NYC Mayor/2021 Megathread

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Apparently Yang said some weird sh**t at a gay Democratic club where he sounded like a high school girl who’s really into her GBF. Who care but it’s in the New York Times.

The Yang just got five points higher!

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KEIKO ADAMS IN DISARRAY

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Absentees can also be exhausted before the final round.

If we assume around a quarter of them do, the target for Garcia is closer to 58-60.

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Ok, so now I'm hearing there are a bunch of election day votes from the Bronx that haven't been counted yet for some reason? What is going on lol

If you're seeing this from the Wasserman tweet, he seems to have misunderstood. There were 140K votes from the Bronx that were uncounted last week. They are now counted and are included in this last update. Maybe. Still unsure.

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Ok wait the numbers seem completely f**ked.

https://twitter.com/aaronfoldenauer/status/1409976473977557003?s=20


Someone noted above that the minor candidates were having extremely high exhaust rates. If that’s caused by these phantom votes than they may actually not be factoring into the final round count, meaning the current final round is accurate. If not...oh boy.

[Sestak]

Ok wait the numbers seem completely f**ked.

https://twitter.com/aaronfoldenauer/status/1409976473977557003?s=20

Someone noted above that the minor candidates were having extremely high exhaust rates. If that’s caused by these phantom votes than they may actually not be factoring into the final round count, meaning the current final round is accurate. If not...oh boy.

Seems like that would just be typo - the second column seems to match the E-Night + the uncounted In Person votes we previously learned about. The rise in write-ins makes this possible, given that those votes take longer to process. But this is all guesswork.

The votes are way too uniform. EVERY single candidate seems to be gaining 5000-15000 votes, which makes no sense no matter how you slice it.

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So we were pretty much correct in our assumptions yesterday about exhaust rates etc.?

Yeah, this seems like Garcia's to lose now. Should have enough to pass Adams and should also do better than Wiley in remainder to clinch the final round spot.

[Sestak]

Interesting. Looking forward to precinct results so we can see exactly where analysis of the absentee vote fell short.