Weird 538 maps (user search)
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News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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Author Topic: Weird 538 maps  (Read 11472 times)
ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« on: August 21, 2020, 08:55:25 AM »
Are the state margin circles even numbers from the model or are they just there for visuals? Because they are wayyy too spread out to be realistic at all.
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2020, 10:02:59 AM »
Quote from: emailking on August 25, 2020, 04:51:07 PM
The 2008 map definitely falls in this category, and that happened, so...

The only thing weird about that map is Indiana so I don’t think it would fit
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2020, 01:45:51 PM »
Ok wtf is going on in Oregon
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2020, 03:29:55 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on September 13, 2020, 09:48:32 PM
Quote from: Crumpets on September 13, 2020, 09:44:18 PM
I get that there'll be more Biden win maps than Trump win maps,  simply because they show more Biden win maps,  but it seems strange that there don't seem to be many crazy Trump win maps - something like Trump winning Illinois and losing Indiana, or winning New Jersey and losing Ohio.

Especially since it seems likely there would be more fishy stuff going on with ballots in a Trump-slide.

538 model doesn’t account for that though
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2020, 01:16:29 PM »

Not really... maybe 2008
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2020, 11:06:44 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 25, 2020, 11:04:03 AM
Quote from: Figueira on October 25, 2020, 10:11:16 AM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 25, 2020, 08:46:31 AM
Quote from: Figueira on October 25, 2020, 08:44:21 AM

What simulator is this? And what's going on in Florida? Did Marco Rubio switch parties?

Mine! FL is a placeholder for GA(S)

Try it out here: https://1drv.ms/x/s!AtVtTR6So6YcjyFBFeXyNb-ERt-x?e=saGe7a

Says that the file is too big to open in Excel Online.

You have to open the link in Edge where you will be redirected to Excel. Chrome and other browsers tend to not work.

Also it doesn’t work on Mac even with Edge
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2020, 06:58:08 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 25, 2020, 11:08:42 AM
Quote from: Unbeatable Titan Gary Peters on October 25, 2020, 11:06:44 AM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 25, 2020, 11:04:03 AM
Quote from: Figueira on October 25, 2020, 10:11:16 AM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 25, 2020, 08:46:31 AM
Quote from: Figueira on October 25, 2020, 08:44:21 AM

What simulator is this? And what's going on in Florida? Did Marco Rubio switch parties?

Mine! FL is a placeholder for GA(S)

Try it out here: https://1drv.ms/x/s!AtVtTR6So6YcjyFBFeXyNb-ERt-x?e=saGe7a

Says that the file is too big to open in Excel Online.

You have to open the link in Edge where you will be redirected to Excel. Chrome and other browsers tend to not work.

Also it doesn’t work on Mac even with Edge

Oof, sorry about that. I use windows so I'm not exactly sure how it works on Mac, you could try in other browsers or maybe there's a way to open the link in Excel itself.

No worries. I have one of your older versions that I can get to work. It's pretty fun to create custom matchups with polling, etc. and run this. Thanks for doing this and sharing.
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