The United States of Corona

[It’s so Joever]

Arkansas: 4 CD's (No change)


https://davesredistricting.org/join/4c39f650-66f7-471d-ae19-379a3c14ae94
Summary
Despite being in the South, Arkansas has not been hit in the same way as the likes of TX or LA. The most cases per capita are in the NW part (includes Rogers, Fayetteville, etc) and along the Mississsippi River (Also has a minority of rural blacks)


District 1: 631,232 (NW Arkansas)

CVAP:
White: 86.1%
Other: 13.9%

2016:
31.4%-60.9%-7.7%

R+17.9

District 2: 794,604 (Little Rock)

CVAP:
White: 69.2%
Black: 26.1%
Other: 4.7%

2016:
43.9%-50.5%-5.6%

R+5.18

District 3: 911,496 (West Arkansas)
CVAP:
White: 82.7%
Black: 11.2%
Other: 6.1%

2016:
26.8%-68.1%-5.1%

R+21.42

District 4: 653,339 (East Arkansas)

CVAP:
White: 76.4%
Black: 20.0%
Other: 3.6%

2016:
32.2%-62.8%-5.0%

R+14.91

[It’s so Joever]

Iowa: 4 CD's (No Change)


https://davesredistricting.org/join/6f071888-f926-4ceb-a590-9e831ade4a87

Summary:
Iowa is one of the States where cases actually seem to be increasing from last month. Neighboring States such as the Dakotas also share this pattern. It is certainly higher now in terms of CD's but I am sticking to what was put in place earlier. Des Moines has been hit the hardest as would be expected, but the Eastern part of Iowa has been hit significantly less than the rest of the State (not expected). This could be due to meatpacking outbreaks in the Central and Western parts of the State as we have already seen in states like Kansas.

District 1: 558,276 (Des Moines)

CVAP:
White: 87.1%
Other: 12.9%

2016:
50.2%-41.8%-8.0%

D+3.41

District 2: 998,531 (East Iowa)

CVAP:
White: 90.8%
Other: 9.2%

2016:
47.4%-45.1%-7.5%

D+3.33

District 3: 860,549 (Central Iowa)

CVAP:
White: 93.3%
Other: 6.7%

2016:
39.4%-53.5%-7.1%

R+3.97

District 4: 715,143 (West Iowa)
White: 93.3%
Other: 6.7%

2016:
29.9%-64.1%-6.0%

R+13.98

[It’s so Joever]

Nevada: 5 CD's (+1)


https://davesredistricting.org/join/765f1cb5-1cc7-45c5-a444-2ec8574591a4

Summary:
The overall pattern is exactly as expected. The more urban and minority-rich a place is, the more cases per capita.

District 1: 515,632  (West Las Vegas)
CVAP:
White: 62.5%
Hispanic: 15.8%
Black: 10.4%
Other: 11.3%

2016:
47.1%-46.9%-6.0%

R+0.97

District 2: 458,491 (Central Las Vegas)

CVAP:
White: 37.0%
Hispanic: 29.8%
Black: 23.2%
Other: 10%

2016:
66.3%-28.2%-5.5%

D+19.62

District 3: 471,653 (South Las Vegas)

CVAP:
White: 49.6%
Hispanic: 19.2%
Asian: 16.7%
Black: 11.5%
Other: 3.3%

2016:
55.1%-39.1%-5.8%

D+7.9

District 4: 594,177 (Henderson)

CVAP:
White: 61.4%
Hispanic: 18.6%
Other: 20.0%

2016:
48.1%-45.9%-6.0%

D+0.56

District 5: 882,896 (Everything else)

CVAP:
White: 74.0%
Hispanic: 14.7%
Other: 11.3%

2016:
39.0%-53.0%-8.0%

R+7.6

[It’s so Joever]

Washington: 5 CD's (-5)



https://davesredistricting.org/join/3edfe192-4c6b-4451-ac01-d35ad3b18362

Summary:
Finally an interesting case that is not just urban/rural.
Despite being the most dense part of the state and arguably being where the entire US pandemic began, Seattle itself has actually not been hit that hard, nor has Western Washington in general.

However, rural Eastern Washington has been hit harder. This is because of Latino migrant worker outbreaks.

