NC-ECU: Cunningham +0

[S019]

Hot take: Tillis at 43% isn't a bad poll for Dems, all it shows is that Tillis isn't on track to lose by 8-10 points, but this isn't in any way a good poll for Republicans, also it's just one poll, so we'll wait, but Tillis has constantly been mired in the low 40's, which is not a good place at all for an incumbent.

[S019]

Even if not the best for Cunningham, Tillis just not getting above 44% in any poll as an incumbent should be a huge red flag for him.

Cornyn hasn’t gotten more than 44% in six of the last eight polls, and his race is considered Likely R.

Not by everyone, I think it's a tossup (Cornyn wins by 0.5, gun to my head), and Cook and Sabato are too reluctant to move potentially competitive races, anyways