number again.

In 2016 Travis had a turnout of 63.8%

https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/historical/travis.shtml

You’re right, the 90% is the amount of people registered to vote. Big difference!

https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2016/oct/14/bruce-elfant/bruce-elfant-says-90-plus-percent-eligible-travis-/

A remarkable stat, nonetheless!

[republican1993]

the only turnout numbers that are crazy good are harris + denton everything else is on par with past years not sure why people are so "excited" lol let's wait & see

https://twitter.com/JTStinkworx/status/1317328517697314817?s=19

thank you - yes i do agree harris early voting is very high along with denton it'll def exceed 2016