CA GOV 2021 - 2022 megathread

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

Lol what SoCal Assemblymen (assuming they’re men) have the juice to try something like this

She used "he" pronouns, said "a couple" more than once, and said they took the plane with her, at least once. If anyone could figure it out based off that, please, have at it.

You know what, I’m gonna play this. So Assemblywoman Martinez Valladares lives in Santa Clarita, so I’m guessing she’d be using either LAX or perhaps more likely, Burbank.

Chris Holden, Adrin Nazarian, and Ed Chau are my prime suspects. They’ve all been in office since 2012. The first two would be especially likely to use Burbank.

Looking online, Chris Holden has specifically said he opposes the recall. Nazarian and Chau have both praised Newsom really highly on social media recently. Obv that doesn't rule out a No On Recall, Yes On Bustamante situation, but given how this is breaking down on pro-and-anti-Newsom lines, might suggest something.

So far (halfway through the 20 SoCal Dem Assemblymen) the most likely person is Richard Bloom of Santa Monica.

I had thought about Bloom, but he seems like he would be far more likely to use LAX. Now, that doesn’t mean that Assm. woman M-V doesn’t use LAX, but I would bet that she uses Burbank because LA area traffic is of course infamous.

Bloom seems to have a relatively active Wikipedia page as well, lots of edits the last few months.

[Mike Thick]

I think you guys are reading a little too much into the airport thing? Like, the vast majority of people just use LAX regardless of traffic.

I ruled out people who oppose the recall or recently praised Newsom publicly, and people who are currently in their first term in the Assembly. I got this list:

Richard Bloom
Freddie Rodriguez
Eduardo Garcia
Tom Daly

Rodriguez and Garcia both endorsed Villa in 2018, for what that's worth. Daly isn't on social media so I couldn't really pin him down.

EDIT: Bloom stated opposition to the recall and praised Newsom in this piece. So we can rule him out.

EDIT2: Forgot to put Al Muratsuchi on the list.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

I think you guys are reading a little too much into the airport thing? Like, the vast majority of people just use LAX regardless of traffic.

I ruled out people who oppose the recall or recently praised Newsom publicly, and people who are currently in their first term in the Assembly. I got this list:

Richard Bloom
Freddie Rodriguez
Eduardo Garcia
Tom Daly

Rodriguez and Garcia both endorsed Villa in 2018, for what that's worth. Daly isn't on social media so I couldn't really pin him down.

EDIT: Bloom stated opposition to the recall and praised Newsom in this piece. So we can rule him out.

EDIT2: Forgot to put Al Muratsuchi on the list.

This is Atlas though. We thrive on “Rain in NoVA means Dems are going to lose” types of tea leaf reading.

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

I think you guys are reading a little too much into the airport thing? Like, the vast majority of people just use LAX regardless of traffic.

I ruled out people who oppose the recall or recently praised Newsom publicly, and people who are currently in their first term in the Assembly. I got this list:

Richard Bloom
Freddie Rodriguez
Eduardo Garcia
Tom Daly

Rodriguez and Garcia both endorsed Villa in 2018, for what that's worth. Daly isn't on social media so I couldn't really pin him down.

EDIT: Bloom stated opposition to the recall and praised Newsom in this piece. So we can rule him out.

Perhaps, just gave us an area of connection.
Well well well, Mr. Garcia here had his page updated yesterday.
Daly has a long one, though that may be virtue of his long career. Being that he's from Orange, and Newsom barley carried the county, that could be an interesting angle for a base.
Rodriguez had his page edited yesterday too, but it was by the same guy as Garcia, so I don't think that actually matters anymore.

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

SNIP
EDIT2: Forgot to put Al Muratsuchi on the list.

This is Atlas though. We thrive on “Rain in NoVA means Dems are going to lose” types of tea leaf reading.

So for Al Muratsuchi, we have an edit that changed his personal life section, from

"Muratsuchi grew up in Okinawa, then administered by the United States military, and his father was a civilian employee of the United States Army. Due to his father's job he was raised on various military bases overseas.[1] He attended the University of California, Berkeley and UCLA School of Law."

to
"Muratsuchi grew up in Okinawa, then administered by the United States military. His father, a 2nd-generation Gifu descent, was a civilian employee of the United States Army, and his mother came from Tochigi Prefecture. Due to his father's job he was raised on various military bases overseas. He attended the University of California, Berkeley and UCLA School of Law. He is married to Hiroko Higuchi (樋口博子), a columnist from Ashiya, Hyōgo."

In addition, both of his twitter accounts, have, logically, been filled with tweets about Asian hate crimes. Combine this with someone increasing all of the Asian references in his bio, seems like up to something, though this is a stretch. He also has a tweet that seems kinda weird, saying that the State of State isn't the same during Covid, just felt kinda off to me.
https://twitter.com/AMuratsuchi/status/1369548587458170880

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

He also has a tweet that seems kinda weird, saying that the State of State isn't the same during Covid, just felt kinda off to me.
https://twitter.com/AMuratsuchi/status/1369548587458170880

That is something of an odd tweet, I will say.

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

He also has a tweet that seems kinda weird, saying that the State of State isn't the same during Covid, just felt kinda off to me.
https://twitter.com/AMuratsuchi/status/1369548587458170880

That is something of an odd tweet, I will say.

I'm not sure it means anything, but, along with the update, his utter lack of denunciation of recall, it seems like he could be our guy.

