PA - Monmouth: Ds lead for Attorney General, Treasurer and Auditor General

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_PA_090220/

August 28-31, 2020
400 registered voters (400 voters accounted for in each likely voter model)
MoE: 4.9%

Among registered voters

ATTORNEY GENERAL
Shapiro (D-inc.) 51%
Heidelbaugh (R) 41%
Other 1%  (Daniel Wassmer (L) 1%, Richard Weiss (G) <1%)
No one 1%
Undecided 7%

TREASURER
Torsella (D-inc.) 45%
Garrity (R) 40%
Other 1% (Joe Soloski (L) 1%, Timothy Runkle (G) 0%)
No one 2%
Undecided 13%

AUDITOR GENERAL
Ahmad (D) 43%
DeFoor (R) 41%
Other 3% (Jennifer Moore (L) 2%, Olivia Faison (G) 1%)
No one 1%
Undecided 12%

Among likely voters (model w/ higher turnout than 2016)

ATTORNEY GENERAL
Shapiro (D-inc.) 52%
Heidelbaugh (R) 41%
Other 1%
Undecided 6%

TREASURER
Torsella (D-inc.) 46%
Garrity (R) 41%
Other 1%
Undecided 12%

AUDITOR GENERAL
Ahmad (D) 45%
DeFoor (R) 42%
Other 3%
Undecided 11%

Among likely voters (model w/ lower turnout than 2016)

ATTORNEY GENERAL
Shapiro (D-inc.) 51%
Heidelbaugh (R) 42%
Other 1%
Undecided 6%

TREASURER
Torsella (D-inc.) 45%
Garrity (R) 42%
Other <1%
Undecided 12%

AUDITOR GENERAL
Ahmad (D) 45%
DeFoor (R) 42%
Other 2%
Undecided 12%

[Not Me, Us]

Interesting results. I wonder why Ahmad is doing so poorly. Lack of name recognition maybe? In any case, I don't see these races being to far apart from each other. If one wins, they all probably win.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Interesting results. I wonder why Ahmad is doing so poorly. Lack of name recognition maybe? In any case, I don't see these races being to far apart from each other. If one wins, they all probably win.

She is the only non-incumbent.

[Roll Roons]

Interesting results. I wonder why Ahmad is doing so poorly. Lack of name recognition maybe? In any case, I don't see these races being to far apart from each other. If one wins, they all probably win.

She's the only one of the three who's not an incumbent, and is also further to the left than the other two.