TX-YouGov: Cornyn +7 (RV), +6 (LV)

[MT Treasurer]

RV

44% John Cornyn (R, inc.)
37% MJ Hegar (D)

LV

47% John Cornyn (R, inc.)
41% MJ Hegar (D)

PRES: Trump +7 (RV), +5 (LV)

https://www.txhpf.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/THPFFinalAug17.pdf

[Xing]

How is Electoral Titan and Hero of the Ancestrally Republican Suburbs John Cornyn not overperforming Trump!?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hegar is a bad fit, Castro would have won

[Person Man]

How is Electoral Titan and Hero of the Ancestrally Republican Suburbs John Cornyn not overperforming Trump!?

They are both up by 5ish.

[YE]

How is Electoral Titan and Hero of the Ancestrally Republican Suburbs John Cornyn not overperforming Trump!?

They are both up by 5ish.

I'd be very surprised given the national climate and assuming that stays the same if Trump won Texas by 5 and one sketchy CBS poll should not change that.

Cornyn/Hegar is more of a wildcard just because polls for Hegar have been underwhelming and it's mid-August. Still, it wouldn't surprise me if that ends up going down to the wire as Hegar becomes more known and Cornyn isn't a strong enough incumbent for me to think he's a shoe in to significantly outrun Trump.

[Yellowhammer]

Cornyn is toast

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Cornyn is toast

The race is Lean R lol

[Yellowhammer]

Cornyn is toast

The race is Lean R lol

Try Likely D

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Cornyn is toast

The race is Lean R lol

Try Likely D

Your're not even a good troll. Onto the ignore list you go.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

How is Electoral Titan and Hero of the Ancestrally Republican Suburbs John Cornyn not overperforming Trump!?

They are both up by 5ish.

I'd be very surprised given the national climate and assuming that stays the same if Trump won Texas by 5 and one sketchy CBS poll should not change that.

Cornyn/Hegar is more of a wildcard just because polls for Hegar have been underwhelming and it's mid-August. Still, it wouldn't surprise me if that ends up going down to the wire as Hegar becomes more known and Cornyn isn't a strong enough incumbent for me to think he's a shoe in to significantly outrun Trump.

Some WC voters wont vote for Biden due to Reade and Ukraine Biden, that's why its getting close

[ExSky]

A mostly uncontroversial republican Senator polling just 6 over an unknown Democrat in Texas.....

🎵 the times they are a changin 🎵

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

TX, FL, AZ, CA has been decimated by the Covid 19 due to influx of Asians and Latinos

[Pericles]

How is Electoral Titan and Hero of the Ancestrally Republican Suburbs John Cornyn not overperforming Trump!?

Wow they're doing very similar.

Don't be surprised if as the race heats up, it becomes a very competitive Senate race. I was expecting something like Biden +1%, Cornyn +2-3% in Texas, but maybe even that overestimates Cornyn's crossover appeal.

[Beet]

I don't see why people say Hegar is DOA. Being under 50 as a 20 year incumbent is not good. Remember, Beto's average deficit on RCP right before the 2018 election was 6.8 points. A 6-point deficit is definitely doable.

[Calthrina950]

I don't see why people say Hegar is DOA. Being under 50 as a 20 year incumbent is not good. Remember, Beto's average deficit on RCP right before the 2018 election was 6.8 points. A 6-point deficit is definitely doable.

Just like Susan Collins, John Cornyn looks set to suffer a considerable collapse in his support from 2014. As of right now, I still think that this race is Lean/Likely R, but Hegar could very well give Cornyn a scare, and a Cruz-like margin of victory for him in the end wouldn't surprise me.

[Harvey Updyke Jr🌹]

New Poll: Texas Senator by YouGov on 2020-08-13

Summary: D: 37%, R: 44%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Hope For A New Era]

It's becoming increasingly clear with these poll numbers that Hegar has a name-recognition problem.

Still Lean R, but I think there will be some tightening as campaigning really gets going soon.

[Sir Mohamed]

Lean R.

Cornyn barely breaking 50% in any of the polls may suggest there is some reluctance to support him, but I don't think he'll lose in the end. He's still win even if Biden takes TX by a hair.

[Harvey Updyke Jr🌹]

Still plenty of time for Cornyn to lose thousands of his potential voters to the Trump virus.

Toss-up.

[OSR stands with Israel]

It’s pretty much close to Safe R because Hegar will underperform Biden by 2-3 points and since Biden won’t win Texas by more than 2 points , she has almost no chance of winning .



The margins will be close but her chances are very low

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Did ya'll mean to post in this thread instead?

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=395435.0