AK-PPP: Tie (user search)
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  AK-PPP: Tie (search mode)
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Author Topic: AK-PPP: Tie  (Read 1917 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« on: August 31, 2020, 02:27:47 PM »

Sullivan (R, inc.) 43% (+4)
Gross (D) 43% (+9)

Sullivan approval: 39/43 (was 35/37)
Gross favorability: 38/28 (was 15/14)

Trump +14 sample

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ir0a6eAHT04YSudrwp2AT-SC71wvmCqe/view
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2020, 02:34:46 PM »

It should be noted that over half of undecideds supported Trump for president in ‘16. And I still think this race is overhyped.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #2 on: August 31, 2020, 02:58:46 PM »

It should be noted that over half of undecideds supported Trump for president in ‘16. And I still think this race is overhyped.

Well, if it's a Trump +14 sample, then over half of the decideds were Trump voters and it's tied, so....

Actually, that’s incorrect. Less than half of the decideds were Trump voters.



‘16 Trump voters make up 49% of this sample & 85% of them are decided on who they’ll vote for. ‘16 Trump voters who are decided on who they’ll vote for, make up 42% of this sample, which is less than half of Sullivan and Gross’ vote shares combined.

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