District 1: 1,704,964 (Seattle)

CVAP:
White: 69.2%
Asian: 15.1%
Other: 15.7%

2016:
76.0%-17.9%-6.1%

D+26.28%

District 2: 2,302,756 (West Washington)

CVAP:
White: 78.9%
Other: 21.1%

2016:
49.8%-41.9%-8.3%

D+3.37

District 3: 1,544,079 (Seattle Suburbs & North Washington)

CVAP:
White: 81.0%
Other: 19.0%

2016:
49.5%-42.4%-8.1%

D+2.35

District 4: 792,550 (Yakima)

CVAP:
White: 79.3%
Hispanic: 11.9%
Other: 8.8%

2016:
44.0%-48.8%-7.2%

R+3.78

District 5: 949,986 (East Washington)

CVAP:
White: 84.1%
Other: 15.9%

2016:
38.6%-52.9%-8.5%

R+8.86

[It’s so Joever]

Alright, two "swing states" today.

Minnesota: 5 CD's (-3)



https://davesredistricting.org/join/41e4756a-31e7-485e-a0b0-65177d8daf2b

Summary
As expected, Minneapolis has the most cases per vapita, although something interesting in that Southern Minnesota (Not including the Minneapolis area) has had more cases than the North. Maybe this is simply because Northern MN is pretty isolated and hasn't been hit too hard yet, I am not sure. Although cases appear somewhat stable here right now, I expect them to shoot up soon similar to their neighbors (ND/WI/IA)

District 1: 730,053 (Minneapolis)

CVAP:
White: 75.6%
Black: 13.1%
Other: 11.3%

2016:
71.6%-19.8%-8.6%

D+24.22

District 2: 1,205,955 (West Minneapolis suburbs/exurbs)

CVAP:
White: 87.8%
Other: 12.2%

2016:
43.3%-47.8%-8.8%

R+4.47

District 3: 982,246 (St Paul and West Minneapolis suburbs)

CVAP:
White: 79.9%
Other: 20.1%

2016:
57.0%-33.9%-9.1%

D+10.08

District 4: 1,688,648 (North MN)

CVAP:
White: 92.1%
Other: 7.9%

2016:
36.4%-55.4%-8.2%

R+7.11

District 5: 920,457 (Southern MN)

CVAP:
White: 92.7%
Other: 7.3%

2016:
36.8%-54.4%-8.8%

R+6.61

[It’s so Joever]

Wisconsin: 5 CD's (-3)



https://davesredistricting.org/join/5f480527-3050-409b-89f9-3e1b4a2c7a5e

Summary:
The distribution of cases seems to be inversely correlated with proximity to Milwaukee. However, I caution readers that this map was drawn before a huge spike in Dane County, this map is probably the one which has changed the most since I drew it (a couple of weeks ago) This is a good reminder that these maps are a snapshot in time of when drawn, and the districts per state reflect case counts back in late August.

District 1: 505,848 (Milwaukee)
CVAP:
Black: 45.5%
White: 42.2%
Other: 12.3%

2016:
79.4%-16.7%-4.9%

District 2: 847,240 (Milwaukee Suburbs)

CVAP:
White: 86.3%
Other: 13.7%

2016:
41.9%-51.3%-6.8%

R+7.75

District 3: 1,022,964 (Milwaukee Exurbs and Racine/Kenosha)

CVAP:
White: 88.5%
Other: 11.5%

2016:
40.4%-53.4%-6.2%
 
R+6.55

District 4: 1,580,566 (NE WI)

CVAP:
White: 92.6%
Other: 7.4%

2016:
38.5%-55.2%-6.3%

R+6.83

District 5: 1,821,776 (West WI)

CVAP:
White: 92.5%
Other: 7.5%

2016:
50.9%-42.6%-6.5%

D+5.47

[It’s so Joever]

Indiana: 6 CD's (-3)


https://davesredistricting.org/join/3271067b-8f3e-49b4-aed3-c68833091b4c

Summary:
Aside from the expected patterns, there does seem to be a strange discrepancy between North and South Indiana. Outside of urban areas, South Indiana has overall been hit harder than North Indiana. Fort Wayne has also managed to do pretty well so far.

