Léger: Biden +8
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Author Topic: Léger: Biden +8  (Read 762 times)
VAR
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« on: August 13, 2020, 05:00:37 PM »
Biden 47%
Trump 39%
Jorgensen 2%
West 2%
Hawkins 1%

Also, Biden leads Pence 46-29.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200813_National.pdf
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #1 on: August 13, 2020, 05:02:34 PM »
Do these pollsters not realize that Kanye West is only on the ballot in three or four pretty small states? Including him in these polls serves no purpose other than to make them less accurate.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: August 13, 2020, 05:07:01 PM »
Among "decided voters" (943 of the 1017 RV), Biden leads 51-42.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #3 on: August 13, 2020, 05:07:08 PM »
Not sure how accurate this pollster is, but Biden leads by 11 among those 'absolutely certain' to vote.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #4 on: August 13, 2020, 05:11:22 PM »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 13, 2020, 05:07:08 PM
Not sure how accurate this pollster is, but Biden leads by 11 among those 'absolutely certain' to vote.

They claim to be highly rated among Canadian pollsters.  I don't recall seeing any previous U.S. polls from them.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #5 on: August 13, 2020, 08:01:09 PM »
UAE bump!
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Holmes
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« Reply #6 on: August 13, 2020, 08:02:03 PM »
Always fun to see Canadian pollsters.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #7 on: August 13, 2020, 08:06:32 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 13, 2020, 05:07:01 PM
Among "decided voters" (943 of the 1017 RV), Biden leads 51-42.
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 13, 2020, 05:07:08 PM
Not sure how accurate this pollster is, but Biden leads by 11 among those 'absolutely certain' to vote.

Are these different categories?
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n1240
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« Reply #8 on: August 13, 2020, 09:20:06 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on August 13, 2020, 08:06:32 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 13, 2020, 05:07:01 PM
Among "decided voters" (943 of the 1017 RV), Biden leads 51-42.
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 13, 2020, 05:07:08 PM
Not sure how accurate this pollster is, but Biden leads by 11 among those 'absolutely certain' to vote.

Are these different categories?

It's +11 specifically among decided voters who indicated they're absolutely certain to vote (view page 7).
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MaxQue
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« Reply #9 on: August 13, 2020, 09:41:56 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 13, 2020, 05:11:22 PM
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 13, 2020, 05:07:08 PM
Not sure how accurate this pollster is, but Biden leads by 11 among those 'absolutely certain' to vote.

They claim to be highly rated among Canadian pollsters.  I don't recall seeing any previous U.S. polls from them.


They are one of Canada's best and they are the only good Québec pollster, but Canada isn't USA.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #10 on: August 14, 2020, 06:35:06 PM »
Quote from: MaxQue on August 13, 2020, 09:41:56 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 13, 2020, 05:11:22 PM
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 13, 2020, 05:07:08 PM
Not sure how accurate this pollster is, but Biden leads by 11 among those 'absolutely certain' to vote.

They claim to be highly rated among Canadian pollsters.  I don't recall seeing any previous U.S. polls from them.


They are one of Canada's best and they are the only good Québec pollster, but Canada isn't USA.

Yet their poll still falls in line with the fairly consistent result of Biden+8 nationally.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #11 on: August 14, 2020, 07:21:41 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on August 14, 2020, 06:35:06 PM
Quote from: MaxQue on August 13, 2020, 09:41:56 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 13, 2020, 05:11:22 PM
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 13, 2020, 05:07:08 PM
Not sure how accurate this pollster is, but Biden leads by 11 among those 'absolutely certain' to vote.

They claim to be highly rated among Canadian pollsters.  I don't recall seeing any previous U.S. polls from them.


They are one of Canada's best and they are the only good Québec pollster, but Canada isn't USA.

Yet their poll still falls in line with the fairly consistent result of Biden+8 nationally.

It seems like there are two "lanes" of polls. The Biden +8 lane, and the Biden +14 lane.
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