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

On another tangent, oh God
https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1374935649787121664

[Mike Thick]

Elsewhere in that piece: VILLA and Steyer are the main two Dems being watched to jump in.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I hope Steyer jumps in

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

On another tangent, oh God
https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1374935649787121664

That would be hilarious and something I’d expect from 2020. But who knows what tomorrow will bring...

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

On another tangent, oh God
https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1374935649787121664

Digging into twitter more, I found this site which claims that Newsom is having an affair with a staffer.

I would consider this unverified until a better source comes along, but this could be it.

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

On another tangent, oh God
https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1374935649787121664

Digging into twitter more, I found this site which claims that Newsom is having an affair with a staffer.

I would consider this unverified until a better source comes along, but this could be it.

iirc he slept with a staffers wife or something before, so wouldn't be out of his wheelhouse.

[Mike Thick]

I’m honestly kind of underwhelmed? Like I thought this was going to be “Gavin groped a staffer” or “Gavin made up the metrics he used to reopen the state early”

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

I’m honestly kind of underwhelmed? Like I thought this was going to be “Gavin groped a staffer” or “Gavin made up the metrics he used to reopen the state early”

Based on how overblown folks are making it in the last 24 hours (Whatever "it" even is right now), it was never gonna be as juicy as the suspense made it seem.

Also, haven't seen anything juicy outside of that one Cerritos site. And with the announcement of eligibility requirements being lifted in 3 weeks, I'm sure it'll be buried today (Though I'm sure the timing will bring about conspiracies).

Though that also makes me wonder where this rumor mill started in the last 24 hours. Random Twitter? "Anonymous sources"? Just seems like typical forum overreaction (Not even getting into the airport & Wikipedia edits discussion).

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

I’m honestly kind of underwhelmed? Like I thought this was going to be “Gavin groped a staffer” or “Gavin made up the metrics he used to reopen the state early”

Based on how overblown folks are making it in the last 24 hours (Whatever "it" even is right now), it was never gonna be as juicy as the suspense made it seem.

Also, haven't seen anything juicy outside of that one Cerritos site. And with the announcement of eligibility requirements being lifted in 3 weeks, I'm sure it'll be buried today (Though I'm sure the timing will bring about conspiracies).

Though that also makes me wonder where this rumor mill started in the last 24 hours. Random Twitter? "Anonymous sources"? Just seems like typical forum overreaction (Not even getting into the airport & Wikipedia edits discussion).

From what I’m hearing, it started in the Capitol.

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

I’m honestly kind of underwhelmed? Like I thought this was going to be “Gavin groped a staffer” or “Gavin made up the metrics he used to reopen the state early”

Based on how overblown folks are making it in the last 24 hours (Whatever "it" even is right now), it was never gonna be as juicy as the suspense made it seem.

Also, haven't seen anything juicy outside of that one Cerritos site. And with the announcement of eligibility requirements being lifted in 3 weeks, I'm sure it'll be buried today (Though I'm sure the timing will bring about conspiracies).

Though that also makes me wonder where this rumor mill started in the last 24 hours. Random Twitter? "Anonymous sources"? Just seems like typical forum overreaction (Not even getting into the airport & Wikipedia edits discussion).

Well, that's for trying to find the two people I've been told are interested

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Been almost a week and still no juicy revelation or Sacramento Democrat entering the race.

While we wait, the latest PPIC poll was published in the last few hours:


PPIC poll (March 14-23,  last poll was Jan 21-31)
1706 residents & 1174 likely voters, MoE +/- 3.3, English/Spanish

Newsom job approval

All Adults
Approve          54%  (Unchanged since last poll)
Disapprove     36%  (Unchanged)
N/A                  10%  (Unchanged)

Likely Voters
Approve          53%  (+1)
Disapprove     42%  (-1)
N/A                    5%  (Unchanged)


"If a special election to recall Governor Newsom were held today, would you vote yes to remove Newsom as governor or no to keep Newsom as governor?" (Wasn't asked in the last poll)
Yes                        40%
No                         56%
N/A                         5%


All adults crosstab
Likely voters crosstab
LA Times article

[Sir Mohamed]

Just realized there's Wikipedia election article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_California_gubernatorial_recall_election

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tom Steyer could definitely win against an INCUMBENT Gov, of Newsom is recalled though

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Just realized there's Wikipedia election article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_California_gubernatorial_recall_election

I think it’s pretty new. I don’t recall there being one last week when I was trying to look it up.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Caitlyn Jenner may run for governor of California, according to new report

A report from Axios states that Jenner has been privately consulting with political advisors about being a candidate, making her incumbent Gov. Gavin Newsom's biggest opponent yet, if the rumors are true.

lol

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Caitlyn Jenner may run for governor of California, according to new report

A report from Axios states that Jenner has been privately consulting with political advisors about being a candidate, making her incumbent Gov. Gavin Newsom's biggest opponent yet, if the rumors are true.

lol

She’d probably be the least embarrassed/fascistic Republican the party can put forward

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The polls already showed that D's are gonna win the Recall

[Pink Panther]

Caitlyn Jenner may run for governor of California, according to new report

A report from Axios states that Jenner has been privately consulting with political advisors about being a candidate, making her incumbent Gov. Gavin Newsom's biggest opponent yet, if the rumors are true.

lol

           I wonder how Evangelicals are reacting to this news?