Weird 538 maps

[ProgressiveModerate]

I know it's not 538, but I thought this was kinda funny. Ds get blown out but Durbin still manages to hold on lol

Where did you find this?? I gotta go there and run a crap-ton of simulations lol

Lol it's my simulator. Check it out here: https://1drv.ms/x/s!AtVtTR6So6YciitHA5lVNDVQhCck?e=Nu6ifA

I put the link into my browser and it said that "Sorry, we can't open your workbook in Excel Online because it exceeds the 5 MB file size limit." What's going on?

Ah, first of you'll need excel. You'll want to open the link in Edge where it'll direct you to Excel

I opened it in Edge and the same thing happened. Is there a way to open it directly in Excel?

Hmm, when I open it in Edge it brings up a menu thing after a few seconds asking if I want to open it in the desktop app. Check to make sure you are currently logged into an office account and have the full version of Excel

[Blackacre]

I know it's not 538, but I thought this was kinda funny. Ds get blown out but Durbin still manages to hold on lol

Where did you find this?? I gotta go there and run a crap-ton of simulations lol

Lol it's my simulator. Check it out here: https://1drv.ms/x/s!AtVtTR6So6YciitHA5lVNDVQhCck?e=Nu6ifA

I put the link into my browser and it said that "Sorry, we can't open your workbook in Excel Online because it exceeds the 5 MB file size limit." What's going on?

Ah, first of you'll need excel. You'll want to open the link in Edge where it'll direct you to Excel

I opened it in Edge and the same thing happened. Is there a way to open it directly in Excel?

Hmm, when I open it in Edge it brings up a menu thing after a few seconds asking if I want to open it in the desktop app. Check to make sure you are currently logged into an office account and have the full version of Excel

I sent you a PM, but the short version is that I logged into Office on edge and on excel, with the same account, and still got the same fail message

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I've said this before, but I have a strong suspicion that 538 has some demographic variables in the mix. Natural disasters could depress turnout in key areas, maybe? Or either Trump or Biden dies suddenly?

I'm not sure why their model is spitting out these strange maps, but my guess would be slim probabilities of some massive event that shakes everything up.

[It's Perro Sanxe wot won it]

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Some combination of a Yellowstone caldera eruption and COVID mutates to become 75% lethal to people of European descent? The USPS "misplaces" several million mail-in ballots?

I'm trying to figure out how CO and OR go Trump in this scenario.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Georgia sticks out like a sore thumb here.

1. Trump dominates white voters without a college degree.
2. Biden dominates white voters with a college degree.
3. Every single eligible black voter turns out.
4. Trump does better than expected with Hispanics.
5. Brian Kemp shuts down all polling places accessible by pedestrians.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I know it's not 538, but I thought this was kinda funny. Ds get blown out but Durbin still manages to hold on lol

Where did you find this?? I gotta go there and run a crap-ton of simulations lol

Lol it's my simulator. Check it out here: https://1drv.ms/x/s!AtVtTR6So6YciitHA5lVNDVQhCck?e=Nu6ifA

I put the link into my browser and it said that "Sorry, we can't open your workbook in Excel Online because it exceeds the 5 MB file size limit." What's going on?

Ah, first of you'll need excel. You'll want to open the link in Edge where it'll direct you to Excel

I opened it in Edge and the same thing happened. Is there a way to open it directly in Excel?

Hmm, when I open it in Edge it brings up a menu thing after a few seconds asking if I want to open it in the desktop app. Check to make sure you are currently logged into an office account and have the full version of Excel

I sent you a PM, but the short version is that I logged into Office on edge and on excel, with the same account, and still got the same fail message

Check your email, I think I sent you a link to the file. Let me know if that works. It may be in your junk folder or smtg.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

I wouldn't complain about this one, and the order the states flip in at least makes sense, but wow is that a lot of blue.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

The 22 sample elections on the first image of the model's front page now include a map where Trump wins only Wyoming (bottom right map).

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I wouldn't complain about this one, and the order the states flip in at least makes sense, but wow is that a lot of blue.

This is actually a pretty decent Biden 65% Trump 30% map.

[Chips]

Uhh, Wildfires in Oregon aren't fully contained by November cause the urban and suburban vote to move out of the state for a while and they vote throughout the country and Trump loses by a wide margin in general?

[ultraviolet]

Ok wtf is going on in Oregon

[Granite City]

Ok wtf is going on in Oregon

They let Red Eagle Politics do one thing to the model?

[ملكة كرينجيتوك]

Some combination of a Yellowstone caldera eruption and COVID mutates to become 75% lethal to people of European descent? The USPS "misplaces" several million mail-in ballots?

I'm trying to figure out how CO and OR go Trump in this scenario.

Has to be the second one. COVID killing all the white people won't make OR and CO any less D.

[DaleCooper]

Fivey Fox must've dipped into McConnell's stash.

[EastAnglianLefty]

This was the tied map yesterday:

[Kuumo]

Uhh, Wildfires in Oregon aren't fully contained by November cause the urban and suburban vote to move out of the state for a while and they vote throughout the country and Trump loses by a wide margin in general?

Titanium R Oregon strikes again!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

OR will never vote R again, even Gordan Smith, the last of the McCain moderates along with Judd Gregg and Arlen Specter and George Vonovich were against ANWR drilling and were pro environment

[Progressive Pessimist]

This was the tied map yesterday:

I would flip such a s*** if this happened!

[Astatine]

Titanium R Oregon strikes again!

[LabourJersey]

Imagine being as obsessed with something as much as 538 is obsessed with a GOP Oregon

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

Today I found this. It is not the insanest map but there is *one* gem that caught my attention.

BILL CLINTON ENERGY

Also, can you believe that Joe Biden is older than Bill Clinton? It feels crazy.

[Ferguson97]

Also, can you believe that Joe Biden is older than Bill Clinton? It feels crazy.

And Al Gore, and John Kerry

[ProgressiveModerate]

[ON Progressive]

I don't think I can possibly top this, good lord:



Red Oregon is somehow not even the most questionable thing here, or even particularly close.