CA GOV 2021 - 2022 megathread

[Matty]

Exit polls on CNN:

Views on the Republican Party 32% favorable/63% unfavorable

Views of the Democratic Party: 52%/43%

In other words, significant chunks of dems and reps dislike their own party

[Suburbia]

What percentage of the Black male vote does Larry Elder get? 10% 15? I don't see Black men being excited over a slick white guy like Gavin Newsom....

[Matty]

What percentage of the Black male vote does Larry Elder get? 10% 15? I don't see Black men being excited over a slick white guy like Gavin Newsom....

Do blacks in CA vote any differently than blacks in Dixie?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

What percentage of the Black male vote does Larry Elder get? 10% 15? I don't see Black men being excited over a slick white guy like Gavin Newsom....

I also don't see them getting excited over someone who says slave owners deserve reperations.

[Frodo]

https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1437893465430380544?s=20

The CA GOP sucks so much lmfao.

Yes, but are they worse than even the Florida Democratic Party? 

[gf20202]

Cnn exit also has Biden approval at 56-41

Pretty mediocre tbh

It's all the same exit polling, so it's not like extra confirming that or anything.

https://twitter.com/POLITICO_Steve/status/1437833387419516940

Just saw a big mistake by Lawrence O'Donnell who I expect better from. He said this exit polling was just today's voters, saying that Biden's approval was impressive. How dense do you have to be to think day of voting dominated by republicans would have Biden's approval at 56 to 41.

[Matty]

https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1437893465430380544?s=20

The CA GOP sucks so much lmfao.

Yes, but are they worse than even the Florida Democratic Party? 

How can you possibly compare the two?

The dems consistently get 48%+ of vote in Florida

The gop struggles to get 35% in CA

[Roronoa D. Law]

What percentage of the Black male vote does Larry Elder get? 10% 15? I don't see Black men being excited over a slick white guy like Gavin Newsom....

Do blacks in CA vote any differently than blacks in Dixie?

Lol Dixie, haven't heard that one in a while.

[Horus]

What percentage of the Black male vote does Larry Elder get? 10% 15? I don't see Black men being excited over a slick white guy like Gavin Newsom....

Do blacks in CA vote any differently than blacks in Dixie?

My gut says Black voters in Cali are maybe a shade more GOP than the national average, especially in the LA burbs.

[Gass3268]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

[South Dakota Democrat]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Sometime after the polls close isn't necessarily right after the polls close.

[Lief 🗽]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Let's hope he takes a well-deserved victory lap.

[Matty]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Let's hope he takes a well-deserved victory lap.

yea congrats on winning a D+30 state as a democrat

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Let's hope he takes a well-deserved victory lap.

yea congrats on winning a D+30 state as a democrat

Y'all picked this fight

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Let's hope he takes a well-deserved victory lap.

yea congrats on winning a D+30 state as a democrat

Y'all picked this fight

And pissed away a quarter billion dollars in the process.

[DrScholl]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Let's hope he takes a well-deserved victory lap.

yea congrats on winning a D+30 state as a democrat

Other than fraud this will be the second most used excuse. "Oh it's a Democrat state, so it doesn't matter if our recall failed".

[Sbane]

This will be called at close too

I’m interested in seeing how my own city, mission viejo, will vote

It voted Biden for the first time in its 60 year history

This was a Romney +25 city

Mission Viejo will vote to recall and it won't even be close. Still, recall +10-15 is a far cry from +25.

[Young Conservative]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Let's hope he takes a well-deserved victory lap.

yea congrats on winning a D+30 state as a democrat

Y'all picked this fight

And we could have won if not for Larry Elder wanting to be a Fox News personality.

[Matty]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Let's hope he takes a well-deserved victory lap.

yea congrats on winning a D+30 state as a democrat

Y'all picked this fight

And pissed away a quarter billion dollars in the process.

Let’s not talk about burning money lmao

Jamie Harrison
Amy McGrath
Sara Gideon
Beto O’rourke

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

Final predictions, bookmark this if I'm wrong:

Newsom survives by mid teens.

Recall wins Orange by high single digits. Fresno will vote to the right of Orange.

Elder wins almost every county in the replacement map, exceptions being Faulconer likely winning San Diego, Paffrath winning the Bay Area, and Killey possibly winning Sacramento (latter prediction may be a stretch but could happen).

Jenner (at best) wins one or two precincts in Hollywood (if she's to win any at all), though she will likely not even finish top 5 after Elder seemed to unite the republicans around him.

Quoted for posterity and to note that I don’t think Kiley will win any counties.

[Oryxslayer]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Let's hope he takes a well-deserved victory lap.

yea congrats on winning a D+30 state as a democrat

Y'all picked this fight

If you challenge Kevin Durant to a basketball game, you shouldn't be the one complaining when he shows up with five stars from the various teams he played for and stomps your five into the dust.

[MasterJedi]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Let's hope he takes a well-deserved victory lap.

yea congrats on winning a D+30 state as a democrat

Y'all picked this fight

And we could have won if not for Larry Elder wanting to be a Fox News personality.

Bless your heart, whoever was chosen would have had the gun held to their head by the Trumpkins to convert or we will choose someone else.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Let's hope he takes a well-deserved victory lap.

yea congrats on winning a D+30 state as a democrat

Y'all picked this fight

And we could have won if not for Larry Elder wanting to be a Fox News personality.

But that's your whole party. That's what you do.

[Horus]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Let's hope he takes a well-deserved victory lap.

yea congrats on winning a D+30 state as a democrat

Y'all picked this fight

And pissed away a quarter billion dollars in the process.

Let’s not talk about burning money lmao

Jamie Harrison
Amy McGrath
Sara Gideon
Beto O’rourke

Tbf Gideon was polling pretty well and Beto rejuvenated the failing Texas Dem party and almost won.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Newsom will be making a statement right when the polls close.

https://twitter.com/Elex_Michaelson/status/1437967394295586821?s=20

Let's hope he takes a well-deserved victory lap.

yea congrats on winning a D+30 state as a democrat

Y'all picked this fight

And pissed away a quarter billion dollars in the process.

Let’s not talk about burning money lmao

Jamie Harrison
Amy McGrath
Sara Gideon
Beto O’rourke

Usage of public money versus the choices of private donors is non-comparable.