The first human being to land on Mars will be a...
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  The first human being to land on Mars will be a...
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Question: The first human being to land on Mars will be a...
#1
American woman
 
#2
American man
 
#3
Chinese woman
 
#4
Chinese man
 
#5
Russian woman
 
#6
Russian man
 
#7
Other nation woman
 
#8
Other nation man
 
#9
No human being will land on Mars
 
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Total Voters: 58

Author Topic: The first human being to land on Mars will be a...  (Read 1324 times)
True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #25 on: September 20, 2020, 12:37:09 AM »

(I don't expect China to magically become a part of that group anytime soon, & there's no way a Chinese space program beats all of those nations' combined efforts to have the 1st manned mission to Mars. Hell, even today, a manned mission to the Moon is still incredibly expensive & difficult, & I think China would have to at least do that as well as a rover landing on Mars before even thinking about a manned mission to Mars.)

CLEP already has achieved a rover on the far side of the moon, is on target for a sample return probe by 2025 and a manned lunar mission by 2030.

I think it likely that there will be a Chinese Martian mission by 2040 and almost certainly by 2050.

While the West has the technical capability of getting to Mars sooner, I just don't see the funding being there.
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dead0man
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« Reply #26 on: September 20, 2020, 10:11:17 AM »

(I don't expect China to magically become a part of that group anytime soon, & there's no way a Chinese space program beats all of those nations' combined efforts to have the 1st manned mission to Mars. Hell, even today, a manned mission to the Moon is still incredibly expensive & difficult, & I think China would have to at least do that as well as a rover landing on Mars before even thinking about a manned mission to Mars.)

CLEP already has achieved a rover on the far side of the moon, is on target for a sample return probe by 2025 and a manned lunar mission by 2030.

I think it likely that there will be a Chinese Martian mission by 2040 and almost certainly by 2050.

While the West has the technical capability of getting to Mars sooner, I just don't see the funding being there.
the funding might magically appear if the PRC starts making serious plans to do so first.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #27 on: September 20, 2020, 10:41:11 AM »

(I don't expect China to magically become a part of that group anytime soon, & there's no way a Chinese space program beats all of those nations' combined efforts to have the 1st manned mission to Mars. Hell, even today, a manned mission to the Moon is still incredibly expensive & difficult, & I think China would have to at least do that as well as a rover landing on Mars before even thinking about a manned mission to Mars.)

CLEP already has achieved a rover on the far side of the moon, is on target for a sample return probe by 2025 and a manned lunar mission by 2030.

I think it likely that there will be a Chinese Martian mission by 2040 and almost certainly by 2050.

While the West has the technical capability of getting to Mars sooner, I just don't see the funding being there.
the funding might magically appear if the PRC starts making serious plans to do so first.
Doubtful. The Cold War space race was due to both military and national prestige concerns. There is no military or scientific significance to a manned mission to Mars. I don't see where the political will is likely to exist in the West for the expenditure of the sums needed for a purely prestige mission.
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
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« Reply #28 on: September 25, 2020, 07:45:20 PM »

I don't think anyone who's watched the past nine months could doubt that China is going to get there before the US or Europe. It'll be a Chinese man.
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