Yahoo News/YouGov: Biden +6

[VAR]

Biden 47% (-3)
Trump 41% (+2)

GCB: D 49/38 (nc)
Trump approval: 43/54 (was 44/53)
Trump favorability: 39/57 (was 40/57)
Biden favorability: 45/48 (was 48/45)
Harris favorability: 42/45 (was 45/43)

96% say their mind is made up.

RNC Rating (among RNC watchers): Excellent/Good 70/30
Trump’s speech rating (among RNC watchers): Excellent/Good 56/37

DNC rating was Excellent/Good 64/36

Also,

Suburban: Biden +14 to Trump +2

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/trcdohan8j/20200828_yahoo_coronavirus_crosstabs.pdf

[Woody]

More conformation that the RNC Bump is real.

[neostassenite31]

4-5 points improvement

[It's Perro Sanxe wot won it]

More conformation that the RNC Bump is real.

And that Trump's still behind by 6 percentage points in spite of it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

More conformation that the RNC Bump is real.

Let's all remember that Biden diesnt have to win an R state, Trump has to win a D state, MN, WI, MI and PA and all of them went D in 2008 in 7.5 percent unemployment. Trump cracked blue wall only in 4.7 percent unemployment .

He could of done it if Covid never happened

[neostassenite31]

Let's see if the GOP can hold/improve on this by October

[Person Man]

And his job approval went down, too. And the House numbers are still stable. Maybe if the bump becomes permanent, it will help Democrats defend the house.

[Podgy the Bear]

Trump was so far down and the Repubs have had a week of unopposed rhetoric and pomp and splendor.  This bump was expected.  

It wasn't a touchdown but more like a field goal.  Trump remains well behind and has a long way to go to catch up.  And the clock is running.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Mostly every R that's a lobbyist has endorsed Biden. The only Rs that have endorsed Trump are still officeholders. Boehner and Paul Ryan wont even come out to support Trump and he needs WI

[neostassenite31]

Convention bounces do tend to erode, but if the GOP can get voters to fill out their ballots in the early voting swing states like Michigan and Minnesota, they might be able to get an advantage in the early mail-ins

[Buzz]

Trump was never really down double digit points.  Those polls were obviously all BS to begin with. 

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Convention bounces do tend to erode, but if the GOP can get voters to fill out their ballots in the early voting swing states like Michigan and Minnesota, they might be able to get an advantage in the early mail-ins

If only their presidential nominee hadn't told his supporters that voting by mail is evil...

[Tender Branson]

Trump was never really down double digit points.  Those polls were obviously all BS to begin with. 

They weren’t.

But many Trump supporters switched into undecided mode the last few months and are now coming back into his fold more openly as we get closer to the election ...

[woodley park]

Trump was so far down and the Repubs have had a week of unopposed rhetoric and pomp and splendor.  This bump was expected.  

It wasn't a touchdown but more like a field goal.  Trump remains well behind and has a long way to go to catch up.  And the clock is running.

Not to raise a potentially sore point with a Georgia voter, but would a good analogy be that Trump is down 21-3 at halftime in the Super Bowl? He basically needs a Tom Brady-like comeback to pull off a victory. It could, and has, happened -- but its extremely rare.

[MT Treasurer]

Yes, Biden will win, but +6 or +10 makes a big difference in the Senate.

[Rand]

Biden is still going to win, but if this is a trend hopefully it gets him out of Delaware a lot sooner than he plans.

[afleitch]

Not fantastic for Biden given previous YouGovs. But wait a week to see.

[wbrocks67]

This isn’t Exactly a new poll - they reinterviewed a previous group of people from a July poll that had Biden +9. Also there is more undecideds in this than recent ones and trump still only at 41.

Meanwhile if Biden’s fav is -2 and Trumps is -13 after the RNC, this isn’t gonna happen for trump. Meanwhile the GCB is D+11 which says that a lot of the undecideds swing Dem.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Yes, Biden will win, but +6 or +10 makes a big difference in the Senate.

Based on the static approval rating, Biden will probably still win by 10 points once the undecideds are allocated.

[MT Treasurer]

Yes, Biden will win, but +6 or +10 makes a big difference in the Senate.

Based on the static approval rating, Biden will probably still win by 10 points once the undecideds are allocated.

Oh sure, I’m not saying that he’ll actually win by 6 (I’m expecting a +8 margin, personally).

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Yes, Biden will win, but +6 or +10 makes a big difference in the Senate.

Based on the static approval rating, Biden will probably still win by 10 points once the undecideds are allocated.

Oh sure, I’m not saying that he’ll actually win by 6 (I’m expecting a +8 margin, personally).

I kind of feel bad for the people celebrating this (especially the people reccing Woodbury's posts (lol)) while it's clear this isn't sustainable with an unimproved approval rating. Of course 538's model won't reflect this either since the losers left out approval rating, the arguably single most important metric in any President's re-election campaign.

[politicallefty]

Interesting how the top line margin doesn't really fit with the underlying numbers, but basically does fit with the incumbent President polling at 41%.

[CellarDoor]

An incumbent President at 41% is really bad.

[Person Man]

Also a vast majority of people who could change their mind are backing Trump.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Only 3% of Trump voters believe Biden is more likely to win the election. The nation is full of SN/OP's who are not going to accept the results of this election.