Weird 538 maps

[Crumpets]

A lot going on here. Any potential scenarios? Atlanta gets hit by a meteor and Utah and Alaska offer a program to re-house the entire population, but for some reason, half get stuck en route in Mississippi?

[Kuumo]

A lot going on here. Any potential scenarios? Atlanta gets hit by a meteor and Utah and Alaska offer a program to re-house the entire population, but for some reason, half get stuck en route in Mississippi?

See, I told you that the USC poll showing Biden +13, the Tralfalgar Minnesota poll, and the Landmark Communications Georgia poll were all true! I also predicted Susan Collins's megacoattails would give Maine AND New Hampshire to Trump, and no one believed me! I will now accept my accolades.





Yeah, I can't think of a non-meme explanation for this map.

[The Mikado]

First time this has been one of the displayed maps up top, I think.

[Ferguson97]

Another weird 538 tie map

NC flips but Arizona doesn't, and NH flips to Trump?

[Amanda Huggenkiss]

First time this has been one of the displayed maps up top, I think.

It really, really scares me that this map is not that implausible.

[Crumpets]

Amazing.

Biden/Harris 277
Trump/Pence 261

[LabourJersey]

Wait; how'd you get the state %?

Flip WV and this looks like some weird prediction map from the 70s or 80s.

[GeorgiaModerate]

This isn't one of the simulated maps, but this thread seems like the right place:

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1301943635492167680

[ON Progressive]

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Pennsylvania would be the new Texas in that scenario. That's depressing.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Just ran into this monstrosity

[Astatine]

After seeing all those maps, 538 appears to obsessed with the idea of Oregon going Republican.

[Ferguson97]

After seeing all those maps, 538 appears to obsessed with the idea of Oregon going Republican.

Brad Pascale on 538 payroll confirmed

[ProgressiveModerate]

Just ran into this monstrosity

Why does OR always seem to be red in all the weird maps? These off maps seem to be Biden winning a random collection of safe R south eastern states, losing OR, and having a weird performance in the South West

[Storr]

This isn't one of the simulated maps, but this thread seems like the right place:

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1301943635492167680

Sunbelt Stack NUT

[Kuumo]

Just ran into this monstrosity

Why does OR always seem to be red in all the weird maps? These off maps seem to be Biden winning a random collection of safe R south eastern states, losing OR, and having a weird performance in the South West

This looks like a throwback to 1976. I can't wait for Biden to bring back the Jimmy Carter coalition!

After seeing all those maps, 538 appears to obsessed with the idea of Oregon going Republican.

Not only that, but I have seen it accompanied by Democratic Louisiana multiple times on otherwise realistic maps. Fivey Fox must be really obsessed with the fact that Oregon has a Republican Secretary of State and Louisiana has a Democratic Governor.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Dick Morris: "Uh, when I said Arkansas was safe Obama, I meant safe Biden."

[YL]

Just ran into this monstrosity

Why does OR always seem to be red in all the weird maps? These off maps seem to be Biden winning a random collection of safe R south eastern states, losing OR, and having a weird performance in the South West

I think it's because there are no Oregon polls, which means that the model has more uncertainty there.

[Gustaf]

Oregon is one of the states least affected by Covid - they're 7th least per capita covid deaths. So that may be part of it.

[Blackacre]

I know it's not 538, but I thought this was kinda funny. Ds get blown out but Durbin still manages to hold on lol

Where did you find this?? I gotta go there and run a crap-ton of simulations lol

[ProgressiveModerate]

I know it's not 538, but I thought this was kinda funny. Ds get blown out but Durbin still manages to hold on lol

Where did you find this?? I gotta go there and run a crap-ton of simulations lol

Lol it's my simulator. Check it out here: https://1drv.ms/x/s!AtVtTR6So6YciitHA5lVNDVQhCck?e=Nu6ifA

[The Mikado]

Georgia sticks out like a sore thumb here.

[Blackacre]

I know it's not 538, but I thought this was kinda funny. Ds get blown out but Durbin still manages to hold on lol

Where did you find this?? I gotta go there and run a crap-ton of simulations lol

Lol it's my simulator. Check it out here: https://1drv.ms/x/s!AtVtTR6So6YciitHA5lVNDVQhCck?e=Nu6ifA

I put the link into my browser and it said that "Sorry, we can't open your workbook in Excel Online because it exceeds the 5 MB file size limit." What's going on?

[ProgressiveModerate]

I know it's not 538, but I thought this was kinda funny. Ds get blown out but Durbin still manages to hold on lol

Where did you find this?? I gotta go there and run a crap-ton of simulations lol

Lol it's my simulator. Check it out here: https://1drv.ms/x/s!AtVtTR6So6YciitHA5lVNDVQhCck?e=Nu6ifA

I put the link into my browser and it said that "Sorry, we can't open your workbook in Excel Online because it exceeds the 5 MB file size limit." What's going on?

Ah, first of you'll need excel. You'll want to open the link in Edge where it'll direct you to Excel

[Blackacre]

I know it's not 538, but I thought this was kinda funny. Ds get blown out but Durbin still manages to hold on lol

Where did you find this?? I gotta go there and run a crap-ton of simulations lol

Lol it's my simulator. Check it out here: https://1drv.ms/x/s!AtVtTR6So6YciitHA5lVNDVQhCck?e=Nu6ifA

I put the link into my browser and it said that "Sorry, we can't open your workbook in Excel Online because it exceeds the 5 MB file size limit." What's going on?

Ah, first of you'll need excel. You'll want to open the link in Edge where it'll direct you to Excel

I opened it in Edge and the same thing happened. Is there a way to open it directly in Excel?