NYC Mayor/2021 Megathread

[KaiserDave]

https://www.gothamgazette.com/city/10131-conflict-differentiation-democratic-mayoral-candidates-debate-brooklyn

Interesting semi debate recap

I'm liking Garcia and Donavan, still internally divided on Yang.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

https://www.gothamgazette.com/city/10131-conflict-differentiation-democratic-mayoral-candidates-debate-brooklyn

Interesting semi debate recap

I'm liking Garcia and Donavan, still internally divided on Yang.

Boo! Let Menchaca in!

[Suburbia]

The NYCGOP is not relevant in this election, it's only a question of who they chose to get 25% to 30%

If Eric Ulrich were to make a last minute entry he'd win the Republican Primary, and probably scoop up at least 44-45% in a general election.

Yes, Ulrich is more sane than Sliwa. Have Sliwa as a crime czar, but Sliwa is just like Bo Dietl. Angry white ethnics obsessed with crime.

Ulrich would win the primary and would give the Dems a run in the election, but he would lose.

[Suburbia]

I assume it's because the democrats are in power in D.C and it's not exactly an easy job but I'm always surprised at how relatively weak/low-key/inexperienced the democratic benches seem to be in every primary going back what 20-30 years?

Is there a reason for that?

Nationally or just in New York City?

New York City! I guess it's probably related to people always going for the easier life that a safe NYC congressional seat gives you or the more powerful position state wide.

Being mayor of New York City has all the stresses of being a governor of a big state with only a fraction of the benefits and power.

Being a big-city mayor in the US in general is a pretty thankless task, since most of the biggest problems that cities suffer from can't be solved at just a local level, and often they're hamstrung by either the state or the federal governments, or machine-type City Council and civil servants that don't have much interest in changing the status quo.

This. Mayor is a tough job. de Blasio was destined to truly change policing, the powerful police unions neutered him.

[Real Texan Politics]

https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1357491404017192960?s=20
Uhhh Yang, you alright there buddy?

[brucejoel99]

Hold up, an Amy Schumer endorsement? Given who the cousin of hers whom she's closely & very publicly coordinated with on multiple political issues in the past, could that be read as an implicit endorsement of said certain cousin for Yang? Or is that too much of a stretch here?

[The Houstonian]

https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1357491404017192960?s=20
Uhhh Yang, you alright there buddy?

Is this an endorsement or an anti-endorsement? I have heard more bad than good about Amy.

[englandrightnow]

Yang will be the next Mayor.

That's my prediction and I am sticking with it.

[LabourJersey]

Yang will be the next Mayor.

That's my prediction and I am sticking with it.

It's possible, but RCV makes a Yang victory much less likely than if the old system was still in effect.

Yang could probably have gotten to the old-style runoff just on name rec alone. But RCV means people who don't like Yang/don't think he's experienced enough can coordinate in a way that would probably prevent him from getting 50% plus 1

[The Houstonian]

Yang will be the next Mayor.

That's my prediction and I am sticking with it.

It's possible, but RCV makes a Yang victory much less likely than if the old system was still in effect.

Yang could probably have gotten to the old-style runoff just on name rec alone. But RCV means people who don't like Yang/don't think he's experienced enough can coordinate in a way that would probably prevent him from getting 50% plus 1

This is a relatively small constituency.

[LabourJersey]

Yang will be the next Mayor.

That's my prediction and I am sticking with it.

It's possible, but RCV makes a Yang victory much less likely than if the old system was still in effect.

Yang could probably have gotten to the old-style runoff just on name rec alone. But RCV means people who don't like Yang/don't think he's experienced enough can coordinate in a way that would probably prevent him from getting 50% plus 1

This is a relatively small constituency.

Not really? there's definitely people who think it he's a little out of touch with average people (that whole line about "who would live in a 2 bedroom apartment with small children, right?" that became kinda viral on Twitter). But the larger constituency are those who just don't think he has the skillset to be a good mayor

[Oryxslayer]

Yang will be the next Mayor.

That's my prediction and I am sticking with it.

It's possible, but RCV makes a Yang victory much less likely than if the old system was still in effect.

Yang could probably have gotten to the old-style runoff just on name rec alone. But RCV means people who don't like Yang/don't think he's experienced enough can coordinate in a way that would probably prevent him from getting 50% plus 1

This is a relatively small constituency.

Not really? there's definitely people who think it he's a little out of touch with average people (that whole line about "who would live in a 2 bedroom apartment with small children, right?" that became kinda viral on Twitter). But the larger constituency are those who just don't think he has the skillset to be a good mayor

I agree with your broader point, its just that the only RCV polls of this race (admittingly sponsored by the Yang campaign) found him getting nearly 50% of the vote transfers, which is enough to maintain his lead from the initial ballot.

[KaiserDave]

Yang will be the next Mayor.

That's my prediction and I am sticking with it.

It's possible, but RCV makes a Yang victory much less likely than if the old system was still in effect.

Yang could probably have gotten to the old-style runoff just on name rec alone. But RCV means people who don't like Yang/don't think he's experienced enough can coordinate in a way that would probably prevent him from getting 50% plus 1

This is a relatively small constituency.

You're just flat out wrong

[The Houstonian]

Yang will be the next Mayor.

That's my prediction and I am sticking with it.

It's possible, but RCV makes a Yang victory much less likely than if the old system was still in effect.

Yang could probably have gotten to the old-style runoff just on name rec alone. But RCV means people who don't like Yang/don't think he's experienced enough can coordinate in a way that would probably prevent him from getting 50% plus 1

This is a relatively small constituency.

You're just flat out wrong

Yang is a chill dude, he has massive crossover appeal.

