Georgia - WSBTV/Landmark Communications - Trump +7

[wbrocks67]

August 29-31, 2020
500 likely voters
MoE:: 4.4%

Changes with August 14-15 Landmark poll.

Trump 48% (n/c)
Biden 41% (-3%)
Jorgensen 2% (-2%)
Undecided 9% (+6%)

LOL WTF? so there was 3% undecided last time, but now there is magically nearly 10%? Cmon man.

[wbrocks67]

IDK what is more ridiculous.

> the increase in undecideds
> Trump beating his 2016 margin
> Trump grabbing 87% of R voters but somehow Biden is only getting 78% Ds
> Trump leads 50% to 38% with voters who watched both conventions, so this is clearly way too R
> Biden leads Trump by nearly *30 points* among Indies, but still down 7%.
> Biden only up +6 among voters 39 and under (these went to Abrams by 20% in 2018)

Junk this.

[MT Treasurer]

If you seriously think this is more believable than the PPP poll showing Biden +1, you’re kidding yourself. If Trump wins GA, it won’t be by more than 2-3 points, even if he wins reelection. I don’t even see him doing better than Kemp, in all honesty.

[Hammy]

> Trump beating his 2016 margin

If Trump wins GA, it won’t be by more than 2-3 points, even if he wins reelection.

So much tying in knots over margins when it's best to look at the topline numbers only. The poll margins will never be the final margin because there is no "undecided" on the ballot.

[GeorgiaModerate]

My feeling as a Georgia resident is that the state is as close to a true tossup as you can get.  Some days I think Biden has a slight edge, other days I think Trump does.  The one thing I'm confident about is that the margin will be less than 2% either way.

[Sbane]

Wouldn't be surprised if Trump did get 48-49% in Georgia.

[Buzz]

Gold standard for GA.  Trump will outperform Kemp.

[Tender Branson]

GA and NC are more and more polling away from Biden ...

I think those polls are just a sign of what's to come in the next state polls elsewhere, because if the national race is tightening (which it is), the state polls will lag behind a bit.

A good indicator will be the Selzer national poll today and the WI Marquette poll next week.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

GA and NC are more and more polling away from Biden ...

I think those polls are just a sign of what's to come in the next state polls elsewhere, because if the national race is tightening (which it is), the state polls will lag behind a bit.

A good indicator will be the Selzer national poll today and the WI Marquette poll next week.

Early voting is beginning in NC this week, I wouldn't bet on NC going R, since Cunningham and Cooper have the advantage in the Senate and Gov race. Cooper is gonna get 60 percent against Forest.


You really doubt that Biden isn't gonna rack up votes in Early Voting and VBM elections, after you stated on another topic, that Biden is gonna win Early Voting and VBM, I am using your own words. LOL.

[Adam Griffin]

10% of Georgians haven't been undecided since 2002.

[wbrocks67]

GA and NC are more and more polling away from Biden ...

I think those polls are just a sign of what's to come in the next state polls elsewhere, because if the national race is tightening (which it is), the state polls will lag behind a bit.

A good indicator will be the Selzer national poll today and the WI Marquette poll next week.

We LITERALLY just got Biden +2 and +3 in NC and GA yesterday morning.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

GA and NC are more and more polling away from Biden ...

I think those polls are just a sign of what's to come in the next state polls elsewhere, because if the national race is tightening (which it is), the state polls will lag behind a bit.

A good indicator will be the Selzer national poll today and the WI Marquette poll next week.

Biden is ahead in mutiple polls today that show him up by 8 pts enough to win GA. Trump needs a 278 state in order to win, and the blue wall isn't cracking with 200K deaths and 10 percent unemployment, as it did in 2016, with 4 percent unemployment and Benghazi and Trump still lost the PVI by 3 M
We LITERALLY just got Biden +2 and +3 in NC and GA yesterday morning.

[Brittain33]

Comparing to the previous poll, Black voters went from 4.6% undecided to 12.5% undecided.

Clearly they are taking the first step to #walkaway in their #blexit

[Thunder98]

Joke poll

[Buzz]

Bad but at least it’s from August.  Most of the other polls being bumped were a couple weeks out.  Still, Gold Standard revoked