District 1: 614,122 (Indianapolis)

CVAP:
White: 57.2%
Black: 35.9%
Other: 6.1%

D+18.16

District 2: 1,236,314 (S. Indy Suburbs/Bloomington, etc)

CVAP:
White: 89.7%
Other: 10.3%

R+14.38

District 3: 928,464 (NW Coast)

CVAP:
White: 70.1%
Black: 17.6%
Hispanic: 10.1%
Other: 2.2%

D+6.82

District 4: 1,422,122 (N. Indiana)

CVAP:
White: 88.8%
Other: 11.2%

R+17.39

District 5: 1,327,078 (Middle Indiana)

CVAP:
White: 90.7%
Other: 9.3%

R+13.71

District 6: 1,109,326 (S. Indiana)

CVAP:
White: 93.6%
Other: 6.4%

R+16.57

[It’s so Joever]

Missouri: 6 CD's (-2)



https://davesredistricting.org/join/bcdd1579-0a4f-4071-966f-6b69ff4cf7ed

Summary: The pattern here is like Missouri itself, boring. Urban parts have more cases per capita, followed by suburbs, followed by the rurals. All that being said, this map was made a while back and because Missouri has seen a pretty strong increase in cases, it's possible this is outdated.

District 1 525,562   (St Louis)

CVAP:
Black: 49.6%
White: 45.5%
Other: 4.9%

2016:
79.6%-16.3%-4.1%

D+31.02

District 2: 692,027 (Kansas City)

CVAP:
White: 68.6%
Black: 23.5%
Other: 7.9%

2016:
56.1%-38.6%-5.3%

D+8.21

District 3 1,007,697 (SL Suburbs)

CVAP:
White: 83.3%
Black: 11.8%
Other: 4.9%

2016:
46.1%-48.9%-5.0%

R+2.53

District 4: 1,170,707 (NW MO)

CVAP:
White: 90.9%
Other: 9.1%

2016:
31.5%-63.4%-5.1%

R+15.89

District 5: 1,489,693 (Central MO)

CVAP:
White: 90.8%
Other: 9.2%

2016:
27.6%-67.4%-5.0%

R+19

District 6: 1,204,376 (S. MO)

CVAP:
White: 91.5%
Other: 8.5%

2016:
22.9%-72.9%-4.2%

R+24.46

[It’s so Joever]

Mississippi: 6 CD's (+2)

https://davesredistricting.org/join/f40d40c5-a92b-4356-908f-2a40d4d7e9bf

Summary:
Like many places, minorities were significantly more likely  to have Covid-19 (especially African Americans) this can be reflected in the higher number of cases per capita in the MS Delta region. Meanwhile, the Biloxi Coast fared far better than the rest of the State, and is coincidentally also the whitest part of the State.

District 1: 530,909 (North MS)

CVAP:
White: 72.8%
Black: 24.4%
Other: 2.8%

R+19.83

District 2: 355,127 (Northern MS Delta)

CVAP:
Black: 51.8%
White: 45.9%
Other: 2.3%

D+5.17

District 3: 444,561 (East MS)

CVAP:
White: 57.2%
Black: 39.6%
Other: 3.2%

R+7.5

District 4: 524,927 (Greater Jackson)

CVAP:
White: 49.5%
Black: 48.2%
Other: 2.3%

R+1.15

District 5: 413,775 (Southern MS Delta)

CVAP:
White: 49.9%
Black: 48.4%
Other: 1.7%

R+1.51

District 6: 719,463 (Coast)

CVAP:
White: 72.9%
Black: 22.0%
Other: 5.1%

R+21.86

[It’s so Joever]

Maryland 8 CD's (No Change)


https://davesredistricting.org/join/e5825ddf-f653-4ef4-8e4a-12ec06c3718d

Summary:
The distribution itself is fairly normal, although upon closer look, it does appear that the DC area has been hit harder than the Baltimore area despite both being large metropolitan areas with sizeable minority populations. As expected, the rurals and exurbs were the least hit.

Very fitting I write this up as Trump is in an MD hospital.

District 1: 407,420 (College Park/Greenbelt)

CVAP:
Black: 55.4%
White: 24.6%
Hispanic: 12.6%
Other: 7.4%

2016:
86.6%-9.3%4.1%

D+37.88

District 2: 498,782 (East DC Suburbs)

CVAP:
Black: 80.7%
White: 12.2%
Other: 7.1%

2016:
89.2%-7.7%-3.1%

D+40.42

District 3: 524,624 (Silver Spring)

CVAP:
White: 54.2%
Black: 21.2%
Hispanic: 12.1%
Asian: 11.5%
Other: 1%

2016:
80.1%-14.3%-5.6%

D+29.91

District 4: 1,015,153 (West DC suburbs/West MD)

CVAP:
White: 70.8%
Black: 11.7%
Other: 17.5%

2016:
53.6%-40.0%-6.4%

D+4.64

District 5: 1,020,158 (South MD/Annapolis area)

