NYC Mayor/2021 Megathread

[Ferguson97]

Christ… every time one of these people open their mouths I think I shouldn’t even bother ranking them.
https://twitter.com/jccoltin/status/1403882410958262274?s=21

I'll admit Wiley has said some dumb stuff before, but there's nothing wrong with this. I don't even see how this is bad, confronting the housing crisis and police reform are both very noble goals.

It's that her solutions are awful. "Confront the developers" as a response to homelessness makes zero sense. It's NIMBY nonsense.

[Ferguson97]

I hope Garcia wins but it will probably be Adams

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1407511104146845704

[Ferguson97]

I suppose one benefit for Garcia is that I imagine not many people are ranking her below Adams unless he is their #1?

[Ferguson97]

Is it safe to say that Andrew Yang's political career is over?

Remember Jon Ossoff?

Losing once is a bit different from losing twice. If Ossoff lost in January, it would be safe to say his career would be over.

[Ferguson97]

Anyway, it's a lot easier to comment on coalitions now:

Adams: Nearly all black voters, other than the young and highly educated. A significant portion of Hispanic voters but not as dominant as among black voters. Orthodox Jews, but not ultra-Orthodox Jews.
Garcia: Middle and upper-income white liberal voters, especially over the age of 30, and conservative non-Jewish white voters (i.e., excluding all Orthodox Jews).
Wiley: Young, liberal, highly educated voters of all ethnicities but especially young white voters, and some other Hispanic voters.
Yang: Asian voters and ultra-Orthodox Jews and nobody else.

Can someone explain again why exactly Yang is dominating with ultra-Orthodox Jews?

He came out in strong support of Israel.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/LissandraVilla/status/1407528766348406789

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1409958043668807685

[Ferguson97]

I did the math, and Garcia needs to win 56.4% of the remaining ballots to defeat Adams in the final round.

[Ferguson97]

I did the math, and Garcia needs to win 56.4% of the remaining ballots to defeat Adams in the final round.

How likely is that? I hope she wins because she's better than Adams.

Not sure tbh. My gut says it's likely because I don't think there would be that many Wiley > Adams > Garcia voters... I imagine most of Wiley's will go to her.

[Ferguson97]

Damn.