Here's a better answer:
1988: Dukakis wins 335-203 if everything went right for him:
1992: His first term as president has it's ups and downs. The Cold War still ends, The Gulf War still takes place and there's a mild recession. The recession would've likely meant losing the plains states and struggling in Ohio. I also don't think Dukakis would've win Texas again. I could've seen Dukakis flipping New Jersey but it probably would've stayed Republican. Dukakis could've still won 272-266 if he retained everything else he won in 1988 but one more loss and he would've been toast. The GOP nominee would've definitely been the favorite to win.