CVAP:
White: 69.2%
Black: 21.4%
Other: 9.4%

2016:
49.4%-43.9%-6.6%

D+1.16

District 6: 915,774 (Baltimore Suburbs/Exurbs)

CVAP:
White: 65.9%
Black: 24.2%
Other: 9.9%

2016:
56.2%-36.9%-6.9%

D+7.24

District 7: 614,700 (Baltimore)

CVAP:
Black: 63.3%
White: 31.4%
Other: 5.3%

2016:
84.7%-10.5%-4.8%

D+37.29

District 8: 1,006,824 (East MD)

CVAP:
White: 78.6%
Black: 15.5%
Other: 5.9%

2016:
38.1%-56.3%-5.6%

R+9.33

[It’s so Joever]

Michigan: 8 CD's (-6)



https://davesredistricting.org/join/aee5a640-3300-4784-afe4-45819d051c43

 Summary:
The pattern is extremely simple here, with Greater Detroit having most of the Covid-19 cases as would be expected. "The Thumb" and West Michigan had the fewest cases per capita.

District 1: 703,124 (Detroit)

CVAP:
Black: 81.7%
White: 12.3%
Other: 6.0%

2016:
95.1%-3.3%-1.6%

D+45.88

District 2: 840,558 (Suburban Wayne Co.)

CVAP:
White: 77.8%
Black: 14.1%
Other: 8.1%

2016:
54.6%-40.4%-5.0%

D+8.72

District 3: 1,086,212 (Macomb Suburbs/Exurbs)

CVAP:
White: 84.2%
Black: 10.2%
Other: 5.6%

2016:
41.3%-54.2%-4.5%

R+3.96

District 4: 1,377,343 (Ann Arbor/Lansing/SE)
CVAP:
White: 83.0%
Other: 17.0%

2016:
51.5%-42.9%-5.6%

D+4.89

District 5: 827,926 (Oakland Suburbs)

CVAP:
White: 69.9%
Black: 21.3%
Other: 8.8%

2016:
59.5%-35.9%-4.6%

D+9.91

District 6:  1,818,716 (Flint/The Thumb)

CVAP:
White: 87.2%
Other: 12.8%

2016:
39.9%-54.8%-5.3%

R+5.81

District 7: 1,724,477 (SW Michigan)

CVAP:
White: 84.1%
Other: 15.9%

2016:
42.2%-51.5%-6.3%

R+4.95

District 8: 1,569,803 (Upstate)

CVAP:
White: 91.9%
Other: 8.1%

2016:
35.5%-58.7%-5.8%

R+10.66

[Kamala's side hoe]

Washington: 5 CD's (-5)



https://davesredistricting.org/join/3edfe192-4c6b-4451-ac01-d35ad3b18362

Summary:
Finally an interesting case that is not just urban/rural.
Despite being the most dense part of the state and arguably being where the entire US pandemic began, Seattle itself has actually not been hit that hard, nor has Western Washington in general.

However, rural Eastern Washington has been hit harder. This is because of Latino migrant worker outbreaks.

District 1: 1,704,964 (Seattle)

CVAP:
White: 69.2%
Asian: 15.1%
Other: 15.7%

2016:
76.0%-17.9%-6.1%

D+26.28%

District 2: 2,302,756 (West Washington)

CVAP:
White: 78.9%
Other: 21.1%

2016:
49.8%-41.9%-8.3%

D+3.37

District 3: 1,544,079 (Seattle Suburbs & North Washington)

CVAP:
White: 81.0%
Other: 19.0%

2016:
49.5%-42.4%-8.1%

D+2.35

District 4: 792,550 (Yakima)

CVAP:
White: 79.3%
Hispanic: 11.9%
Other: 8.8%

2016:
44.0%-48.8%-7.2%

R+3.78

District 5: 949,986 (East Washington)

CVAP:
White: 84.1%
Other: 15.9%

2016:
38.6%-52.9%-8.5%

R+8.86

Proposed Alternate District names

District 1: Urbanized King County (the disconnected blue blob is Vashon Island)
District 2: South Sound + Olympic Peninsula
District 3: North Sound + Upper Columbia
District 4: Yakima + Columbia Gorge
District 5: East Washington

[It’s so Joever]

South Carolina: 8 CD's (+1)

https://davesredistricting.org/join/64997375-0ff7-4b89-89bc-2a52a93eb09f

Summary:
It seems that in South Carolina, the coastal area had more cases per capita than the inland parts. The Black Belt region was hit somewhat hard, but it is Charleston that has suffered the highest cases rates.

