NYC Mayor/2021 Megathread

[Gracile]

Rose out-

https://twitter.com/MaxRose4NY/status/1345769407964966914

[Gracile]

Not supporting Yang thus far, but I'll be interested to see how he performs.

[Gracile]

This mayoral race is a disaster; I’m more interested in the council races (specifically how well DSA candidates will do).

[Gracile]

Tiffany Caban has stayed north of 50% - and has even expanded her lead slightly (50.48% to her nearest competitor at 24.94% in the first round). The only other DSA-alligned Council candidate who is leading in the first round is Alexa Aviles in District 38, who is leading 40.02%-24.38% against her nearest opponent in first round allocations.

[Gracile]

Anyway, it's a lot easier to comment on coalitions now:

Adams: Nearly all black voters, other than the young and highly educated. A significant portion of Hispanic voters but not as dominant as among black voters. Orthodox Jews, but not ultra-Orthodox Jews.
Garcia: Middle and upper-income white liberal voters, especially over the age of 30, and conservative non-Jewish white voters (i.e., excluding all Orthodox Jews).
Wiley: Young, liberal, highly educated voters of all ethnicities but especially young white voters, and some other Hispanic voters.
Yang: Asian voters and ultra-Orthodox Jews and nobody else.

Eyeballing it, but Wiley seems to be running an (incredibly distant) second to Adams in many of the predominantly black precincts, which indicates that she's probably doing (comparatively speaking) well with younger black voters as well.

[Gracile]

Is there somewhere we can see how the DSA/progressive candidates are doing in the down ballot races?

DSA races - https://results.socialists.nyc/
All downballot - https://web.enrboenyc.us/index.html

[Gracile]

I don’t see that much of an issue with the count taking a bit more time if it means getting an accurate result, but it doesn’t make any sense to not count the absentee first-round votes before doing RCV tabulation (which it seems like NYC is going to do). This is far more important and would have a much more significant impact on the final result.

[Gracile]

Can we expect RCV results for lower-level races (i.e. council) today?