CA GOV 2021 - 2022 megathread

[Holmes]

Just what California needs. A populist Republican.

Safe D.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

does CA have a resign to run law?

[tosk]

does CA have a resign to run law?

he's leaving the mayors office come January, the city has elected his successor.

[Young Conservative]

Just what California needs. A populist Republican.

Safe D.

That IS what California needs, actually.

This is not to say that california will elect what it needs though...

[DrScholl]

Republicans will waste a ton of money for nothing.

[Yellowhammer]

Obviously safe D, but I don't think he would do worse than Cox did in 2018. It would probably end up about 58-42 Newsom.

[Roll Roons]

Obviously safe D, but I don't think he would do worse than Cox did in 2018. It would probably end up about 58-42 Newsom.

Agree. It's likely to be a much less favorable environment for Democrats, and Faulconer is probably the strongest possible candidate that the GOP can field, although California's Democratic base is very inelastic.

[KaiserDave]

Faulconer gets 42% on a good day.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

I mean if I had to pick a Republican it’d be Faulconer. Not that I’d want to pick one

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

Ha. He'll be having a good night if he cracks 40%

Considering his popularity in San Diego, the fact he's from SoCal, and that it'll be a republican wave in 2022, I imagine he'll crack 40%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gavin Newsom is a rich kid that has no appeal to working poor to lift out of poverty, that's why homelessness has gotten so bad.

But, its safe D no matter what

[If my soul was made of stone]

In a bad environment for Dems he could possibly push Newsom to something a little like the '04 presidential map with gains in non-LA SoCal and the Central Valley, but there's just next to nowhere to gain over that even with Floridian swings among Hispanics and Asians. Titanium Likely D in a Republican wave, Safe in a moderately GOP environment or worse.

[Former President tack50]

Honestly, there is maybe a path for Faulconer to get within single digits of winning. There is definitely no path for him to actually win though (or even to get "tossup close", best I think is something like Newsom+9)

[President Johnson]

Good luck with that, buddy.

[2016]

Just what California needs. A populist Republican.

Safe D.

That IS what California needs, actually.

This is not to say that california will elect what it needs though...

What California needs is a transparent Governor (I don't care if it's D or R) and not someone who puts out COVID-19 Restrictions YET goes to a Party himself with 10 or more people.

The Sacramento Bee & San Francisco Chronicle dropped very nasty articles on Newsom but rightly so see here:

https://www.sfchronicle.com/politics/article/Newsom-attended-French-Laundry-party-with-more-15725393.php

https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article247175656.html

The Bee even dropped an even more nasty editorial on him:

https://www.sacbee.com/opinion/editorials/article247181176.html#wgt=trending

I can very much understand why Faulconer is furious! I would be too! Newsom can't even follow his own implemented COVID State Restrictions. It seems that these Restrictions only apply to the Citizens of CA but not for their Governor & CA Government Officials. Unbelievable!

Newsom is as bad as Gretchen Whitmer!

I am tired of this crapshow from these D Governors!

[OSR stands with Israel]

Its Safe D but Faulconer is exactly what the CA GOP needs to rebuild the party . Getting 42-43% would be a good goal

[President Johnson]

Its Safe D but Faulconer is exactly what the CA GOP needs to rebuild the party . Getting 42-43% would be a good goal

I think that could be doable, but not likely to happen. Interstingly, Newsom wouldn't be the first California governor to win reelection with a lower vote share than in the previous election. Pat Brown, Ronald Reagan and Gray Davis had smaller vote share in their second bid.

[Kingpoleon]

That’s odd. One would think he’d wait for 2026, when there wouldn’t be an incumbent.

[I need an explanation]

I hope he wins.

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

That’s odd. One would think he’d wait for 2026, when there wouldn’t be an incumbent.

That's 6 years out of office, and Newsom isn't particularly popular.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Honestly, there is maybe a path for Faulconer to get within single digits of winning.

No.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Honestly, there is maybe a path for Faulconer to get within single digits of winning.

No.

Now now, Newsom could strangle a prostitute, putting the race at tilt D

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Honestly, there is maybe a path for Faulconer to get within single digits of winning.

No.

Now now, Newsom could strangle a prostitute, putting the race at tilt D

He'll be primaries if that was the case.

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

Honestly, there is maybe a path for Faulconer to get within single digits of winning.

No.

Now now, Newsom could strangle a prostitute, putting the race at tilt lean D

Let's not get too ahead of ourselves here

[Calthrina950]

Gavin Newsom is not losing unless he's revealed to be Roy Moore's partner in crime. And even that may not be enough anymore. California, like Alabama, is a very inelastic state and very hostile to the minority party. Faulconer might be able to get 40%, but he's not going to do much better than that.