NH-01 & NH-02 (UNH): Pappas +18, Kuster +12/+13
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  NH-01 & NH-02 (UNH): Pappas +18, Kuster +12/+13
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Author Topic: NH-01 & NH-02 (UNH): Pappas +18, Kuster +12/+13  (Read 237 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« on: September 03, 2020, 03:04:30 PM »

Aug 28-Sep 1, ~920 LV

NH-01 R primary

Mowers 48%
Mayberry 17%
Other 0%
Don’t know 34%

NH-01 GE

Pappas vs. Mowers

Pappas (D, inc.) 52%
Mowers (R) 34%
Dumont 1%
Other 1%
Don’t know 12%

Pappas vs. Mayberry

Pappas (D, inc.) 52%
Mayberry (R) 34%
Dumont 1%
Other 1%
Don’t know 12%

NH-02 R primary

Negron 50%
Blankenbeker 20%
Other 1%
Don’t know/not sure 29%

NH-02 GE

Kuster vs. Negron

Kuster (D, inc.) 52%
Negron (R) 40%
Olding 2%
Other 3%
Don’t know/not sure 4%

Kuster vs. Blankenbeker

Kuster (D, inc.) 52%
Blankenbeker (R) 39%
Olding 2%
Other 3%
Don’t know/not sure 5%

https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1606&context=survey_center_polls


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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2020, 03:21:14 PM »

NH-01 R primary: 323 likely voters
NH-01 GE with Mowers: 925 likely voters
NH-01 GE with Mayberry: 926 likely voters

NH-02 R primary: 367 likely voters
NH-02 GE with Negron: 917 likely voters
NH-02 GE with Blankenbeker: 920 likely voters
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2020, 05:41:24 PM »
« Edited: September 03, 2020, 05:46:50 PM by MT Treasurer »

I wonder if Sununu will do better in NH-02 than in NH-01 if he runs against Hassan and if Republicans are more likely to beat Kuster than Pappas in 2022? There’s a case to be made that trends benefit Rs more in the second district than in the first, but who knows. Democrats still have a pretty high floor in NH-02.
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