Weird 538 maps

[Kuumo]

Found these two amazing gems on the 538 model today.

This one looks like a parody of some bad Atlas takes like Biden being weak with Hispanics, Biden having a chance at winning Utah, Biden bringing back all the Obama-Trump voters to win Ohio, ME-02, and Montana, and Alaska being a "sleeper state" (muh trended D every election since 2008). With Republican New Jersey to top it at all off.

This map looks like one of those 2016-trends-on-steroids 2040 electoral maps or maybe a pro-life Democrat vs pro-choice Republican map (with a few exceptions like TX, MI, NC, NH).


There were also a lot of maps with Republican Minnesota and Democratic Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania that must've overreacted to that Trafalgar poll. Why did 538 have to cater to the muh 2016, 70% chance=100% chance crowd by publishing 100 maps a day instead of creating one user-friendly interactive map like in past years?

[Kuumo]

A lot going on here. Any potential scenarios? Atlanta gets hit by a meteor and Utah and Alaska offer a program to re-house the entire population, but for some reason, half get stuck en route in Mississippi?

See, I told you that the USC poll showing Biden +13, the Tralfalgar Minnesota poll, and the Landmark Communications Georgia poll were all true! I also predicted Susan Collins's megacoattails would give Maine AND New Hampshire to Trump, and no one believed me! I will now accept my accolades.





Yeah, I can't think of a non-meme explanation for this map.

[Kuumo]

Just ran into this monstrosity

Why does OR always seem to be red in all the weird maps? These off maps seem to be Biden winning a random collection of safe R south eastern states, losing OR, and having a weird performance in the South West

This looks like a throwback to 1976. I can't wait for Biden to bring back the Jimmy Carter coalition!

After seeing all those maps, 538 appears to obsessed with the idea of Oregon going Republican.

Not only that, but I have seen it accompanied by Democratic Louisiana multiple times on otherwise realistic maps. Fivey Fox must be really obsessed with the fact that Oregon has a Republican Secretary of State and Louisiana has a Democratic Governor.

[Kuumo]

Uhh, Wildfires in Oregon aren't fully contained by November cause the urban and suburban vote to move out of the state for a while and they vote throughout the country and Trump loses by a wide margin in general?

Titanium R Oregon strikes again!

[Kuumo]

I complain about not having enough weird Trump win maps, and then we get this:

Trump/Pence 338
Biden/Harris 200

When millions of Democrats move to Mississippi to turn it blue.

[Kuumo]

Some gems from a twitter thread a few weeks ago

This is my favorite Yellowstone Caldera scenario yet.

I had to check the electoral vote count to see if my eyes were deceiving me with Republican Hawaii. Either there was a 2004-on-steroids pro-incumbent swing or there was a second volcanic eruption that killed everyone except a few naval ships outside the blast radius with majority Republican crew members.

Also, the obligatory

Titanium R Oregon strikes again!

[Kuumo]

THIS is the real sunbelt stack!

Is it 1976? 1876???

The NH women got angry at Biden!

[Kuumo]

THIS is the real sunbelt stack!

Is it 1976? 1876???

The NH women got angry at Biden!

At least Oregon didn't.

I was pleasantly surprised by that. Usually those hipsters in Portland stay home or vote Hawkins en masse because they don't want Oregon to vote like Louisiana and Mississippi.