These are blue states that Trump will almost certainly lose this year. I am talking about his loss margin this year compared to his loss margin in 2016.
Better
Washington: Seattle leftist violence turns off normal people outside the city
Oregon: ditto for Portland violence
Illinois: Chicago violence and Lightfoot's incompetence turning off suburban moderates
New Jersey/New York/Connecticut: lumping them all together as they are affected by NYC violence and chaos, DeBlasio and Cuomo's incompetence, incumbents tend to improve in those states
Worse
Massachusetts/Vermont: the epicenters of New England liberalism, not hit hard by the ANTIFA-BLM crime wave, Trump is toxic here
Better
Oregon - Portland lawlessness swings the rural parts of the state to Trump a little more and he breaks 40%.
Washington - Seattle lawlessness helps Trump same as OR.
Illinois - Chicago violence helps Trump in suburbs and rural areas
I'm sure ya'll would've predicted California to stay red in 1992 after the Los Angeles "leftist" violence & lawlessness
