Weird 538 maps (user search)
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Author Topic: Weird 538 maps  (Read 11461 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,729
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« on: August 20, 2020, 08:56:35 PM »
« edited: August 20, 2020, 09:14:18 PM by Crumpets »
Quote from: --- demos --- Save the Republic on August 20, 2020, 08:34:53 PM
Quote from: money printer go brrr on August 20, 2020, 07:29:00 PM
Still some uncertainty because we're months from election day, guess that makes sense

No way lol. Nate Silver is just on crack this year. Just look at the n=100 sample scatter for each state. One of them is an outlier so preposterous that they built the model to make the distributions more platykurtic on purpose.

West Virginia. Enough said
-snip-

I'm picturing... a platypus with Kurt Russell's hair?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,729
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2020, 11:41:16 PM »
A lot going on here. Any potential scenarios? Atlanta gets hit by a meteor and Utah and Alaska offer a program to re-house the entire population, but for some reason, half get stuck en route in Mississippi?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,729
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #2 on: September 04, 2020, 01:22:02 PM »
Amazing.



Biden/Harris 277
Trump/Pence 261
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,729
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2020, 09:44:18 PM »
I get that there'll be more Biden win maps than Trump win maps,  simply because they show more Biden win maps,  but it seems strange that there don't seem to be many crazy Trump win maps - something like Trump winning Illinois and losing Indiana, or winning New Jersey and losing Ohio.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,729
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2020, 02:51:12 PM »

Union Joe!
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,729
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #5 on: September 15, 2020, 03:06:28 PM »
I complain about not having enough weird Trump win maps, and then we get this:



Trump/Pence 338
Biden/Harris 200
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,729
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2020, 09:55:13 PM »
Quote from: Fivey Fox says Oregon could flip in a Biden landslide! on September 15, 2020, 09:51:59 PM
Quote from: Crumpets on September 15, 2020, 03:06:28 PM
I complain about not having enough weird Trump win maps, and then we get this:



Trump/Pence 338
Biden/Harris 200

When millions of Democrats move to Mississippi to turn it blue.

The Great Mississippi Kombucha Rush of 2020
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