[KaiserDave]

Yang will be the next Mayor.

That's my prediction and I am sticking with it.

It's possible, but RCV makes a Yang victory much less likely than if the old system was still in effect.

Yang could probably have gotten to the old-style runoff just on name rec alone. But RCV means people who don't like Yang/don't think he's experienced enough can coordinate in a way that would probably prevent him from getting 50% plus 1

This is a relatively small constituency.

You're just flat out wrong

Yang is a chill dude, he has massive crossover appeal.

Based on what, exactly?

I'm telling you as a New Yorker active in political circles that there is a very large segment of average voters and people of relevance that dislike Yang.

[The Houstonian]

Yang will be the next Mayor.

That's my prediction and I am sticking with it.

It's possible, but RCV makes a Yang victory much less likely than if the old system was still in effect.

Yang could probably have gotten to the old-style runoff just on name rec alone. But RCV means people who don't like Yang/don't think he's experienced enough can coordinate in a way that would probably prevent him from getting 50% plus 1

This is a relatively small constituency.

You're just flat out wrong

Yang is a chill dude, he has massive crossover appeal.

Based on what, exactly?

I'm telling you as a New Yorker active in political circles that there is a very large segment of average voters and people of relevance that dislike Yang.

Those people sound like losers and dweebs. You should look for other circles.

[KaiserDave]

Yang will be the next Mayor.

That's my prediction and I am sticking with it.

It's possible, but RCV makes a Yang victory much less likely than if the old system was still in effect.

Yang could probably have gotten to the old-style runoff just on name rec alone. But RCV means people who don't like Yang/don't think he's experienced enough can coordinate in a way that would probably prevent him from getting 50% plus 1

This is a relatively small constituency.

You're just flat out wrong

Yang is a chill dude, he has massive crossover appeal.

Based on what, exactly?

I'm telling you as a New Yorker active in political circles that there is a very large segment of average voters and people of relevance that dislike Yang.

Those people sound like losers and dweebs. You should look for other circles.

You should look for other websites

[The Houstonian]

Yang will be the next Mayor.

That's my prediction and I am sticking with it.

It's possible, but RCV makes a Yang victory much less likely than if the old system was still in effect.

Yang could probably have gotten to the old-style runoff just on name rec alone. But RCV means people who don't like Yang/don't think he's experienced enough can coordinate in a way that would probably prevent him from getting 50% plus 1

This is a relatively small constituency.

You're just flat out wrong

Yang is a chill dude, he has massive crossover appeal.

Based on what, exactly?

I'm telling you as a New Yorker active in political circles that there is a very large segment of average voters and people of relevance that dislike Yang.

Those people sound like losers and dweebs. You should look for other circles.

You should look for other websites

I agree, this one sucks. Not a lot of smart people here besides bronz and John Dule

[StateBoiler]

New York Daily News reporting Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams has accepted thousands of dollars in travel and other perks from China, Turkey, and Azerbaijan.

https://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/new-york-elections-government/ny-nyc-mayoral-race-eric-adams-china-turkey-azerbaijan-20210206-uelz6zyvzzad5p4nuhvx6woqcu-story.html?force_isolation=true

[Lambsbread]

New York Daily News reporting Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams has accepted thousands of dollars in travel and other perks from China, Turkey, and Azerbaijan.

https://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/new-york-elections-government/ny-nyc-mayoral-race-eric-adams-china-turkey-azerbaijan-20210206-uelz6zyvzzad5p4nuhvx6woqcu-story.html?force_isolation=true

As far as New York politicians go--that's all?

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

A new poll is in for this race's democratic primary.

Core Decision Analytics/Fontas Advisors
January 20-25
842 likely voters
MoE: 3.38%

Andrew Yang 28%
Eric Adams 17%
Scott Stringer 13%
Shaun Donovan 8%
Maya Wiley 8%
Kathryn Garcia 2%
Ray McGuire 2%
Dianne Morales 2%
Zach Iscol 1%
Undecided/don't know 19%

88% of voters have not heard a lot about RCV, including 34% who said they've heard "nothing at all." With that in mind, here's who voters say they might, probably, or would definitely consider voting for:

Yang 90%
Adams 89%
Stringer 89%
Donovan 87%
Wiley 85%
Garcia 81%
Morales 73%
Iscol 70%
McGuire 67%

[Lambsbread]

I think Morales would really benefit in a non-COVID world. She needs to get her name rec up. She's still my favorite candidate in this race, but she doesn't stand a chance unless she becomes more recognizable.

[VPH]

Tbh I would vote for Ulrich over almost any candidate not named Yang or Sutton

[warandwar]

I think Morales would really benefit in a non-COVID world. She needs to get her name rec up. She's still my favorite candidate in this race, but she doesn't stand a chance unless she becomes more recognizable.

She will. She's the only one besides Yang with any kind of grassroots base

[The Houstonian]

A new poll is in for this race's democratic primary.

Core Decision Analytics/Fontas Advisors
January 20-25
842 likely voters
MoE: 3.38%

Andrew Yang 28%
Eric Adams 17%
Scott Stringer 13%
Shaun Donovan 8%
Maya Wiley 8%
Kathryn Garcia 2%
Ray McGuire 2%
Dianne Morales 2%
Zach Iscol 1%
Undecided/don't know 19%

88% of voters have not heard a lot about RCV, including 34% who said they've heard "nothing at all." With that in mind, here's who voters say they might, probably, or would definitely consider voting for:

Yang 90%
Adams 89%
Stringer 89%
Donovan 87%
Wiley 85%
Garcia 81%
Morales 73%
Iscol 70%
McGuire 67%

I told y'all Yang hate was overrated