NY-03: Douma Research (R): Biden +8%
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  NY-03: Douma Research (R): Biden +8%		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NY-03: Douma Research (R): Biden +8%  (Read 840 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: August 30, 2020, 06:18:27 PM »
« edited: August 30, 2020, 06:49:05 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »
https://www.scribd.com/document/474218355/Tom-Suozzi-Toplines-2020-pdf
August 1-2, 2020
550 likely voters
MoE: 4.2%

Biden 49%
Trump 41%
Third party candidate 3%
Undecided 7%

EDIT: Republican internal, not Democratic.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: August 30, 2020, 06:20:39 PM »
What was the result in 2016?
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: August 30, 2020, 06:23:13 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on August 30, 2020, 06:18:27 PM
https://www.scribd.com/document/474218355/Tom-Suozzi-Toplines-2020-pdf
August 1-2, 2020
550 likely voters
MoE: 4.2%

Biden 49%
Trump 41%
Third party candidate 3%
Undecided 7%
Pretty sure this is a R internal actually. It has a bunch of questions attacking the squad and the green new deal and keeps tying the D to both.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #3 on: August 30, 2020, 06:27:18 PM »
Yeah, this is a Republican pollster. From their website:
Quote
Please send us a message or call us for an appointment to see how Douma Research can help your campaign communicate effectively with voters through survey research, political polling, and opposition research. Serving Republican candidates and right-of-center causes in Michigan for 25 years.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #4 on: August 30, 2020, 06:44:50 PM »
Title should be changed to reflect this is an R rather than D internal. That has much different implications.
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slothdem
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« Reply #5 on: August 30, 2020, 06:56:11 PM »
If you do the typical five point adjustment for internals, this is a pretty brutal poll for republicans. It's not a surprise to see Biden overperform in such an educated district, but there has always been some real down ballot R strength here.
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #6 on: August 30, 2020, 07:25:19 PM »
Why would they even bother to pull this District? It's not like suozzi is getting serious challenge this year.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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« Reply #7 on: August 30, 2020, 07:46:17 PM »
Douma research? I didn't know Jaysh al Islam had a polling outfit. Tongue
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #8 on: August 31, 2020, 08:06:58 PM »
Quote from: Fuzzy Made Covid His B***h! on August 30, 2020, 07:25:19 PM
Why would they even bother to pull this District? It's not like suozzi is getting serious challenge this year.

Suozzi is a moderate Democrat who is feeling the heat from the leftwing base on BLM, defund the police and the middle who wants reforms, but also appreciation of the police.

Look at the response on his Twitter feed for him praising police.

That's what he is facing.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #9 on: August 31, 2020, 08:08:23 PM »
Long Island is a swing area of NY.

NY-03 is Safe D, but Suozzi and Rice could be vulnerable in 2022.

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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #10 on: August 31, 2020, 09:02:47 PM »
Quote from: Atlanta 1997 World Champs on August 31, 2020, 08:06:58 PM
Quote from: Fuzzy Made Covid His B***h! on August 30, 2020, 07:25:19 PM
Why would they even bother to pull this District? It's not like suozzi is getting serious challenge this year.

Suozzi is a moderate Democrat who is feeling the heat from the leftwing base on BLM, defund the police and the middle who wants reforms, but also appreciation of the police.

Look at the response on his Twitter feed for him praising police.

That's what he is facing.


wow, 6 replies, he should resign from all the pressure!
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Smash255
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« Reply #11 on: September 01, 2020, 10:54:55 PM »
Quote from: slothdem on August 30, 2020, 06:56:11 PM
If you do the typical five point adjustment for internals, this is a pretty brutal poll for republicans. It's not a surprise to see Biden overperform in such an educated district, but there has always been some real down ballot R strength here.

I can (and have) walked to the district, Biden +13 wouldn't surprise me in the least.
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