District 1: 503,878 (Peedee Area)

CVAP:
White: 71.1%
Black: 24.7%
Other: 4.2%

2016:
38.4%-58.7%-2.9%

R+9.33

District 2: 394,712 (Charleston)

CVAP:
White: 68.4%
Black: 27.0%
Other: 4.6%

2016:
50.6%-42.8%-6.6%

D+1.17

District 3: 632,468 (Lowcountry)

CVAP:
White: 67.9%
Black: 27.6%
Other: 6.5%

2016:
40.9%-54.3%-4.8%

R+8.05

District 4: 557,748 (Black Belt)

CVAP:
White: 49.9%
Black: 47.3%
Other: 2.8%

2016:
52.8%-44.8%-4.4%

D+4.36

District 5: 605,942 (Columbia)

CVAP:
White: 56.8%
Black: 37.2%
Other: 6.0%

2016:
53.6%-41.1%-5.3%

D+4.47

District 6: 808,285 (Midlands)

CVAP:
White: 72.1%
Black: 23.5%
Other: 4.4%

2016:
35.3%-60.4%-4.3%

R+13.3

District 7: 621,136 (Greenville)

CVAP:
White: 78.0%
Black: 16.3%
Other: 5.7%

2016:
32.1%-62.1%-5.8%

R+17.6

District 8: 830,490 (Upcountry)

CVAP:
White: 75.1%
Black: 20.8%
Other: 4.1%

2016:
31.1%-65.3%-3.6%

R+16.98

[It’s so Joever]

Virginia: 8 CD's (-3)


Summary: As one would suspect, NoVa has been the hardest hit by far, likely due to its connection with the ACELA corridor. Interestingly, the outer ring of NoVa suburbs has actually been more hit than the inner parts of NoVa (Alexandria/Arlington area) Prince William County was the worst when I drew this map (a few weeks ago), and I am honestly not sure why. My guess would be race, but I am not sure. Maybe a poster from the area could explain this discrepancy.
Hampton Roads has also been hit hard by Covid.
The Richmond area has surprisingly fared better than the other two metro areas, although that is likely due to its relatively smaller size. As expected, the rural Western parts of VA have had the fewest cases per capita.

District 1: 874,751 (Alexandria/McLean)

CVAP:
White: 65.2%
Asian: 12.7%
Black: 11.3%
Other: 10.8%

2016:
71.2%-21.6%-7.2%

D+20.22

District 2: 889,806 (Rest of Fairfax and Ashburn)

CVAP:
White: 61.5%
Asian: 17.8%
Black: 10.2%
Other: 10.5%

2016:
61.8%-31.3%-6.09%

D+10.67

District 3: 774,085 (PW/Loudon/Fauquier)

CVAP:
White: 60.5%
Black: 17.6%
Hispanic: 11.5%
Other: 10.4%

2016:
53.4%-40.4%-6.2%

D+3.71

District 4: 1,286,366 (Rural N. VA)

CVAP:
White: 80.1%
Black: 13.0%
Other: 6.9%

2016:
39.3%-54.7%-6.0%

R+8.77

District 5: 835,726 (VA Beach/Norfolk/Portsmouth)

CVAP:
White: 59.7%
Black: 30.5%
Other: 9.8%

2016:
53.0%-40.9%-6.1%

D+5.63

District 6: 835,726 (SE VA)

CVAP:
White: 56.5%
Black: 35.6%
Other: 7.9%

2016:
51.7%-43.1%-5.2%

D+3.74

District 6: 1,014,176 (Richmond Area)

CVAP:
White: 60.7%
Black: 32.0%
Other: 7.3%

2016:
54.5%-39.6%-5.9%

D+4.73

District 8: 1,709,423  (West VA)

CVAP:
White: 83.2%
Black: 13.6%
Other: 3.2%

2016:
32.6%-62.7%-4.7%

R+14.7

[lfromnj]

Yes Prince William county is the most heavily minority area of NOVA and arguably also the most "working class" part of NOVA.

Also you reposted the SC map.

[It’s so Joever]

Yes Prince William county is the most heavily minority area of NOVA and arguably also the most "working class" part of NOVA.

Also you reposted the SC map.

Yeah I changed it.
Can you see the VA map now?